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re: Pulled the trigger on AMZN

Posted on 1/7/23 at 1:32 am to
Posted by oneg8rh8r
Port Ludlow, WA
Member since Dec 2003
2939 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 1:32 am to
quote:

What drove your decision?


Buddies and I were sitting around and discussing where AMZN is now in relation to the past which was mid 2019. At that time AMZN was a lot more product, with more liability, and now it has a lot more of streaming, cloud, etc .... lots of more things with much better margins than at that time.

I'm not one to usually follow the masses either.
Posted by ItzMe1972
Member since Dec 2013
12210 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 10:02 am to
I'm not one to usually follow the masses either.
--

Almost impossible to predict a top or bottom.

I admire your courage and in the long term you'll be rewarded!
Posted by wutangfinancial
Treasure Valley
Member since Sep 2015
11869 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Not my point. The actual numbers are meaningless now


They’ve always been mostly meaningless
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94811 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 10:43 am to
quote:

You have no idea how many people work 3 months, tell a supervisor they are suicidal, then get a check the rest of their life.



Isn't that one of the reasons Amazon started adding so many subcontractors?
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 1/7/23 at 10:04 pm to
quote:

in time I don't think I will regret it @ $83.05


Probably not. No idea what your time horizon is, but Jan. 27 93 strike calls are going for about $1 now.

That’s not a suggestion, just a way to reduce your cost basis prior to earnings if you’d planned on holding through that event anyway. And if it blows through the strike, you’d have an $11/share gain… or you could roll up and out.
Posted by LSUtoBOOT
Member since Aug 2012
19280 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 1:28 pm to
That’s a great idea. Probably the only way I can get back a significant share of my own money.
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4292 posts
Posted on 1/10/23 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

Look at how the market reacts when EMPLOYMENT rates are HIGHER than expected. The market goes down.

Ponder how absolutely insane that is!


Not really. Higher than expected employment or wage growth suggests economic strength, which might signal further Fed rate hikes = bad for equities. Weaker than expected data, the opposite.
Posted by BioBobcat
Boston
Member since Feb 2013
831 posts
Posted on 1/14/23 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

I don't think I will regret it @ $83.05


I am a bit conflicted. On one hand, I don't think that you will regret being in at $83 in a couple of years because $83 would have been a steal 8ish months ago. On the other, my wife and I have been contemplating canceling our prime membership. It seems like we are paying a $120ish a year for more than two day shipping, while using Amazon less and less.

Over the last year or so, I have changed my investing philosophy from chasing money in the short term to investing in businesses and products that I use and believe in more long term. It hasn't been perfect or super great, but has absolutely helped me dodge some land mines.
Posted by oneg8rh8r
Port Ludlow, WA
Member since Dec 2003
2939 posts
Posted on 1/15/23 at 1:06 am to
I am a big user of AMZN, they make multiple deliveries a week to my house.

I invest in things I use regularly, because if I use them, I'm assuming I'm not the only one.
Posted by SpeedyNacho
Member since May 2014
2565 posts
Posted on 1/15/23 at 12:31 pm to
Out of Amazon, rebuy around 82
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
4313 posts
Posted on 1/15/23 at 1:16 pm to
They make all their money from AWS, not selling you things. I wouldn't invest in amazon based on them shipping you junk from china.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
20692 posts
Posted on 1/15/23 at 2:02 pm to
Cheap
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
20692 posts
Posted on 1/15/23 at 2:02 pm to
Wish it was only at that level
Posted by JimMorrison
The Peninsula
Member since May 2012
20747 posts
Posted on 1/15/23 at 2:50 pm to
quote:

may well go down further, but in time I don't think I will regret it @ $83.05


Would be a good time to set a stop loss on your quick gain.

AMZN is caught up in a countertrend rally in consumer discretionary. It's a nice pump so these discretionary stocks can get rekt in coming earnings seasons.
Posted by saint tiger225
San Diego
Member since Jan 2011
46496 posts
Posted on 1/16/23 at 3:49 pm to
quote:

invest in things I use regularly, because if I use them, I'm assuming I'm not the only one.
I understand your reasoning, but this is a horrible reason to invest.
Posted by wheelr
Banned
Member since Jul 2012
5880 posts
Posted on 1/16/23 at 4:53 pm to
.
This post was edited on 4/29/23 at 5:04 pm
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