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Petrodollar agreement ends.

Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:28 pm
Posted by biscuitsngravy
Tejas, north America
Member since Jan 2011
3780 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:28 pm
dollar end game begins

This was posted on Poli board but relevant here also. Hard to understate the importance. The basis for the dollar as a reserve currency is ending.
This post was edited on 6/12/24 at 6:30 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:40 pm to
The demise of the dollar continues to be greatly exaggerated.
Posted by boomtown143
Member since May 2019
9407 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:45 pm to
Vote for Joe...again!
Posted by Sput
Member since Mar 2020
9106 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:45 pm to
Way to go Pedo Joe
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61302 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 6:46 pm to
BRICS!!! What happened to BRICS? I put all my money into bitcoin when I heard how bad it was going to hurt the dollar:
This post was edited on 6/12/24 at 6:49 pm
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57977 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 7:15 pm to
quote:

The demise of the dollar continues to be greatly exaggerated.


I think you may be over-exaggerating the strength of the USD. A lot of the USD's current strength comes from its dominance as the primary world reserve currency. The Saudis are, by far, the largest exporter of oil. There was news earlier this year that the Saudis were considering joining BRICS. While all of that is bad news for the USD as it would hurt demand for our already-overleveraged currency, that's not the real danger.

The real danger is if OPEC decides that this is a signal from the Saudis that they can/should abandon the petrodollar as well. Where Saudia Arabia represents ~16% of the world's exported oil, OPEC represents nearly 50%. It doesn't matter if they join BRICS or not, that much oil no longer being traded on the USD means a severe drop in its dominance as the premiere world reserve currency and that drop in demand means a drop in the value of the USD.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93806 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 7:19 pm to
Im so glad that the adults are back in charge
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 7:40 pm to
I’m curious what Biden did to warrant the blame here, or more specifically, what would Trump do differently?
Posted by wryder1
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2008
4765 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

I’m curious what Biden did to warrant the blame here, or more specifically, what would Trump do differently?


Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
79321 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 8:01 pm to
Petrodollar is overrated.

Saudi is less than 10% of the global oil market and oil is less than 10% of the global economy. Even if the Saudis take other currencies they'll still take some dollars.

The Euro is shakier than the dollar and the Chicoms can't afford to let the yuan free float.
Posted by StreamsOfWhiskey
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Jun 2013
831 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 8:01 pm to
How about the outright animosity this administration has towards hydrocarbons?
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
40326 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

How about the outright animosity this administration has towards hydrocarbons?


It’s been real tough out here for us in O&G lemme tell ya
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

How about the outright animosity this administration has towards hydrocarbons?


The best thing that happened to Saudi Aramco was the Biden administration
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57977 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

I’m curious what Biden did to warrant the blame here, or more specifically, what would Trump do differently?


Biden sucking off Iran to the tune of $16B and Trump not sucking off Iran?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 10:12 pm to
Is that why the agreement was terminated?
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 6/12/24 at 11:27 pm to
quote:

Hard to understate the importance
No, it isn't. This will have a modest impact on dollar demand and likely lead to a rational, mild devaluation of a dollar that has, frankly, been too strong.
Posted by faraway
Member since Nov 2022
3568 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 4:24 am to
quote:

The demise of the dollar continues to be greatly exaggerated.

quote:

I think you may be over-exaggerating the strength of the USD. A
his point went completely over your head.

Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57977 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 5:49 am to
quote:

Is that why the agreement was terminated?


I have no idea, just spit-balling. That was why I framed it as a question (in retrospect I can see how it looks definitive).
Posted by BamaCoaster
God's Gulf
Member since Apr 2016
6646 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 8:13 am to
quote:

BRICS!!! What happened to BRICS? I put all my money into bitcoin when I heard how bad it was going to hurt the dollar:



No you didn’t.
If you did, you’d be an incredibly wealthy man.
Posted by BamaCoaster
God's Gulf
Member since Apr 2016
6646 posts
Posted on 6/13/24 at 8:18 am to
The guys on the money board are too entrenched in the game to realize what’s going on. The whole forrest through the trees thing.

To understate the importance of a fiat currency losing its reserve power on a global scale to the global power is an exercise of folly, and similar to Nero.
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