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re: OUST - Ouster LiDAR for Physical AI
Posted on 10/14/26 at 7:17 am to bayoubengals88
Posted on 10/14/26 at 7:17 am to bayoubengals88
quote:
Can be picked up for 23.76 so break even is just 53.76 with 27 months of runway
You are gaining very little by owning shares outright at $35 vs a $30 Call that still costs you $24. Not to mention how illiquid the options are if you wanna close a position having to settle at the ask.
Say the stock moves to $70 (a 100% move). If you buy the shares at $35, you make 100%.
But if you bought the $30 call for $24, and the stock moves to $70, you’d still have made less than if you’d just owned the shares outright.
Posted on 10/14/26 at 8:25 am to Plaza21
quote:Depends on the timing.
But if you bought the $30 call for $24, and the stock moves to $70, you’d still have made less than if you’d just owned the shares outright.
If it happens 24-30 months later then yes, you end up with a $40 option that you paid $24 for, which is worse than the stock going from $35 to $70.
Posted on 10/14/26 at 11:28 am to bayoubengals88
Still thinking about all those institutional investors that bought at $55.
Stock hasn’t hit that price since then
Stock hasn’t hit that price since then
Posted on 10/14/26 at 11:42 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
quote:It won't be allowed to until the macro environment changes.
Stock hasn’t hit that price since then
Enjoy buying this cycle and selling the next. And it may take years. Who knows
Posted on 10/16/26 at 8:54 am to bayoubengals88
Someone tell me what is happening
Posted on 10/16/26 at 9:05 am to msutiger
quote:Pre profitable companies get hit hardest when rates are high and inflation is hot, which means rates are likely to go higher.
Someone tell me what is happening
That is being priced into the stock right now.
Earnings could change things materially. 3 November.
Posted on 10/16/26 at 9:09 am to msutiger
You're in a highly speculative stock for a company that doesn't make money. If you can't handle some big swings, this probably isn't the right space for you.
Posted on 10/16/26 at 3:47 pm to j1897
Quite a round trip on this one since this thread was started
Posted on 11/3/26 at 8:34 am to Plaza21
Anyone buying or waiting for earnings tomorrow?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 8:54 am to Neauxla
quote:
Anyone buying
With what money?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 9:07 am to Neauxla
quote:
earnings tomorrow?
What’s expected? Of course, we could have a great earnings call and still drop 20% but do expect a good report?
Posted on 11/3/26 at 9:23 am to supadave3
Expect the best. I'm all in. 
Posted on 11/3/26 at 9:24 am to Neauxla
I’m just chilling with shares.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 10:04 am to bayoubengals88
I’m in deep too and now about $5/share underwater. I need some good news.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:27 pm to bayoubengals88
I’m officially back after a long hiatus. We smashed earnings today.
Last earnings call (Q2 2026), the upper revenue estimate was $57M. Just came in above $59M. Guidance for next quarter is $61-64M.
Lots of things to like with this setup. 15th straight revenue growth quarter, as well.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here. Last earnings call (Q2 2026), the upper revenue estimate was $57M. Just came in above $59M. Guidance for next quarter is $61-64M.
Lots of things to like with this setup. 15th straight revenue growth quarter, as well.
This post was edited on 11/3/26 at 3:29 pm
Posted on 11/3/26 at 3:55 pm to iPad
quote:
Guidance for next quarter is $61-64M.
4th Q 2025: $61.8 M
4th Q 2026: $61-64M (estimate)
If they do those targets, it will look like they’ve stopped growing. That’s absolutely not a good setup for a company that loses lots of money.
I’d be selling the Christmas rally if it comes. By next Feb- March I expect this to be below $20 based on that guide. This 3rd Q was the last easy comps to show big sales increases.
They probably need to announce something else in 4th Q or this will get shellacked
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:05 pm to Plaza21
quote:
Plaza21
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:31 pm to Plaza21
quote:You don’t know these companies dude. But you should!
Plaza21
Solid quarter, great metrics, break even definitely looks like it’s on time for 2027.
Posted on 11/3/26 at 4:55 pm to Plaza21
quote:
By next Feb- March I expect this to be below $20 based on that guide. This 3rd Q was the last easy comps to show big sales increases.
Ouster reported $41 million in product revenue for the fourth quarter of 2025
62.5-41=21.5
21.5/41=0.524
You don’t like 52.4% Yoy revenue growth?
The company has stated for the last year or more that 30-50% revenue growth is the medium term target.
Beating the top end doesn’t show big sale increases?
Posted on 11/4/26 at 8:48 am to bayoubengals88
Cooking
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