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re: OUST - LiDAR for Physical AI and Smart Infrastructure

Posted on 5/26/26 at 12:03 pm to
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

How much room does this have to run long term? Market cap is relatively small

I posted this last week:

Revenue is growing at roughly 40% annually. They’ve reported 13 straight quarters of growth.

That puts 2030 revenue, conservatively, at 800mm
Slap just a 9x p/s rating on it and you’re looking at 7.2bn cap (OUST is trading at 10x 2026 sales currently).

That’s $115/share as a three year price target (but I think that the P/S will expand to 12 and that revenue will increase with Rev8 and smart infrastructure adoption).

A more aggressive take (900mm at 12 p/s) yields 171.81 per share

A blended model with 10% dilution factored in, brings us to $129.10

2029 price target looking forward to 2030 revenue is $129

This is rough revenue based math.
We can do a bit better once we see profit margins, hopefully next year, and then can assign a P/E ratio rather than P/S.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177441 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 12:11 pm to


Looks good
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
45131 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 12:22 pm to
BB88, thanks for all of your work in here... much appreciated.
Posted by AUtigerNOLA
New Orleans, LA
Member since Apr 2011
17270 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 12:22 pm to
Anyone closing some calls to take some profit on the 1/27 $40s? Or do we believe this goes much higher?
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 12:22 pm to
But, unofficially, I think revenue from Rev8 color LiDAR is going to melt faces.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 12:25 pm to
You’re thinking correctly.
I’m selling half of my $35s if I can get 20.20 for them.

I suppose I will just go immediately into shares.
If shares drop to $30, that’s better than holding options through that kind of drawdown.

I feel it’s prudent to take advantage of these kinds of 50% moves
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
59396 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 12:58 pm to
I bought in at $26, sold today for $42.70. That's a pretty sweet run for a month's investment.

Posted by Bayou_Tiger_225
Third Earth
Member since Mar 2016
12864 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 2:26 pm to
I sold my position in one of my portfolios for this morning.

Average cost $27.52
Sold $44.00

Still holding long in others, but wanted to take some gains. A solid two weeks right there. Thank you BB
This post was edited on 5/26/26 at 2:27 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 2:37 pm to
Great sell

I converted half options to shares at $43.00 then I added 65 more shares for 500 (Roth only).
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 5:45 pm to
Great day friends!!
The productive advancing.
Re rating is happening!!!!!

I just a tequila pour
This post was edited on 5/26/26 at 5:45 pm
Posted by iPad
Find Me At An Apple Store Near You
Member since Nov 2025
1042 posts
Posted on 5/26/26 at 6:16 pm to
quote:

a tequila pour

Well deserved after a day like today
Posted by iPad
Find Me At An Apple Store Near You
Member since Nov 2025
1042 posts
Posted on 5/27/26 at 11:25 am to
Just blew past $45 on a strong green candle push.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/27/26 at 11:37 am to
Sold all options.
Now all shares.
I have enough shares now to move to needle if this indeed gets to my near term $63 price target.

Options allowed me to increase share count in Roth by more than 50%

They did the job.
This post was edited on 5/27/26 at 1:21 pm
Posted by HogPharmer
Member since Jun 2022
3782 posts
Posted on 5/27/26 at 1:13 pm to
Trimmed about 30% of my shares at 44.83 this morning at a cost basis around $29. I have a $40 covered call out there I sold last week (first CC I’ve ever done ) so wouldn’t mind if we took a bit of a dip to re-enter on the shares I sold in order to gain a few more.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/27/26 at 1:33 pm to
NEWS!!!

Pilot leads to CONTRACT in Nashville:
quote:

Ouster was awarded a multimillion-dollar contract by the City of Nashville, Tennessee, to deploy its complete traffic management solution, Ouster BlueCity, at more than 100 intersection and roadway sites following successful pilots and deployments in key locations. This initiative is a collaborative effort with the Nashville Department of Transportation and Multimodal Infrastructure (NDOT), Vanderbilt University and Ouster BlueCity distributor Southern Lighting & Traffic Systems (SLTS) to enhance mobility and safety in the city.
Tell your congressperson. Tell your DOTD. Seriously.
LINK

>

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Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/27/26 at 1:34 pm to
Posted by jerryc436
Franklin
Member since Jan 2014
649 posts
Posted on 5/27/26 at 4:04 pm to
I closed my $35 June calls and $40 July call today. Could not resist 200% and 250% gains. Let me know if you add any calls with date and price and I will buy back in. Your insight and DD has been a welcome addition to my portfolio. Thanks BB88
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/27/26 at 7:54 pm to
Nice gains!!
You really milked them!
quote:

Let me know if you add any calls with date and price and I will buy back in. Your insight and DD has been a welcome addition to my portfolio.

Any time! (On a dip).

Right now, I’m thinking of selling two puts per week on OUST to collect that juice!
$40 strike 6/5s
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
24914 posts
Posted on 5/27/26 at 8:15 pm to
While Rev8 adoption may blow minds, I’m going to keep my summer PT at $63 and Santa rally target at $81…
But this would be better:

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Posted by PinevilleTiger
Pineville, LA
Member since Sep 2005
6386 posts
Posted on 5/27/26 at 10:18 pm to
Ouster is up 48% in the last 5 trading days! And just think, this is only the beginning.
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