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re: Official CryptoTalk Thread
Posted on 10/23/25 at 1:44 pm to Hateradedrink
Posted on 10/23/25 at 1:44 pm to Hateradedrink
Looks like this was about homeland security task force, no economic bombs yet
0
Posted on 10/23/25 at 2:34 pm to 98eagle
quote:
I buy incrementally throughout Bitcoin dips and protracted deeper pullbacks. I sell incrementally throughout price appreciation and recoveries/uptrends. That way I am buying when prices are lower and selling when they are higher.
How do you organize your different purchases/sales? Another way to ask it - are you ever buying and selling at (near) the same time, because you've got a purchase lot that has met your profit target at/near a time you see a strong upward trend and will be buying at some near point?
Posted on 10/23/25 at 8:23 pm to 98eagle
quote:BTCD is probably the opposite of what you’re thinking. A drop indicates that the general crypto market is heading up. A rise indicates that crypto is ice cold.
That's the exact opposite of my strategy. I buy incrementally throughout Bitcoin dips and protracted deeper pullbacks. I sell incrementally throughout price appreciation and recoveries/uptrends. That way I am buying when prices are lower and selling when they are higher. I never have to worry about timing the market. Often my BITX purchases end up temporarily (days, weeks or months) in the red when there is blood in the water and I am buying into a falling knife like a dive bomber. But I never worry and just wait it out until every trade turns profitable.
Posted on 10/23/25 at 8:43 pm to David_DJS
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/24/25 at 7:18 pm
Posted on 10/23/25 at 8:55 pm to beaverfever
quote:Thanks for the clarification. I was unaware of what BTCD is. I thought it probably tracked BTC. Now it makes sense.
BTCD is probably the opposite of what you’re thinking. A drop indicates that the general crypto market is heading up. A rise indicates that crypto is ice cold.
Posted on 10/26/25 at 4:52 pm to 98eagle
This feels like the best risk/reward entry point since late last summer. Most bullish I’ve been in a while. And the longer we chop in this range, the more explosive the setup is.
This post was edited on 10/26/25 at 4:56 pm
Posted on 10/26/25 at 9:13 pm to beaverfever
Are we back?
wen lambo?
wen lambo?
Posted on 10/27/25 at 5:21 am to Hateradedrink
This move doesn't feel like it wants to wait for gaps to fill and people to get on board. There is a lot of noise on weekends but occasionally it's all signal.
Posted on 10/27/25 at 9:09 am to beaverfever
I just want to fast forward to this time next year so the 4 year cycle conversations are over.
Posted on 10/27/25 at 9:40 am to I Love Bama
Posted on 11/4/25 at 8:40 am to beaverfever
Need a bounce here or we’re heading below 90k on BTC.
I’m of the opinion this run isn’t done yet but my confidence in that opinion is low. This is nasty price action.
I’m of the opinion this run isn’t done yet but my confidence in that opinion is low. This is nasty price action.
Posted on 11/4/25 at 10:42 am to 98eagle
You going long volatility here @98eagle ?
Posted on 11/4/25 at 11:46 am to Hateradedrink
I’ve been keeping the hopium alive lately thinking we get a strong run into end of year but starting to feel like we are toast. Bitcoin can’t catch a bid
Posted on 11/4/25 at 12:16 pm to Hateradedrink
quote:
Need the fall to keep going. Ready to buy back heavy.
quote:
You’ll get your chance in about 8-14 months.
And here we are, just over two months later, and in buyback range. Doge is too easy.
Posted on 11/4/25 at 12:21 pm to iwyLSUiwy
I hope for your sake you are correct that this is “buyback” range, because this has a chance to get a whole lot worse before it gets better. We really need a bounce today
Posted on 11/4/25 at 12:26 pm to Hateradedrink
Just catching up on the thread a bit. You think today is a crucial day on whether things are going to turn for the good/bad?
Posted on 11/4/25 at 1:29 pm to Iowa Golfer
quote:I'm always going long in 5% to 10% increments of my available trading cash on any dip or extended pullback. I never think short term like almost everyone else does. When the sky is falling and there is blood in the water, while most everyone else is worried and freaking out, I methodically buy in small increments and go fishing, hang out with our friends or do something else fun. I'm totally not worried.
You going long volatility here @98eagle ?
Posted on 11/4/25 at 3:31 pm to 98eagle
I went long 20 contracts at $100K, and I'm long calls (300) on IBIT @ $64.00 Strike. I went pretty big this time.
Seriously considering adding to my physical BTC also. Not sure yet.
Seriously considering adding to my physical BTC also. Not sure yet.
Posted on 11/4/25 at 4:13 pm to iwyLSUiwy
quote:
Just catching up on the thread a bit. You think today is a crucial day on whether things are going to turn for the good/bad?
It’s not that “today” is crucial, it’s the fact we dropped below the 200d SMA (103k)
The 200d is THE support for a bull run. It’s why you see other posters going heavy long here.
From a “4yr cycle” stand point, this would be suggestive of the end. You’re basically betting on whether or not the 4 year cycle continues to exist at this point. If we bounce here and recover, the traditional 4 year cycle is probably dead. If we sustain below the 200d SMA, the 4yr cycle still exists but fricking sucks from a ROI standpoint.
Posted on 11/4/25 at 4:46 pm to Iowa Golfer
I didn't probably make trades as big as you did on a relative amount traded versus total assets. I spent a little more than 15% of my available trading cash on BITX today opening two new trades Now I just watch Bitcoin's price each trading day to see if I buy more or start selling on a recovery. It's pretty simple.
You can make a whole lot more than me on a per dollar amount invested since you are trading options. Since I am trading in cash, I probably have an advantage of being able to wait as long as I need to, to be profitable on every trade I make and not worry about options expiring. Your trading style probably has less risk and can be a good bit more profitable, but requires more attention and timing, while my style is extremely simple and requires relatively much less of my time.
You can make a whole lot more than me on a per dollar amount invested since you are trading options. Since I am trading in cash, I probably have an advantage of being able to wait as long as I need to, to be profitable on every trade I make and not worry about options expiring. Your trading style probably has less risk and can be a good bit more profitable, but requires more attention and timing, while my style is extremely simple and requires relatively much less of my time.
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