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re: Nebius - NBIS - AI Infrastructure Company

Posted on 3/18/26 at 3:25 pm to
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
23000 posts
Posted on 3/18/26 at 3:25 pm to
quote:

Call it what you want, it is 15% more cash (or shares) beyond what you borrowed - I call that interest (and it is accounted for as interest effectively)

I am hearing rumors it may be 20% this time which I hope is not true


Why is this necessary for NBIS to acquire the capital?
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12463 posts
Posted on 3/18/26 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

Why is this necessary for NBIS to acquire the capital?



The build outs needed to support these hyper. Scaler contracts are extremely capital intensive upfront. - it ultimately provides significant return on the backside because the expenditures have significant life - you just have to watch the leverage levels that's where core weave and Oracle get looked sideways sometimes because they've really gone heavy debt.


In the grand scheme of things NBIS has done a great job, keeping a decent balance sheet in light of this
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25812 posts
Posted on 3/18/26 at 8:19 pm to
What do you think of Agrippa’s critique of NBIS from earlier today?

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Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25812 posts
Posted on 3/18/26 at 8:27 pm to
Here’s a response.
His point about transparency, or lack thereof, was exactly what I was thinking.
I don’t think it’s a cop out either.

Remember when a bit more info came out about the Microsoft deal and sent us beyond $120 for the first time?
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This post was edited on 3/18/26 at 8:28 pm
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12463 posts
Posted on 3/18/26 at 11:31 pm to
honestly, I only glanced at it - once I saw he was trying to extrapolate the gross margin at 200 million to what it would be when these massive contracts come in (ie assuming the same) - he lost me. There's no way their cost structures 100% variable that there won't be some significant leverage with these massive deals.


I can't comment as much on the lack of clarity going forward because I really haven't tried to look much on the expense sign in the future - right now I'm very revenue focused so these players can build out the data centers and have multi decade assets to generate massive margins in the future.

In other words his thesis didn't do much for me. As I mentioned yesterday, I really think this will do better per megawatt given their software - where as iren has more mega watts. I can't imagine that higher revenue per mega that they're actually losing money or having materially lower margins. i do not buy it
This post was edited on 3/18/26 at 11:32 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25812 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 12:21 pm to
Yeah man, this guy needs professional help:

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Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25812 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 2:05 pm to
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12463 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 2:18 pm to
lol - yeah that comes across as pretty pathetic by that dude that's for sure
Posted by astonvilla
New Jersey
Member since Dec 2005
3547 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 2:52 pm to
Apparently there was cnbc discussion on NBIS. I missed it
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25812 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

Apparently there was cnbc discussion on NBIS. I missed it

I'll be looking for it. Drop it in here if you can find it.
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
5603 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:22 pm to
"Global hyperscaler contender"
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
5603 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:23 pm to
CNBC Video
About 1:45 mark
This post was edited on 3/19/26 at 3:25 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25812 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:26 pm to
Ha! She's been pounding the table on Nebius for over a year now.
Her fund is a major share holder.
Posted by ynlvr
Rocket City
Member since Feb 2009
5603 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:28 pm to
Yup, its paid off for her . . . February 2025 call. Right after you started this trhead
This post was edited on 3/19/26 at 3:29 pm
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25812 posts
Posted on 3/19/26 at 3:30 pm to
Holy shite!! What a segment!!!
I love her.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25812 posts
Posted on 3/20/26 at 12:25 pm to
Not gonna lie y'all. I didn't truly "get it" until I got curious about the Revolut success story...

It's just laid out so perfectly.
This is the business.
Revolut
Posted by SquatchDawg
Cohutta Wilderness
Member since Sep 2012
20516 posts
Posted on 3/20/26 at 10:20 pm to
Damn BB you’re going to make me buy more aren’t you.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
25812 posts
Posted on 3/21/26 at 7:17 am to
Oh man, I wish I could buy more.
Physical AI can make NBIS bigger than anything I could have imagined.

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