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Just for fun, predict what year the S&P 500 will hit 10,000 or the DOW 75,000

Posted on 7/8/26 at 1:14 pm
Posted by Ramblin Wreck
Member since Aug 2011
4462 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 1:14 pm
I’ll try to remember to bump this thread in a few years.

I’ll say one will occur by 2030.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
91885 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 1:32 pm to
Posted by Boomer Rick
Member since Apr 2021
420 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 1:54 pm to
10k by 2030 isn’t at all unrealistic mathematically.
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82277 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 1:57 pm to
quote:

I’ll say one will occur by 2030.

I'm definitely taking the under on this
Posted by Everyday Is Saturday
Member since Dec 2025
2415 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 4:01 pm to
More importantly, imo, will stock valuations grow into themselves by the time the S&P500 reaches 10,000?

Current 12-month trailing avg P/E ratio for all stocks in the S&P 500 is 25-26, about 10 higher than same P/E avg the previous 10 years.

Prediction: Put me down for S&P500 avg P/E ratio to be exponentially higher than 2016-2026, whenever 10,000 is hit. Technology changes the world exponentially. The market will correspond.

New normal.
Posted by BigAL Golesh
Toomer's Corner
Member since Apr 2026
628 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 8:36 pm to
2038
Posted by Pendulum
Member since Jan 2009
8156 posts
Posted on 7/8/26 at 9:06 pm to
By my math, starting in july of 26, sp500 needs to average a little less than 10% annualized to get to 10,000 by 2030; that is it will need to perform slightly worse than the average over last decade for the next 3 and half years. Seems like a good over/under, id say it happens before jan 1 2030.

I could not care less what the dow is or is going to be. Its a completely irrelevant arbitrary number out there to me.
This post was edited on 7/8/26 at 9:08 pm
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