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I know no one knows, but what are yall opinions about the market?

Posted on 6/11/20 at 7:59 am
Posted by Tigerb869
Member since Feb 2017
307 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 7:59 am
I know no one knows, but what are yall opinions about the market? I think it is just a correction but the rising covid cases and all the other BS certainly will not help the situation.
This post was edited on 6/11/20 at 2:28 pm
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58161 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 7:59 am to
quote:

but the rising covid cases
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1865 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 8:01 am to
My guess is 2960s on the sp500. That would be roughly 9-10%.

Correction; thinking 2640-2870 now but never know
This post was edited on 6/12/20 at 7:40 am
Posted by amusedmuse
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2020
48 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 8:31 am to
I sold off my short-term stocks on Monday because I felt weird about how well it was going. I will ride out my long-term and pick up some deals with my short-term gains.
Posted by bayoumuscle21
St. George
Member since Jan 2012
4638 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 10:21 am to
quote:

rising covid cases


Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69313 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 10:29 am to
The media is trying to start the “second wave” bs. It is not true


Some states are seeing spikes

But the National positivity rate was at a record low yesterday.
Posted by Unberlievable
Thibodaux
Member since Aug 2016
28 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 10:36 am to
The more you test the more you will find. I do not think a second wave is coming.
Posted by AUHighPlainsDrifter
South Carolina
Member since Sep 2017
3096 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 10:57 am to
quote:

The more you test the more you will find. I do not think a second wave is coming.


There are a lot of healthcare professionals that think there will be a second wave in the Fall. That said, I don't think we will overreact to it and shut down our economy like we have thus far.
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1865 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 11:18 am to
Should bounce near here
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58161 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 11:19 am to
quote:

I don't think we will overreact




There are plenty of democrat politicians that I'm damn sure will overreact.
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 11:25 am to
Second wave will be earlier than the fall, due to all the protests/riots. This will allow the Democrats to shut down the economy again and continue the shut down until there is a vaccine.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58161 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 11:29 am to
No it wont.
Posted by Tigers4life
The great US of A
Member since May 2004
1865 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 11:38 am to
quote:

Should bounce near here


And there it is but overall be surprised if it's done. Bought some ZI and ERI for a trade here. Fingers crossed
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123946 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

I know no one knows, but what are yall opinions about the market? I think it is just a correction but the rising covid cases and all the other BS certainly will not help the situation.
IMO if we are >3200 & >27K rolling into September, we'll be doing well. But those valuations at present were inexplicably high.

It's anybody's guess, but I'd expect we'll undulate in a trading range, maybe 2600-3200ish, through the summer.

I expect we'll churn various STCG plays until the market breaks out.
Buy the rumor, sell the news (?early July?) in healthcare (e.g., MRNA, REGN).
We'll settle into some safe dividend stock positions to hold at least through the summer.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19550 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

Second wave will be earlier than the fall, due to all the protests/riots. This will allow the Democrats to shut down the economy again and continue the shut down until there is a vaccine.


After the absurdities of the MSM and "health experts" proclaiming that protests, riots, looting and arson was more important than coronavirus, I don't think they will have much credibility among people with a mind of their own.

The reality is that the protestors and rioters were almost all young and they may get the virus, but half won't have symptoms and the rest will have milder reactions and won't need hospitals for their cold or flu like condition.

The fear porn seems to have spooked the market though.
This post was edited on 6/11/20 at 12:10 pm
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 1:44 pm to
So they won’t spread it to their parents and grandparents? How many infections are generated off one person? Too much is not known about this virus and how the Chinese developed it to say we know how this ends. I don’t think we should buy Trump’s propaganda on this because he is only concern with his re-election not with the health of the American people. I believe round 2 of this will be much worse than the first round, simply because people assume that everything is ok.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19550 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 2:10 pm to
It's not some intractable problem.

People who are high risk should continue to shelter and take all precautions. Most are retired so won't have much of a negative economic effect other than spending even more of their money with Amazon rather than a local business.

People who are healthy, younger and without serious comorbidities have very little to fear. In NYC, the below 65 demographic had only 11/100,000 deaths and the 18 and below 0.

Those are just the facts.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123946 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

This will allow the Democrats to shut down the economy again and continue the shut down until there is a vaccine.
We will not have a national shutdown again. There are a number of reasons for that. Suffice it to say, a US shutdown is off the table.

I doubt many governors will have the moxie to re-shut their states individually. Some may. Not many though.
Posted by JLivermore
Wendover
Member since Dec 2015
1425 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 4:38 pm to
Did not like how Powell set the GDP bar so high for next year. Would rather set the bar lower and beat the number.
This post was edited on 6/11/20 at 4:39 pm
Posted by Mr Perfect
Member since Mar 2010
17836 posts
Posted on 6/11/20 at 4:39 pm to
no more shutdowns just more money for all. too many unemployed dude. trump have to fire it up again soon $$$
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