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Goldman Sachs on 11/13/25: S&P 500 headed for decade of ~3% annual returns
Posted on 5/26/26 at 2:35 pm
Posted on 5/26/26 at 2:35 pm
Yahoo Finance article
S&P 500 since 11/13/25:
Let's all laugh at doom and gloom reporting.
quote:
Goldman Sachs has projected that U.S. stocks will deliver lackluster returns over the next decade primarily due to two key factors: extreme market concentration and elevated valuations. The firm forecasts an annualized nominal total return of just 3% for the S&P 500 over the next decade, which would place it in the 7th percentile of 10-year returns since 1930.
S&P 500 since 11/13/25:
Let's all laugh at doom and gloom reporting.
6
Posted on 5/26/26 at 2:37 pm to TDsngumbo
4 years of returns out of the way in the first 6 months right? 
Posted on 5/26/26 at 2:39 pm to Upperdecker
We've had a war break out, terrible inflation reports, mixed jobs reports, and you name it since then, yet the S&P 500 has chugged right along the whole time.
Posted on 5/26/26 at 2:40 pm to TDsngumbo
Yet another reminder that no one can consistently predict the future with reliable accuracy.
And also is a reminder that…
6-months does not make a decade.
And also is a reminder that…
6-months does not make a decade.
This post was edited on 5/26/26 at 2:41 pm
Posted on 5/26/26 at 3:11 pm to Everyday Is Saturday
Ya no shite. I wouldn't be claiming victory 9 years out.
Posted on 5/26/26 at 3:48 pm to TDsngumbo
Maybe they thought Trump would honor his campaign promises instead of letting in a jillion Indians and Mexicans and going to war for Israel
Posted on 5/26/26 at 3:48 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
We've had a war break out
It just started itself
Posted on 5/26/26 at 4:35 pm to TDsngumbo
How many times are we going to hear elevated stock valuations, inflated PE ratios, and the Rule of 20 as reasons why XYZ stock is going to tank before we question these analysts.
Not saying ignore them completely, but these metrics are used too often to paint a doomsday scenario. Today is not yesterday, much less 25 years ago. Maybe the Rule of 20 should change to the Rule of 30.
I don’t know the answer, and Goldman had sound reasonings for their conclusions. Just can’t put too much stock into any analyst opinion trying to predict the market, much less the extremes.
Don’t turn your 401k contributions off, don’t move to cash based on these types of reports. Just keep on socking away what you can for retirement.
Not saying ignore them completely, but these metrics are used too often to paint a doomsday scenario. Today is not yesterday, much less 25 years ago. Maybe the Rule of 20 should change to the Rule of 30.
I don’t know the answer, and Goldman had sound reasonings for their conclusions. Just can’t put too much stock into any analyst opinion trying to predict the market, much less the extremes.
Don’t turn your 401k contributions off, don’t move to cash based on these types of reports. Just keep on socking away what you can for retirement.
Posted on 5/26/26 at 4:44 pm to TDsngumbo
Why are you judging a 10 year call on 7 months of data?
Posted on 5/26/26 at 4:57 pm to TDsngumbo
so about on pace with HYSA...
Better than sitting in a traditional savings account.
Better than sitting in a traditional savings account.
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