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re: Comparisons to 1987

Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:23 pm to
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
179712 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:23 pm to
quote:

You share a lot of bear-ish news and such




Link? I posted this but all of my other threads are earnings reports. Literally nothing else I post is bearish outside of this or shite about crypto.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36574 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:26 pm to
I dunno, might have gotten you confused with someone else
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
179712 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:26 pm to
No doubt in my mind you did.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133674 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:27 pm to
I went through '87 sitting in front of a Bloomberg terminal.

Down 5%.

Then down 10%.

Then down 15%.

Then down 20%.

Closed down 22%.

You couldn't squeeze a pine straw up my butt.....
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36574 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:29 pm to
Yeah I’m not looking forward to speaking to clients too much tomorrow. Most have been in for a while so they’re playing with house money, but the people I put in in Dec-Jan probably need some moral support
This post was edited on 2/5/18 at 11:31 pm
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:34 pm to
quote:

Thanks. Has trading ended in Tokyo already Tuesday? The Nikkei hasn't changed in over an hour. Maybe it hit some trading circuit breakers??


They break for lunch daily.

ETA: Down 5.9% Tuesday with 30 min left of trading
This post was edited on 2/5/18 at 11:36 pm
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133674 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:36 pm to
A month ago I was 12% cash. I sold AT&T and XOM last week, Tues & Wed, which brought me up to 24% cash. After today I'm 26% cash because the denominator got smaller.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133674 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:38 pm to
They are rallying then coming back from -6.8% earlier.

Eta: and DJ futures now down "only" 955 points.
This post was edited on 2/5/18 at 11:40 pm
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:44 pm to
This timing is annoying for the house we're buying and full-renovation commencing. I don't like the uncertainty
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36574 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:45 pm to
Dow futures now on that rally train
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36574 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:45 pm to
quote:

This timing is annoying for the house we're buying and full-renovation commencing. I don't like the uncertainty




Get that loan closed before the fed hits you at credit card rates for a 60 year mortgage
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36574 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:48 pm to
And as soon as I acknowledge dow futures going up, they start creeping down.



Close the damn market Japan, shite
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:49 pm to
quote:

Get that loan closed before the fed hits you at credit card rates for a 60 year mortgage



Construction loan is closing Friday. Won't close on permanent product until the project is done. In a good way, I can track and follow rates during the renovation...but I don't like being in limbo. And this volatility just creates more confusion.
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:50 pm to
Nikkei is rallying to -5.5%...10 min before closing bell.
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36574 posts
Posted on 2/5/18 at 11:51 pm to
#weriding



Dow futures want to #MAGA so bad
This post was edited on 2/5/18 at 11:53 pm
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 12:21 am to
Nikkei rallied to -4.73%
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4891 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 6:33 am to
quote:

I seriously doubt there will be another rate increase as long as the markets are roiled. There may even be some talk of a nudge downward, IMO


Just to play devils advocate here, although market swings probably are considered by the fed in their data plots, it is not part of the criteria considered for raising rates.

So in saying that, we are finally hitting inflation targets and wage growth which is part of their criteria. I know you had some heavy involvement with the fed but do you really believe a market correction will make them change course from their original strategy?
This post was edited on 2/6/18 at 6:38 am
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36574 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 6:54 am to
I think the pace at which it’s happening and that people look at the point drops and not the percentage drops which causes panic


I’d be very surprised if they aren’t somewhat tempered by what’s going on
Posted by GoCrazyAuburn
Member since Feb 2010
39744 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 8:08 am to
What do some of you guys recommend as the best way to capitalize on this?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133674 posts
Posted on 2/6/18 at 8:10 am to
quote:

do you really believe a market correction will make them change course from their original strategy?
A market correction? No.
A market crash? Yes.
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