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re: ASTS, meme stock or real stock?

Posted on 7/17/25 at 4:14 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 7/17/25 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

Nobody cares about this stock. But all it does is go up


For most of its existence all it did was go down.
Posted by Crescent Connection
Member since Jun 2008
2321 posts
Posted on 7/17/25 at 5:29 pm to
My highest conviction stock. Have roughly $130k in calls. Most of them expiring in 2027 with strike prices $45-55. My wife and I’s Roth IRAs are 100% ASTS. My 4 kids UTMAs are 100% ASTS. I’m going full retard on this stock.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175892 posts
Posted on 7/17/25 at 6:38 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 7/17/25 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

My highest conviction stock. Have roughly $130k in calls. Most of them expiring in 2027 with strike prices $45-55. My wife and I’s Roth IRAs are 100% ASTS. My 4 kids UTMAs are 100% ASTS. I’m going full retard on this stock.


Idk how much money this is to you but good luck man.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23505 posts
Posted on 7/17/25 at 8:04 pm to
I do regret my impatience with this one. Due to ignorance my conviction wasn’t there. I didn’t know what I owned.
I had 300 shares around $24 avg
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89299 posts
Posted on 7/17/25 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

My highest conviction stock. Have roughly $130k in calls. Most of them expiring in 2027 with strike prices $45-55. My wife and I’s Roth IRAs are 100% ASTS. My 4 kids UTMAs are 100% ASTS. I’m going full retard on this stock.


soooooooooo i need to buy tomm?
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
148425 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:02 am to
Yawl giving me fomo
Posted by Cajun75
Member since Mar 2022
814 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:29 am to
quote:

My highest conviction stock. Have roughly $130k in calls. Most of them expiring in 2027 with strike prices $45-55. My wife and I’s Roth IRAs are 100% ASTS. My 4 kids UTMAs are 100% ASTS. I’m going full retard on this stock.


WOW.....go to Vegas much?
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89299 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:49 am to
down today

i am not buying yet

waiting for an entry point

see if we get a recovery sometime today then i may pull the trigger
This post was edited on 7/18/25 at 9:53 am
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
10848 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:58 am to
I see you’re following a few of these threads/stocks. How do you judge an entry point?
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89299 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 10:18 am to
well looks like i missed the boat already as far as getting in on this one early as it has spiked way up since may til now. depends on retracement level. it last formed a big 1-2-3 top and bottom without 50% retrace which is good for going long and not shorting.

i am hoping for a small dip then i will buy. then again it may not and i could be left on sidelines yet again if it keeps spiking as it is at record highs now.
I may have to just jump in with a small position now and add IF it trends up.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89299 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 10:35 am to
ok bought a small position around 55.78. which is when it started spiking back up this morning.

see what happens
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
58517 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 11:36 am to
I’m in at like 10 idk why


Yall should buy open
Posted by Crescent Connection
Member since Jun 2008
2321 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

WOW.....go to Vegas much?
Quite the opposite. I hate casinos. Haven’t been inside one in probably 5 years.

To my knowledge, every single FCC request by ASTS has been approved. Google’s 3rd largest holding is ASTS. The TAM is huge…we’re talking everyone who has a mobile device paying a few extra dollars for uninterrupted service. Contracts with military and possibly Golden Dome involvement.

Once all satellites are up and the constellation is complete, net margins are somewhere in the 90th percentile. Multiple charts available with FCF growing asymmetrically.

I’m 2 weeks away from turning 40. My risk aversion is very low at this point in my life, so my mentality is go all-in on something that I’ve done extensive DD on, and trust the process. I purposefully chose expiration dates on calls 2 years out to minimize theta and time decay in case of negative macroeconomic events. My plan is to roll those calls out to 2029/2030 as it gets closer to expiration. Based on some models I plugged in, my current value of calls could be worth $3M by 2028, and even more after rolling them by 2030. I’m treating this as my lotto ticket.
Posted by Crescent Connection
Member since Jun 2008
2321 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

well looks like i missed the boat already
I don’t think you did. Remember, this is still a pre-revenue company. Once revenue pours in, this COULD and SHOULD be $300-$500 by end of 2027. That’s still 5-10x current stock price in a matter of 2 years.
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
10848 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

hoping for a small dip then i will buy. then again it may not and i could be left on sidelines yet again if it keeps spiking as it is at record highs now.

I’m only in with 10 shares currently but looking to add. I wasn’t able to get any more today but will relook for the next dip and add to it.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89299 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

I don’t think you did. Remember, this is still a pre-revenue company. Once revenue pours in, this COULD and SHOULD be $300-$500 by end of 2027. That’s still 5-10x current stock price in a matter of 2 years.


me reading your post


Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
58517 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 3:40 pm to
I told y’all to buy open and it went up like 20% after
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89299 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 4:24 pm to


it ended up in the green + .53 on the day.

as did RKLB

damn i got lucky. i bought at the lowest point of the day

up 2 bucks a share already from when i entered. better to be lucky than good.
This post was edited on 7/18/25 at 4:27 pm
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
10848 posts
Posted on 7/21/25 at 12:16 pm to
Added ASTS at 57 today. Hopefully that was on the upswing

Also opened a position on JOBY and added to my RKLB.
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