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AAPL may pass XOM as world's largest market cap

Posted on 10/3/10 at 5:58 pm
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/3/10 at 5:58 pm
Scoop, this one's for you....

LINK
quote:

Thanks to its line of gadgets that combine the ability to make calls, send email, read books, watch movies and listen to music, Apple Inc. is on a path to overtake Exxon Mobil Corp. as the largest company by market capitalization.
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2473 posts
Posted on 10/3/10 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

Apple still has some catching up to do before it takes the lead, of course. As of now, there is a $60 billion difference in the two companies' market capitalization. If the price of Exxon stays flat, Apple's stock will need to rise 12 percent to move ahead of the oil giant, according to Brian Marshall, an analyst at Gleacher & Company.


$60 billion is a long way to go. And I don't understand how they conclude that only a 12% increase in share price is needed to make up the gap... shouldn't it be closer to 20-25% increase?

Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/3/10 at 7:12 pm to
quote:

shouldn't it be closer to 20-25% increase?
Sounds right to me.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 10/3/10 at 7:16 pm to
Yeah, I think you're right:

318,100,000,000 / 913,600,000 = 348.18

= percent change of 23%
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 10/3/10 at 7:20 pm to
Not if those hedge funds decided to keep it pinned.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/3/10 at 7:22 pm to


ETA: I bought an iPad today. Don't tell Scoop, please.....
This post was edited on 10/3/10 at 7:23 pm
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2473 posts
Posted on 10/3/10 at 9:48 pm to
quote:

And Apple shareholders will still have something to complain about: the approximately $50 billion in cash sitting on the company's balance sheet. "Apple needs to do something with all of that capital," Tran said. "I could understand wanting to have something in reserve, but $50 billion is such a ridiculous number that they should seriously consider returning some of it to shareholders in the form of share buybacks."


It's really surprising that the IRS isn't pursuing companies with the accumulated earnings tax in cases like this where they're clearly hording cash.
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26579 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 12:15 am to
With all these analysts starting to blindly say "Apple to $350 by the holiday season," I am pretty tempted to short. The PEG ratio, and expected growth rates leading to unsustainable forward PE ratios make me think the Apple hype has caused the stock to be overvalued. It's market cap won't get to XOM.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 4:28 am to
While I tend to agree with you, I went into an Apple Store (in Baton Rouge) for the first time this past Sunday afternoon to buy an iPad for a birthday gift for someone I know.

The store was like an ant colony. I kept thinking, "What economic slowdown?"

There was an Apple person greeting customers at the door advising us how long the wait would be before there would be an available sales person. And it wasn't like there were only 3 or 4 sales people working that day. I counted 14 'blue shirts' helping customers.

I realize this is anecdoctal, but I asked my sales person, when I finally got to speak to him, if this was typical for the store and he just grinned and said, "We're usually busier than this. The Saints are playing now."

Scoop may be onto something.....
Posted by kfizzle85
Member since Dec 2005
22022 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 8:22 am to
I've never said they didn't move product. Again, the whole point of this ongoing nonsense is the inability for someone to separate a good business from a good investment.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 8:28 am to
You may laugh, but I actually thought about you Sunday when I was in the Apple Store. I wished you could have seen it. It was like the Friday after Thanksgiving and they were discounting everything. I learned the hard way, the discounted NOTHING.

I agree with your point. Good business is not the same as good investing.
Posted by Monkey
Colorado
Member since Jan 2007
4172 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 9:23 am to
BTW, its a really easy to get a discount on apple products. There is the educational discount which they give to almost anyone that can kind of prove that they are a student. Then they have a whole host of corporate discounts.

There is no way APPL is worth more than XOM. Yes their margins are far superior but they just don't move enough product.

I will be buying a Gen2 ipad when they are released.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 9:30 am to
quote:

its a really easy to get a discount on apple products. There is the educational discount which they give to almost anyone that can kind of prove that they are a student.
In other words, lie?

Not worth it to me. A clear conscience is worth a lot more than a few dollars, IMO.
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27824 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 9:31 am to
quote:

In other words, lie?


Don't you teach? Why would it be a lie for educational purposes?

quote:

Not worth it to me.


Yeah it's probably 10% or less so 50 bucks. meh.
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27824 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 9:32 am to
quote:

will be buying a Gen2 ipad when they are released.


when is this supposed to occur or someone else with a decent competitor? I'd like to give one to the wife and take her laptop that she doesn't use for anything but the internet.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 9:40 am to
quote:

Don't you teach? Why would it be a lie for educational purposes?
If the iPad was for me, then I might be able to make a case for it. Even then, I'm not a public or private school teacher.

And as I wrote earlier, I was buying it as a birthday gift for someone I know and that person is not a teacher or trainer of any kind.

quote:

Yeah it's probably 10% or less so 50 bucks. meh.
Exactly. My total was a little over $800 because I bought the 64 GB, wifi only model plus a carrying case for it. Add in the taxes and there it is......
Posted by Monkey
Colorado
Member since Jan 2007
4172 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 9:45 am to
quote:

In other words, lie?

I can qualify for the education discount since I semi irregularly tutor kids. Am I an educator? Not really, but for apple purposes they seem to think I am.
quote:

A clear conscience is worth a lot more than a few dollars, IMO.

well I don't get the educational discount cause I get a corporate one, which is higher. And all I had to do was show them my business card.

I tend to think of discounts, where they require almost no proof, has a negotiating point. Like a coupon. or like negotiating car prices. Who pays sticker price? Everyone negotiates and this is a negotiation IMHO.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 9:48 am to
quote:

I can qualify for the education discount since I semi irregularly tutor kids.
Good for you. I don't.

quote:

I don't get the educational discount cause I get a corporate one, which is higher.
Again, good for you. I don't.

quote:

Everyone negotiates and this is a negotiation IMHO.
Okay.

Posted by Scoop
RIP Scoop
Member since Sep 2005
44583 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

ETA: I bought an iPad today. Don't tell Scoop, please.....


You are going to love it.

Come back and give us a review.

Bust my balls for being a loud mouthed financial novice, not for loving Apple products.

ETA: saw later it was as a gift, sorry.
This post was edited on 10/5/10 at 7:23 pm
Posted by Scoop
RIP Scoop
Member since Sep 2005
44583 posts
Posted on 10/5/10 at 7:16 pm to
quote:

With all these analysts starting to blindly say "Apple to $350 by the holiday season," I am pretty tempted to short. The PEG ratio, and expected growth rates leading to unsustainable forward PE ratios make me think the Apple hype has caused the stock to be overvalued. It's market cap won't get to XOM.


Pull the trigger, Hoss.
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