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Posted on 11/8/25 at 6:48 am to BigPerm30
quote:With the way the economy currently looks, particularly the job market, I don’t see a drop in the fed rate resulting in any substantial improvement.
Because the job market is in shambles. The 3% inflation is kind of shite because the CPI is too subjectively weighted. I feel like they can manipulate the CPI based on the narrative they are trying to create.
Posted on 11/8/25 at 8:51 am to wiltznucs
quote:
We just lost 150,000 jobs in October. The largest single month decrease in 20+ years. Auto loan and credit card delinquencies aren’t getting nearly enough media attention. Builders in my area can’t offload new homes even when buying the rates down. So the FOMC cutting rates won’t do shite. And forget selling your existing home when competing against builders doing that. I know more well educated and experienced people without a job than at any point in my adult life. And I went through the dot.com crash and global financial crisis. There’s people driving Porsche’s and Lexus’s in my Aldi parking lot lately.
I think it’s important to remember that the stock market is not the economy. Economic factors have been diverging from the market a while now. As long as people have 401Ks they are plowing money into and private equity firms have a glut of money, the market will likely continue to climb.
At some point the market will feel the pain, but the realities of people’s economic situation doesn’t seem indicative of what is or will happen in the stock market.
IMHO.
Posted on 11/9/25 at 7:57 am to Boomer Rick
quote:
Consumer spending and payroll data are still running positive year-over-year
Consumer spending trends don’t tell the story unless one also looks at the consumer debt numbers.
People can only maintain spending habits by bridging the gap with credit cards for so long. When available credit dries up, it’s a very sudden stop.
And if there’s one thing the economy and market do not like, it’s surprises.
Posted on 11/10/25 at 4:31 pm to FizzyPop
Hold your horses sunshine, this economy is still in the midst of buyden's recession.
There will def be brighter days ahead than where we've been from the last 5 yrs. But still a ways to go,
Getting Powell out will be one of the biggest indictors the economy will start to take off, considering 47 makes the right choice! hoping it cant be much worse than Yellen & Powell!!
There will def be brighter days ahead than where we've been from the last 5 yrs. But still a ways to go,
Getting Powell out will be one of the biggest indictors the economy will start to take off, considering 47 makes the right choice! hoping it cant be much worse than Yellen & Powell!!
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