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re: Why is LSU only a 2 point favorite over Baylor when we just beat OU by 20? What players?
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:42 am to beauchristopher
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:42 am to beauchristopher
quote:
At full strength LSU would be a decent favorite IMO, but not with the potential amount of opt outs.
The oddsmakers essentially use data-driven ratings to set lines. "Power ratings". Using those numbers LSU would likely be a 5.5 - 6.5 favorite if this were a regular season game. However, I'm sure the line is accommodating likely "opt outs". Campbell and Taylor are unlikely to play in the game. CJ Daniels is in the portal. Lacy may choose to skip the bowl game. That alone means the loss of your LT and potentially 3 of your top 4 pass catchers. That's not insignificant.
0
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:46 am to Saunson69
Their head coach is pretty good.
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:54 am to Saunson69
If Nuss leaves, we are fricked
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:55 am to Saunson69
quote:
Why is LSU only a 2 point favorite over Baylor when we just beat OU by 20? What players?
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:57 am to Saunson69
Bet um. I am
Posted on 12/10/24 at 12:01 pm to Saunson69
Uh probably Will Campbell for one
Posted on 12/10/24 at 12:03 pm to JimTiger72
I suspect if Nuss is gone Hurley would play quite a bit. Might be fun to watch…… might not.
Posted on 12/10/24 at 12:08 pm to Kool Kaliper
This makes the most sense.
Posted on 12/10/24 at 12:12 pm to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:
Melting like a bitch
nobody's melting over here, just calling it for what it is, they're all mercenaries, and for the large part have pretty much always been
Posted on 12/10/24 at 12:14 pm to Saunson69
Honestly even if Nuss is coming back I wouldn’t mind his sitting this game out…not worth the risk
Posted on 12/10/24 at 12:15 pm to Saunson69
Because there's a chance that Nuss opts out
Posted on 12/10/24 at 12:17 pm to Saunson69
Baylor will most likely have their starting 22
LSU could be without starters Campbell, Taylor, Lacy, and Alexander. Swinson says he is playing, but that could also change.
You already know Daniels is out. So if Lacy and Taylor sit, that's three of your top four receptions.
If Zy Alexander sits, your top three corners are Stamps, Woodland, and Michael Turner. After that, you are into walk-ons.
LSU is getting the three points because of the logo.
LSU could be without starters Campbell, Taylor, Lacy, and Alexander. Swinson says he is playing, but that could also change.
You already know Daniels is out. So if Lacy and Taylor sit, that's three of your top four receptions.
If Zy Alexander sits, your top three corners are Stamps, Woodland, and Michael Turner. After that, you are into walk-ons.
LSU is getting the three points because of the logo.
Posted on 12/10/24 at 1:21 pm to skullhawk
Well..,as of today… there are 16 portals and 2 declares and plenty room for more…. What can possibly go wrong?
The Texas bowl Tigers will not be the same team that beat Oklahoma.
The Texas bowl Tigers will not be the same team that beat Oklahoma.
Posted on 12/10/24 at 5:41 pm to Saunson69
quote:
There's no reason for me to believe that OU wouldn't be a 10-2 Big 12 team as they have done that the last 20 years, but drew probably #1 or #2 SOS.
No way they win 10 games with that team unless they are playing in CUSA. All signs point to Venables not knowing what the frick he is doing. This is the second time in 3 seasons they finished with 6 wins. Venables has had two different sets of offensive and defensive coordinators since he has been there. Riley left for USC a few years ago and if you were a freshman that Riley recruited and stayed at OU, it would mean you've actually played for 3 different offensive or defensive coordinators.
OU is in disarray.
This post was edited on 12/10/24 at 5:44 pm
Posted on 12/10/24 at 5:55 pm to Saunson69
1) we had home field advantage v Oklahoma, & night game
2) Oklahoma is not very good-- only 6-6 for the season
3) Baylor is currently tied with S Carolina as the hottest team in the nation
4) LSU wasn't favored by 20 v Oklahoma, but only by 5. The Tigers played exceptionally well last Saturday night
2) Oklahoma is not very good-- only 6-6 for the season
3) Baylor is currently tied with S Carolina as the hottest team in the nation
4) LSU wasn't favored by 20 v Oklahoma, but only by 5. The Tigers played exceptionally well last Saturday night
Posted on 12/10/24 at 9:37 pm to Saunson69
I can think of two reasons the bookies would keep a low point spread at this time. They don't yet know the total number of players who will go pro and will not play in the bowl game. They don't know how many additional players will enter the transfer portal. This is true for both teams.
Posted on 12/10/24 at 9:50 pm to Saunson69
You shouldn’t bet on a bowl game unless it’s a playoff. No telling who’s going to show up or sit out. Baylor may be favored by game time.
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:45 pm to SouthernInsanity
Is Noah Cain playing
Posted on 12/11/24 at 12:01 am to tarzana
I am sorry, but Baylor lost to the only decent teams they played. And they beat the bottomdwellers in the Big12 in that closing season streak.
Posted on 12/11/24 at 6:14 am to GeorgeWest
In normal conditions, LSU should beat Baylor.
If there are rampant opt outs the game could be a redux of 2021, without a QB of the calibre of Jontre. It would be brutal
If there are rampant opt outs the game could be a redux of 2021, without a QB of the calibre of Jontre. It would be brutal
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