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re: Why is it great pitching always beats great hitting?

Posted on 3/25/23 at 8:56 am to
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
24339 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 8:56 am to
quote:

You’re thinking of this in terms of average when you should be thinking of this in terms of runs scored Again, the quote from me above from a fabgraphs points out that it’s not as lopsided as the cliche states.


How about Whip and ERA? Would that speak to how great pitchers beat great hitting teams? I mean Aaron Nola did it week after week.
Lloyd Peever did it time after time and never lost. Go look at sun 2 ERAs dude. Geez
Posted by Rubberbandman21
Member since Aug 2021
92 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 8:57 am to
Because bad pitching beats good hitting 7 out of 10 times. Hitting is hard. Great pitching makes it much harder.
Posted by Curtis Lowe
Member since Dec 2019
1270 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Always is not meant literally, of course sometimes the hitters win. Also you have to factor in that even great pitchers have off days where they don't have their best stuff



On a lark while in college at LSU, a friend (lifelong Mets fan) and I drove to Houston to watch a mid-week pitching duel between two of the best pitchers at the time, Doc Gooden of the Mets and Mike Scott of the Astros. Those two combined to win 40+ games that season. One gave up 7 runs in 6 innings and the other gave up 5 runs in 6 innings, so much for a pitching duel and the game went to extra innings as a bonus. Not what I had expected at all, definitely a case of great pitchers not having their best stuff that night.
This post was edited on 3/25/23 at 9:16 am
Posted by BayTiger13
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2022
2049 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 9:15 am to
See the last at bat for the WBC for an example.

I'd bet Ohtani vs Trout would end the way it did more times than not. There is a reason that 3-10 times being successful at the plate makes you a good hitter.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 10:11 am to
quote:

It’s just an old cliche stuck in baseball that people go to when they don’t have any statistical data to back up a point they’re trying to make
If we assume the best baseball hitters in the world and the best baseball pitchers in the world play in the U.S. Major Leagues, the statistical data shows that last season the combined batting average of all hitters in the Major Leagues was .243.

So the pitchers kept batters from getting a hit more than 75% of the time.

If you believe that on-base % is a more important stat than batting average, the combined Major League OBP for all batters last season was .312, which was the lowest OBP for the Major Leagues since they've kept that statistic. So, overall, pitchers kept batters from getting on base almost 70% of the time.

That's pretty close to being considered pitching domination...
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
4774 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 11:52 am to
Because hitting something going 100mph with movement with a metal pole is very hard.
Posted by Purplengoldtigerfan
Eunice
Member since Sep 2015
906 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 12:02 pm to
quote:

It’s just an old cliche stuck in baseball that people go to when they don’t have any statistical data to back up a point they’re trying to make


How the hell you come up with this? A batting average is considered good when you go 3/10.

Nvm I see a bunch of folks correcting you.
This post was edited on 3/25/23 at 12:09 pm
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