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re: Who's Ready For Some Basketball Tonight?

Posted on 2/21/24 at 10:54 am to
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35416 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 10:54 am to
quote:

that's not even close to what Alt26 was saying.
The only change is that he is saying other people would say it. Of course he will gladly come on to this board to report what "other people" are saying ad nausea.
Posted by cmacatl13
the Berry
Member since May 2014
453 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 11:07 am to
A loss doesn’t take anything away from beating a ranked team on the road. Especially to Kentucky.
Posted by TheSheriffIsNear
Member since Feb 2024
34 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 11:12 am to
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28392 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 11:21 am to
quote:

I agree with what you say here, but your previous post was more pessimistic. You did say losing to Kentucky would appear to make the South Carolina game an aberration, but that ignores the obvious progress the team has made. If that was an aberration, the team has had several aberrations this season, which by definition means it isn’t aberrant. They had several Q1 victories this year. I think they may have had 1 last year. Losing today doesn’t mean the team has suddenly taken a big step backwards, and if the goodwill is lost, it is only lost among fans that aren’t following the team closely. A win today also doesn’t mean the team has taken a big step forward, however given where we are, I would consider a win a much bigger deal than a loss, since a loss is expected. It is unexpected results, such as the loss to Nichols, that moves the needle significantly. What is most important is how we win or lose. A win to Kentucky would move the needle no matter what, but a big win would move it a lot, while a close loss wouldn’t, but a big loss would move the needle a little. All of this changes in our future games against much weaker opponents, because we will be expected to win.


No, I said "most" (not specifically me) would consider the South Carolina win an aberration. That's the mindset of the majority of a fanbase when a program is trying to build support. Not just at LSU, but everywhere.

The victory vs. South Carolina was unexpected. With it brought some interest from many that generally haven't shown much interest. If LSU follows it up with a win tonight those same people are like to think "wait a minute. Maybe this team/program has something going". If LSU loses many of those same people will look at the USC win as more of an unexpected "one off".

I think you and I are discussing two different things. I said in my original post "a loss to UK doesn't kill the program". It doesn't mean that the season is lost. It doesn't mean the improvement from last year is meaningless. It just means the momentum from the win on Saturday stalls from a fan support/interest standpoint. And really, the biggest variable in that opinion is the opponent being Kentucky.

Anyone who has followed LSU basketball over the last 3 decades can tell you there have been many instances of the fans ready to jump on the bandwagon...only for LSU to lose and kill the momentum. Case in point, in Wade's first year LSU opened the season at home with a hard-fought 3 point loss vs. No. 17 Kentucky. They then followed up with an upset win at No. 11 Texas A&M (Water's deep, virtual, buzzer beater) before blowing out Arkansas on the road. The next game was at home on a Saturday night vs. Alabama. LSU and Wade promoted it a ton and it resulted in a sellout...that LSU promptly lost. The next game was a home game vs. Georgia. The attendance for that one was nearly a sellout (13,000+)...and LSU lost again. After that, LSU didn't get a home crowd anywhere close to 13k again for the rest of the season. The fans were ready to jump on the bandwagon at that Alabama game, but the loss killed the momentum.

McMahon hasn't had many "big" wins here at LSU. Contrary to the belief of some on here, the fans really do want to get behind the program. But it's going to take consistent winning to do so. LSU is now coming off of maybe their best win of the season and they are playing THE preeminent "brand" in SEC basketball. You get this one and I bet you will see a very good crowd on Saturday night. That's how the momentum in favor of McMahon starts to get rolling.
Posted by GeauxtigersMs36
The coast
Member since Jan 2018
7972 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 11:24 am to
Remember it’s hard to win on the road this year. Expect to be close… tigers pull out a Win!
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
6516 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 11:26 am to
anyone got info on Jalen Cook?
Posted by drizztiger
Deal With it!
Member since Mar 2007
37203 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 11:34 am to
quote:

anyone got info on Jalen Cook?
CoachMc said he’ll test it out in shootaround, so I assume that’ll be a game time decision.
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
6516 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 11:57 am to
quote:

CoachMc said he’ll test it out in shootaround, so I assume that’ll be a game time decision.



That is what i read as well, hoping he is able to get out there bc we really need him tonight
Posted by LSUFootballLover
BR
Member since Oct 2008
3591 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 12:05 pm to
quote:

This is pretty much where I fall at the moment. Which is sad because I watched every single game when *REDACTED* was the coach. I chose to redact his name so we can skip the part where we argue about him. My point isn't about the coach but that winning makes people show interest regardless of who is in charge.


Well said. I agree with your sentiment 100%. If you say something like this, you are a Redacted nut hugger. I don’t cheer for him, I cheer for LSU, but he won and basketball was fun. That’s what I want again. That said, Geaux Tigers! Beat Kentucky!

Posted by Lapaz
Member since Dec 2018
540 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

Remember it’s hard to win on the road this year. Expect to be close… tigers pull out a Win!


This is almost always true, however Kentucky has the #1 away winning percentage in the SEC at 71%, while they are only 7th in the SEC at home at 74%, so for some reason they seem to play just as good away from home this year as they do at home. They don't seem to be impacted as much by being away from home as other teams, and since LSU's crowd isn't as rowdy as many, I think it won't impact them at all. On the other hand, it should help LSU, but Kentucky is playing very well at the moment.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28392 posts
Posted on 2/21/24 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

This is almost always true, however Kentucky has the #1 away winning percentage in the SEC at 71%...so for some reason they seem to play just as good away from home this year as they do at home


Part of that reason is because they really haven't played a tough slate of true road games:

Louisville
Florida
A&M (L)
South Carolina (L)
Arkansas
Vanderbilt
Auburn

Obviously the Auburn win is really, really impressive. But other than that the only team they beat on the road with a pulse is Florida...by 2.

It's Kentucky. They are used to getting every opponent's "best crowd". So I doubt LSU's moderately more energetic crowd will have a huge effect. Particularly with them coming off a great performance at maybe the toughest road environment in the SEC. But in context it's hard to say they have been "world beaters" on the road.
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