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What LSU needs to get into playoff at 9-3
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:06 pm
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:06 pm
Not saying we win out and in fact I don’t think we do, but the logic below is sound in regards to subject if we did:
Bama has a weak remaining SOS. They’ll get to Atlanta and face Georgia.
Georgia (11-1)
Bama (10-2)
Say there’s a 5 way tie for third at 9-3 (6-3) in the SEC:
LSU — win out
Texas — lose to LSU, beat A&M
Tennessee — lose to LSU, beat A&M and Vandy
Ole Miss — beat OU and State
Kentucky — lose to Florida or Mizzou
Late season wins over top 10 Texas and Tennessee by LSU would hold more weight than the early season wins Ole Miss and Kentucky got over us. Say we’re #20-22 this week then beat #6 Texas. That would put us around #15-17. Then we beat #7ish Tennessee on the road that would jump us several more spots to #13 right on the outside looking in. After those games we could and should jump Texas and Tennessee replacing them as the third highest ranked SEC team.
Then you have rivalry week where a couple teams ahead of us catch losses. Regardless when it comes down to final rankings there’s no way the committee only puts 2 SEC teams in the playoff when they had 5 teams in the playoff this week (including 2-loss SEC teams ahead of undefeated B1G team). Clearly they value our conference SOS. Playoff predictor says 95% chance at least one 9-3 team gets in and without a doubt that team would come from the SEC.
The little bit of help we’d need is Tennessee and Texas finishing strong at 9-3 to help our resume and Kentucky losing at least 1 so they aren’t the sole third place SEC team at 10-2 (7-2). That 3rd loss they catch would drop them below us and 3 loss Ole Miss has no more games on their schedule to boost their resume after getting dogwalked by Georgia.
I’ll take my downvotes now for a level headed post after a loss on the scoreboard
Bama has a weak remaining SOS. They’ll get to Atlanta and face Georgia.
Georgia (11-1)
Bama (10-2)
Say there’s a 5 way tie for third at 9-3 (6-3) in the SEC:
LSU — win out
Texas — lose to LSU, beat A&M
Tennessee — lose to LSU, beat A&M and Vandy
Ole Miss — beat OU and State
Kentucky — lose to Florida or Mizzou
Late season wins over top 10 Texas and Tennessee by LSU would hold more weight than the early season wins Ole Miss and Kentucky got over us. Say we’re #20-22 this week then beat #6 Texas. That would put us around #15-17. Then we beat #7ish Tennessee on the road that would jump us several more spots to #13 right on the outside looking in. After those games we could and should jump Texas and Tennessee replacing them as the third highest ranked SEC team.
Then you have rivalry week where a couple teams ahead of us catch losses. Regardless when it comes down to final rankings there’s no way the committee only puts 2 SEC teams in the playoff when they had 5 teams in the playoff this week (including 2-loss SEC teams ahead of undefeated B1G team). Clearly they value our conference SOS. Playoff predictor says 95% chance at least one 9-3 team gets in and without a doubt that team would come from the SEC.
The little bit of help we’d need is Tennessee and Texas finishing strong at 9-3 to help our resume and Kentucky losing at least 1 so they aren’t the sole third place SEC team at 10-2 (7-2). That 3rd loss they catch would drop them below us and 3 loss Ole Miss has no more games on their schedule to boost their resume after getting dogwalked by Georgia.
I’ll take my downvotes now for a level headed post after a loss on the scoreboard
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:09 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
As a diehard fan no matter what I’m with you. Gotta figure out what’s the best outcome and keep rooting for the tigers. I think 9-3 gets us somewhere in the 11-15 range not sure if we get in though.
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:09 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
This mediocre club will defeat Texas but will lose at rocky top. This mediocre LSU club will finish 8-4, “winding up a zero.”
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:10 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
These guards ain’t winning that game in Nyland im sorry lol
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:11 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Reminds me of LSUmatt in 2007
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:12 pm to Sneakerhead42
quote:Key is being the 3rd highest ranked SEC team. Even going into the final week if right on outside looking in the committee will pull the rug under someone like they always do and put in a 3rd SEC team.
As a diehard fan no matter what I’m with you. Gotta figure out what’s the best outcome and keep rooting for the tigers. I think 9-3 gets us somewhere in the 11-15 range not sure if we get in though.
Just no way they’d only put in 2
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:14 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:
Key is being the 3rd highest ranked SEC team. Even going into the final week if right on outside looking in the committee will pull the rug under someone like they always do and put in a 3rd SEC team. Just no way they’d only put in 2
I think we need to root for Oklahoma to beat Ole Miss then that’s probably our best chance
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:14 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Its time to give this playoff crap up! This team and coaching staff neither one deserve to be in the playoffs! Kiffin and this staff just laid a royal green egg in this game. It will be interesting to see how they respond after this game. I think they fold the tent and ride it out but hey, at least we have the suspense of waiting to see who gets off the bus with Kiffin Circus next Saturday!!!
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:15 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Old Miss will need to lose at Oklahoma next week, and LSU would have to run the table. This LSU is not going to win at Tennessee.
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:15 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
We have a very viable pass to playoffs.
Tenn and Texas wins look strong
Tenn and Texas wins look strong
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:15 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
What if South Carolina wins out? They have Georgia at home after a Arkansas game they should handle pretty easily.
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:16 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Would need ole Miss to lose to OU & Kentucky to lose to both Mizzou & Florida preferably. I don’t think they lose to Florida however
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:16 pm to tonydtiger
That’s right. LSU may as well finish 6-6 at this point because it ain’t making the playoff.
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:19 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:
LSU — win out
Texas — lose to LSU, beat A&M
Tennessee — lose to LSU, beat A&M and Vandy
Ole Miss — beat OU and State
Kentucky — lose to Florida or Mizzou
Of all this, the first is least likely to happen
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:19 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
College Football sucks these days.
So LSU gets into the playoffs and travels and gets slaughtered in round 1.
No thanks.
So LSU gets into the playoffs and travels and gets slaughtered in round 1.
No thanks.
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:22 pm to KillTheGophers
To win two more difficult games. That’s what LSU needs
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:24 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
I appreciate the optimism but this season is OVER
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:24 pm to MasterAbe1
quote:
Would need ole Miss to lose to OU & Kentucky to lose to both Mizzou & Florida
This is where we are as a program. With LSU, its always who we need to lose so we can do this or that or make the playoffs! How about, for once lets not crap the bed and lose games we should win and not have to worry about what happens in other games! Oh well, we should be used to this by now.
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:24 pm to Sneakerhead42
quote:would definitely be safer for us.
I think we need to root for Oklahoma to beat Ole Miss then that’s probably our best chance
Posted on 11/7/26 at 11:27 pm to Cd104
quote:id be shocked if we won at Tennessee
These guards ain’t winning that game in Nyland im sorry lol

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