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What is the basketball equivalent of the hockey "Plus Minus Rating" Statistic?

Posted on 2/26/19 at 10:53 am
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
86175 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 10:53 am
Basically, I want to know which LSU player provides the most overall point total advantage (Plus Minus) when they are on the court, factoring in offense and defense. In other words, calculated together, LSU tends to score more with them on the court and the opponent tends to score less when they are on the court. It's more complicated than that because of variables, but you get the picture.


I've heard it referred to as "plus minus" in basketball too. My suspicion is that this would be Kavell Bigby Edwards. Anybody want to take a shot at edubacating me?


Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
57989 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 10:55 am to
that would be a stat called "Plus-Minus"



This post was edited on 2/26/19 at 10:56 am
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111525 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:01 am to
Its called plus minus Or sometimes on/off


Regardless, its a terrible stat
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
37938 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:02 am to
quote:

Regardless, its a terrible stat


Why? I think it is a pretty decent stat.
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
86175 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:04 am to
I think it's a great hockey stat. Why not in basketball?
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111525 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:05 am to
It is as much a measure of ones backup as it is ones actual worth

For example, here are the NBA leaders in plus minus over the last 5 seasons

This post was edited on 2/26/19 at 11:10 am
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9925 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:11 am to
You're correct.

LINK

quote:

Rk Player G GS MP PER TS% eFG% 3PAr FTr PProd ORB% DRB% TRB% AST% STL% BLK% TOV% USG% OWS DWS WS WS/40 OBPM DBPM BPM ? 1 Kavell Bigby-Williams 27 18 559 25.4 .680 .689 .000 .598 211 14.3 19.9 17.1 4.0 1.1 10.5 11.8 15.2 1.9 0.9 2.9 .204 4.7 6.0 10.7 2 Darius Days 27 3 412 20.7 .595 .563 .459 .252 154 15.5 15.6 15.5 3.9 3.1 2.7 10.8 16.1 1.3 0.7 1.9 .186 6.1 2.3 8.3 3 Skylar Mays 27 27 876 19.5 .590 .525 .531 .434 341 1.2 9.6 5.4 11.7 3.4 0.6 9.6 18.7 2.6 1.1 3.7 .171 6.2 1.9 8.0 4 Tremont Waters 26 24 847 21.8 .550 .503 .437 .346 435 1.0 9.2 5.1 34.2 5.0 0.4 20.2 26.1 2.0 1.3 3.4 .158 5.5 2.2 7.7 5 Emmitt Williams 26 7 524 20.4 .650 .627 .053 .649 199 15.2 16.0 15.6 3.4 0.9 3.2 16.7 16.3 1.5 0.6 2.1 .161 4.0 1.2 5.2 6 Marshall Graves 7 0 43 15.5 .573 .538 .769 .154 14 2.7 8.0 5.4 4.0 1.3 2.6 0.0 15.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 .156 4.8 -0.6 4.2 7 Marlon Taylor 27 17 631 12.7 .565 .530 .351 .507 182 6.6 11.1 8.9 3.7 1.7 1.1 15.7 14.9 0.9 0.6 1.6 .100 2.4 1.1 3.5 8 Naz Reid 27 25 691 20.3 .560 .518 .239 .390 342 10.6 19.1 14.8 6.6 1.7 3.8 17.8 27.1 1.4 1.0 2.4 .140 1.6 1.5 3.1 9 Ja'vonte Smart 27 14 792 13.0 .484 .427 .382 .288 291 1.9 10.7 6.3 14.2 2.6 0.4 14.9 21.5 0.9 0.9 1.8 .091 1.1 1.2 2.2 10 Will Reese 6 0 22 9.5 .333 .333 .333 .000 6 10.5 10.4 10.5 15.1 2.6 0.0 14.3 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 .046 -0.1 1.4 1.3 11 Daryl Edwards 9 0 154 8.2 .523 .485 .606 .333 42 3.0 7.5 5.2 11.7 1.1 0.7 23.9 15.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 .049 0.7 -0.2 0.5
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:13 am to
Holy numbers
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
86175 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:20 am to
So it is Bigby, Cool.

I'm not going to argue if it's a good stat or not, I simply lack the expertise to comment. Hence the reason I brought it here for an explanation.
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9925 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:30 am to
quote:

Holy numbers


Look for "10.7"

Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9925 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:32 am to
https://www.sports-reference.com/cbb/leaders/bpm-player-yearly.html

Wow, look at Zion.

quote:

Box Plus/Minus Yearly Leaders and Records Leaders are based on stats from the 1985-86 through 2018-19 seasons. Not all leaderboards are available for seasons prior to 1992-93. Since 2010-11 Minimum 20 MP/G and 75% of school games Season Player BPM School 2018-19 Zion Williamson 21.22 Duke 2017-18 Gary Clark 15.53 Cincinnati 2016-17 Sindarius Thornwell 16.17 South Carolina 2015-16 Denzel Valentine 16.54 Michigan State 2014-15 Karl-Anthony Towns 17.30 Kentucky 2013-14 Joel Embiid 14.94 Kansas 2012-13 Victor Oladipo 16.97 Indiana 2011-12 Anthony Davis 18.67 Kentucky 2010-11 Draymond Green 13.64 Michigan State
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9925 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:34 am to
quote:

I'm not going to argue if it's a good stat or not


It's a great stat. Values play at both ends of the court. Most basic function of sports, does your team score more points than the other team while you are in play.
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
86175 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 11:57 am to
It would seem so. But dude above is vehement in his disagreement and I really haven't taken a deep-dive into why it may/may not be a great stat.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290911 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 12:00 pm to
quote:

does your team score more points than the other team while you are in play.


It’s one component of 10 that are on the court at the same time. You shouldn’t put much stock into it
Posted by mhc4tigers
Member since Aug 2016
4578 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 12:00 pm to
Earlier in th year NAZ had a very high plus minus number. Bigby is right up there I am sure
Posted by DeathValley85
Member since May 2011
19318 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 12:04 pm to
quote:

It would seem so. But dude above is vehement in his disagreement and I really haven't taken a deep-dive into why it may/may not be a great stat.


It’s just the simplest and most easily calculated player metric. Meaning there are better ones that include more factors.

Like PER in the nba for example.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111525 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

It's a great stat. Values play at both ends of the court. Most basic function of sports, does your team score more points than the other team while you are in play.




Sometimes the output tells you everything you need to know about the worth of the input

This post was edited on 2/26/19 at 1:11 pm
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Sometimes the output tells you everything you need to know about the worth of the input


Yeah, and that output tells you not to use it on a single-game basis. The career BPM leaders are Jordan, LeBron, Barkley, Paul, and the Admiral.

LINK

Looks a bit better that way, doesn't it? The single season leaders are 2017 Westbrook, 2009 LeBron, and 1989 Jordan. The more data, the better the stat works. It's fairly useless on a game-by-game level, but it works really well over a career or even a season.

It's the problem +/- has in hockey: goals are fairly rare and sometimes random, so you can end up with really weird +/- results, though it evens out over a career (leaders are Larry Robinson, Orr, Borque, Gretzky, and Bobby Clarke). It's also why analysts use shot attempt +/- in hockey instead (Corsi). Because basketball has so much scoring, the rarity of goals isn't as big of a deal, but it still needs about a half season before I'd read anything into +/-. I like it as well, though it is obviously team-dependent.
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
86175 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 2:30 pm to
And that’s why you are the great NHL master. I was listening to my daily Avalanche podcast sometime in the last week or so and they were making the case that even on a season basis, Plus Minus can be completely off. That career list is pretty convincing. Especially Bourque. We both know why I like that one, lol.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
111525 posts
Posted on 2/26/19 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

Yeah, and that output tells you not to use it on a single-game basis
I gave you 5 years worth of data, but it appears I filtered on highest individual game

Here is cumulative plus/minus leaders over the last 5 seasons. It still shows the stats faults......





Also, you posted BOX plus/minus my friend.....Which is far more useful than standard plus/minus



This post was edited on 2/26/19 at 3:15 pm
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