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What do you think is more probable - 10 wins or losing season?
Posted on 7/22/18 at 6:07 pm
Posted on 7/22/18 at 6:07 pm
Replacing a lot of guys, tough schedule... I say losing season is more likely, but we'll probably win 7 or 8 with a chance to win 9 in a bowl game.
27
Posted on 7/22/18 at 6:10 pm to Broski
10 wins. We are being severely underrated imo
Posted on 7/22/18 at 6:17 pm to Broski
10 wins, and I'm a nega-Tiger.
Posted on 7/22/18 at 6:27 pm to Broski
10 wins.
The floor is 7-6 barring very bad luck with injuries.
If any of the QBs play close to what Etling did last season, 9 or 10 wins is possible. Better QB play than 2017 and 10-3 or better is very likely.
The floor is 7-6 barring very bad luck with injuries.
If any of the QBs play close to what Etling did last season, 9 or 10 wins is possible. Better QB play than 2017 and 10-3 or better is very likely.
Posted on 7/22/18 at 6:37 pm to Broski
10 wins would be a miracle given our tough schedule.
We lose to Miami in the opener, I could see the season spiral down out of control.
Sadly, I think a losing season is more probable given the choices....
We lose to Miami in the opener, I could see the season spiral down out of control.
Sadly, I think a losing season is more probable given the choices....
Posted on 7/22/18 at 6:41 pm to NorthEndZone
10 or more wins: <20%
9 wins: ~20%
8 wins: ~30%
7 wins: ~20%
6 or fewer: ~10%
According to the Tarzana algorithm method.
9 wins: ~20%
8 wins: ~30%
7 wins: ~20%
6 or fewer: ~10%
According to the Tarzana algorithm method.
Posted on 7/22/18 at 6:45 pm to Broski
There is no reason whatsoever that we should have a losing season.
We will finish somewhere between 7-5 and 10-2. If we lose more than 5, Orgeron is out because that would be inexcusable.
7-5 or 8-4 is where there will be major disagreement on what to do going forward. But anything worse than 7-5 is a no-brainer... Alleva and O will be sent packing. On the flip side, anything better than 8-4 is also a no-brainer... O will certainly get 2019.
We will finish somewhere between 7-5 and 10-2. If we lose more than 5, Orgeron is out because that would be inexcusable.
7-5 or 8-4 is where there will be major disagreement on what to do going forward. But anything worse than 7-5 is a no-brainer... Alleva and O will be sent packing. On the flip side, anything better than 8-4 is also a no-brainer... O will certainly get 2019.
This post was edited on 7/22/18 at 6:50 pm
Posted on 7/22/18 at 6:47 pm to Broski
First off off, it's a bit early to say 10, 9, 8, however many wins.
From all I read this will be one of LSU's better defenses, and special teams will almost certainly be better with the new transfer kicker. LSU will have a very respected new OL coach in James Cregg, along with a lot more depth than last year. The WR talent is insane, and we have some new faces coming in at RB who were highly recruited.
What I am waiting to see is the results of the QB battle. If LSU is good there, all the pieces are in place for a run at the SEC title.
From all I read this will be one of LSU's better defenses, and special teams will almost certainly be better with the new transfer kicker. LSU will have a very respected new OL coach in James Cregg, along with a lot more depth than last year. The WR talent is insane, and we have some new faces coming in at RB who were highly recruited.
What I am waiting to see is the results of the QB battle. If LSU is good there, all the pieces are in place for a run at the SEC title.
Posted on 7/22/18 at 7:04 pm to Broski
10 wins is way more probable than a losing season.
My likelihood distribution:
12 wins: 1%
11 wins: 9%
10 wins: 27%
9 wins: 33%
8 wins: 17%
7 wins: 9%
6 wins: 3%
5 wins: 1%
That gives a mean (average) of 9 wins, and a median of 9.5 wins.
My likelihood distribution:
12 wins: 1%
11 wins: 9%
10 wins: 27%
9 wins: 33%
8 wins: 17%
7 wins: 9%
6 wins: 3%
5 wins: 1%
That gives a mean (average) of 9 wins, and a median of 9.5 wins.
Posted on 7/22/18 at 7:05 pm to Broski
quote:LSU perhaps 2-8
What do you think is more probable - 10 wins or losing season?
U
Posted on 7/22/18 at 7:07 pm to Old
10 wins.
No way we go less than 7-5. We have too many good players and several good coaches and Dave Aranda (a top coach).
I still think we'll be 9-3.
No way we go less than 7-5. We have too many good players and several good coaches and Dave Aranda (a top coach).
I still think we'll be 9-3.
This post was edited on 7/22/18 at 7:08 pm
Posted on 7/22/18 at 7:42 pm to Broski
10 wins.. the wheels would have to be completely off for a losing season
Posted on 7/22/18 at 7:57 pm to Broski
I'd say 10 as I learned a hard lesson last year writing them off after Troy. I was predicting 5 & 7 after that game. They showed a ton of heart finishing 9 & 3. The bowl game infuriated me, but it is what it is. Yes, I realize this season's schedule is much tougher, but I will not predict any more losing seasons, no siree; even if 2 losses in September, I'm still not writing em off.
Posted on 7/22/18 at 7:59 pm to Bucks2TigerFan
What you think median means is not what it means. Median would be 9
Posted on 7/22/18 at 8:06 pm to datten1
Nope, median is the 50% point in the distribution, which is 9.5 in what I gave. 9 wins is the 30-70 in my listing, not the 50-50 point. You're confusing mean and median.
Posted on 7/22/18 at 8:12 pm to Broski
10 win probability 17%
Losing season probably 4%
Losing season probably 4%
Posted on 7/22/18 at 8:17 pm to Broski
quote:
Broski
What do you think is more probable - 10 wins or losing season?
Losing season way less probable, I think 10 wins is achievable but not easy, losing 7 games just does not seem possible with our defense and the skilled players we have on the team.
Posted on 7/22/18 at 8:17 pm to Broski
It all starts with the hurricanes. Win that we coming
Posted on 7/22/18 at 8:21 pm to Broski
10 Wins.
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