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re: The point spread just doesn't seem right?
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:09 pm to lsu711
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:09 pm to lsu711
Almost every SEC game we played last year we breezed through and won by 13 against a Mississippi state team(That was way better than this Auburn team)on the road on Thursday night. Mississippi State beat Auburn by 18 and could have been 24. I just think this LSU team is on a different level than anyone else but Alabama. If we are only favored by 18 in this game I could see a 3 point spread for Florida and Alabama favored by 17 when we play them.
1
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:10 pm to lsutiger2011
quote:
How are we only 18.5 favorites against Auburn?
If you think it is low, place a bet. If you don't like to bet, no need to look at spreads. Spreads aren't set at where the experts think the score will be, they are set to keep the money fairly even on both sides.
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:10 pm to lsutiger2011
SEC refs will call the game....
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:20 pm to lsutiger2011
quote:
How are we only 18.5 favorites against Auburn? Auburn is atleast the 4th to 6th worst team in the West. If we are only favored by 3 possessions to them I hate to see what the spread will be when we play Florida, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Alabama, and Arkansas.
heres how they work on lsu, vegas sets the line based on the general public's perception (sec game on the road, hostile environment blah blah)...that being said they set it at 18.5, then it will move to 21 by the end of the week because people think "surely lsu will cover that" and throw down mucho cheds. the betting public sees it move 3 points in favor of lsu, so they bet on auburn to cover because in their minds its a free 3 points. this insures that the money is even on either side and vegas wins no matter what
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:23 pm to harry coleman beast
quote:
Home field worth 3. Auburn refs worth 10.
Auburn blew their ref budget on the ULM game. Refs may only be good for 6 pts or so.
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:24 pm to harry coleman beast
quote:
Home field worth 3. Auburn refs worth 10.
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:26 pm to willhigg6
its the largest road favorite point spread in the history of the series. sheesh!!
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:27 pm to lsutiger2011
Vegas hates LSU. It's a conspiracy.
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:28 pm to alajones
quote:
Vegas hates LSU. It's a conspiracy.
indeed, its easy money too because lsu covered every conference game last year except for kentucky if i remember correctly....they also covered against oregon and wvu
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:30 pm to BhamTigah
quote:
If you think it is low, place a bet. If you don't like to bet, no need to look at spreads. Spreads aren't set at where the experts think the score will be, they are set to keep the money fairly even on both sides.
^^ This
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:35 pm to lsutiger2011
If something looks like a sucker bet, it USUALLY is. The football pool I'm in selects 10 games a week and this will probably be one of them. If so, I'll be counterintuitive in picking Auburn, but will place the minimum bet.
And if LSU covers, I'll lose, but still be stoked.
Win-Win.
And if LSU covers, I'll lose, but still be stoked.
Win-Win.
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:35 pm to redfieldk717
We have only won 1 out of the last three or four games recently against auburn. 18.5 points at auburn is a good line. Auburn will be playing with a chip on their shoulder about feeling disrespected at home with a line that high. They will also see beating lsu would put their season back on track for a decent bowl game. This is a serious test for a young team playing its first road game of the year. By this time last year we were battle hardned. This year we have only played cupcakes.
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:36 pm to lsutiger2011
This thread just caused the spread to move two points.
Thanks a lot jackass!
Thanks a lot jackass!
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:38 pm to Hugo Stiglitz
before the season started i believe the line was at -8.5 That would have been the time to jump on it. Hindsight...20/20...grumble.
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:39 pm to Hugo Stiglitz
I got it at -18 
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:40 pm to gjackx
quote:
The guys that set these lines know what they are doing.
what are they doing? are they predicting the point spread or are they trying to split the money?
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:40 pm to Polar Bear
quote:
When was the last time we breezed through a road game in the SEC at night?
The last time we played a road SEC game at night, LSU 52 Ole Miss 3.
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:40 pm to Hugo Stiglitz
quote:
This thread just caused the spread to move two points.
Thanks a lot jackass!
I'm seeing -21 now.
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:40 pm to AlexLSU
if we dont cover 18 ill let someone kick me in the nuts
Posted on 9/17/12 at 3:42 pm to redfieldk717
quote:
heres how they work on lsu, vegas sets the line based on the general public's perception (sec game on the road, hostile environment blah blah)...that being said they set it at 18.5, then it will move to 21 by the end of the week because people think "surely lsu will cover that" and throw down mucho cheds. the betting public sees it move 3 points in favor of lsu, so they bet on auburn to cover because in their minds its a free 3 points. this insures that the money is even on either side and vegas wins no matter what
its already moved to 21...see vegas is trying to seem like if you take auburn now that its good value because of the "free points" you get now. we may see this sucker go to 23 or 24
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