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re: The CHY Top 20 (guaranteed)

Posted on 8/18/12 at 4:26 pm to
Posted by loopdog
Alexandria, La.
Member since Nov 2011
476 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 4:26 pm to
Put down the crack pipe !
Posted by chinhoyang
Member since Jun 2011
25569 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 4:34 pm to
This is my final list.

End of the season, 16 teams will be properly placed.

If not, I will cease posting for sixty days as punishment. No alters, no lurking.

If I am correct, however, you must declare me the master of team rank predictions.

Is that a deal, little bitches?
This post was edited on 8/18/12 at 4:36 pm
Posted by Guava Jelly
Bawston
Member since Jul 2009
11947 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 4:37 pm to
Make it a cool 3 months and you'll have a deal, little bitch.

BTW... Would you care to make another wager regarding LSU vs Towson? I'll give you the same odds your coworker gave you.
This post was edited on 8/18/12 at 4:38 pm
Posted by Volt
Ascension Island, S Atlantic Ocean
Member since Nov 2009
3197 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 4:44 pm to
quote:

I wish I was wrong.


you are

Posted by ApexTiger
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
56129 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 4:44 pm to
Do you have LSU in the National Title game?

LSU will beat Alabama and win the SEC...

so, for in order for Alabama to finish above LSU, LSU has to lose it's bowl game and Bama win theirs
Posted by meddizzle
Colorado
Member since Apr 2008
800 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 4:45 pm to


80% you are an idiot
20% you are a lucky idiot


We will see
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67786 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 5:14 pm to
what
Posted by DocBugbear
Arlington, Texas
Member since Mar 2008
8139 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

This is my final list.
End of the season, 16 teams will be properly placed.
If not, I will cease posting for sixty days as punishment. No alters, no lurking.
If I am correct, however, you must declare me the master of team rank predictions.
Is that a deal, little bitches?



You sir, are a hack. From your claims it is obvious that there are serious flaws in your methodology and assumptions. There are uncertainties that you have no way to predict that can have a dramatic affect on the outcome. For example, if a big player for one of your middle of the road teams is injured and they lose an extra game then every team shifts by one place. I can only assume that you fit data for one or two previous years and tweaked parameters until you hit 80% of the previous years data, and are now claiming 80% on the following year (which is in no way valid). I for one won't be checking back...
Posted by dbt_Geaux_Tigers_196
Dystopia (but well cared for)
Member since Mar 2012
25235 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 7:09 pm to
quote:

I've developed an 80% accurate methodology.

Which would translate to living in Vegas as a millionaire.
Posted by Guava Jelly
Bawston
Member since Jul 2009
11947 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 7:16 pm to
I'm still waiting for him to comment back on my bet proposition.

He bet a coworker (at 100:1 odds) that Towson would beat LSU. Said he has a feeling it will happen.
Dudes a tool
Posted by chinhoyang
Member since Jun 2011
25569 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 7:51 pm to
I've placed two more Towson bets, but at 1000:1. I bet $20, and will likely make $20,000.

I just have a gut feeling.
Posted by NorthshoreTiger76
Pelicans, Saints, & LSU Fan
Member since May 2009
83487 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 8:00 pm to
Likely??? Hahaha
Posted by ClientNumber9
Member since Feb 2009
9945 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 8:05 pm to
Bookmarked so I can come back in a few months and call you an ignorant piece of shite.
Posted by Thunder Tiger
Member since Sep 2011
2608 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

There are uncertainties that you have no way to predict that can have a dramatic affect on the outcome.

THIS is the truth that thwarts the best prognosticators year in and year out, and I don't think the OP appreciates this while using words like "guaranteed", and that his prediction is the way it "will" play out. It's incredibly lucky to not have the unexpected/unforeseen strike.
Posted by chinhoyang
Member since Jun 2011
25569 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 8:06 pm to
My system factors in the unforeseeable. Also, when a team has a great coach like Nick Saban, the team has the ability to slough off the unforeseeable.

Posted by blackjackjackson
fourth dimension
Member since May 2008
7684 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 8:26 pm to
wow,
compare my list to your list:

1. USC
2. Oklahoma
3. Alabama
4. Oregon
5. LSU
6. Florida State
7. West Virginia
8. Michigan State
9. TCU
10. Georgia
11. Virginia Tech
12. Wisconsin
13. South Carolina
14. Arkansas
15. Clemson
16. Ohio State
17. Stanford
18. Michigan
19. Oklahoma State
20. Nebraska

i can't believe we have such exacting duplicate minds.

ow, ouch.
Posted by Thunder Tiger
Member since Sep 2011
2608 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

My system factors in the unforeseeable.

Please elaborate. Do you have two systems, one outcome for the expected, and one for the unexpected possibilities?

Also, how can you possibly factor how the pollsters/voters will vote based on the unforeseen happening? Could your system have predicted the NC rematches in 96 and 2011 before the season started?
Posted by DocBugbear
Arlington, Texas
Member since Mar 2008
8139 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

My system factors in the unforeseeable.


You system can't because that's impossible.

quote:

Also, when a team has a great coach like Nick Saban, the team has the ability to slough off the unforeseeable.


Teams like Bama are of little concern because they are not heavily depending upon one player. Other teams are. A few years back Oregon was unbeatable... Then their QB Dixon went down and they went back to being an also ran. How's Arky going to do if they lose their QB? They are going to lose an extra game or two.

In short, you are deluded... and apparently you've deluded yourself.
Posted by Cadello
Eunice
Member since Dec 2007
48844 posts
Posted on 8/18/12 at 8:57 pm to
quote:

The CHY Top 20 (guaranteed)
Rots of Ruck
Posted by 2007lsuno1
Marietta, GA
Member since Aug 2009
6692 posts
Posted on 8/19/12 at 8:11 am to
quote:

chinhoyang



quote:

I just have a gut feeling.



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