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re: The BCS vs Playoff Debate

Posted on 7/15/09 at 4:33 pm to
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
30526 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

how can this be logical

if every team in a playoff has the ability to be the champ, then every slot matters as much as any other

the 8th slot in an 8-team playoff race means as much as the 2nd team in the BCS


This is an excellent point and whenever it is brought up the only reponse playoff people have is "well...uhh...its better to screw over #9 than #3. If you're #9 you probably don't have an argument anyway".

What they don't realize is #9 doesn't have to have an argument to be #1...they only need an argument to be #8. And there would be many more teams left crying and whining with legit arguments for a #8 seed, or a #16 seed, than there are with claims to be #1 or #2 right now.
Posted by DocBugbear
Arlington, Texas
Member since Mar 2008
8139 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 4:35 pm to
I could debate this point by point, but I don't see any reason to. I'm tired of this argument, and I don't see any of us changing the others minds.
Posted by loweralabamatrojan
Lower Alabama
Member since Oct 2006
13240 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

if they truly deserve a shot, they could have done more on the field. even AU in 2004 could have done more on the field
How could they have done more than beat everybody?

Not schedule The Citadel? I could be mistaken, but I believe they only penciled that one in because somebody else better cancelled on them.
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

the 8th slot in an 8-team playoff race means as much as the 2nd team in the BCS

I disagree. If you get in the top 2, you have to win one game, as opposed to winning three games if you are in the top 8.

Like I said in the other thread. The #3 team left out of a two team playoff has more beef than a #9 team playoff left out of an 8 team playoff.
Posted by mikedatyger
Orlandeaux, FL
Member since Jun 2005
4346 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 4:52 pm to
quote:


Not schedule The Citadel? I could be mistaken, but I believe they only penciled that one in because somebody else better cancelled on them


Yes. Unless they have NO OTHER choice. If you schedule a Citadel or a McNeese, (like LSU is rumored to do) then you are at the mercy of the SOS gods.
Posted by loweralabamatrojan
Lower Alabama
Member since Oct 2006
13240 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

Yes. Unless they have NO OTHER choice. If you schedule a Citadel or a McNeese, (like LSU is rumored to do) then you are at the mercy of the SOS gods.
Exactly my point though, I don't think they HAD any other choice. An Aubie will hve to help me with this, but I believe a decent team canc'd on them, and the Citadel was the scrub. Err, sub.

I think they got screwed in 2004 personally, and wouldn't have minded playing them in a plus one giving us the opportunity to make it 3 straight over the Plainsmen.
This post was edited on 7/15/09 at 4:58 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466894 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

How could they have done more than beat everybody?

beat them by more

esp the good teams

beating LSU (who was mediocre that year) by 1 at home was bad
This post was edited on 7/15/09 at 5:07 pm
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:07 pm to
The point of playing a football game is to score more points than your opponent, not to score enough points to satisfy the whim of some voter.
Posted by loweralabamatrojan
Lower Alabama
Member since Oct 2006
13240 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:10 pm to
quote:

The point of playing a football game is to score more points than your opponent, not to score enough points to satisfy the whim of some voter.


+1. MOV is valued only by folks who play weak sauce intentionally.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466894 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:15 pm to
MOV against good teams is very important

if team A beats average team by 20 and team B beats average team by 10 points, then team A is better

and i mean average team as in the absolute average team. a hypothetical figure, not comparing transitive logic
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

if team A beats average team by 20 and team B beats average team by 10 points, then team A is better
What if one game is played in a torrential downpour or on a night where it's very windy? What if one team relies on field position and defense where another team relies on their offense putting up 50?
This post was edited on 7/15/09 at 5:18 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466894 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:19 pm to
quote:

What if one game is played in a torrential downpour or on a night where it's very windy?

i'm sure if you average out the 4-5 worthy games to include in MOV calculating, the bad weather will even out

and MOV is only 1 factor. smaller MOV but much stronger SOS > bigger MOV against shite SOS

quote:

What if one team relies on field position and defense where another team relies on their offense putting up 50?

you should still put up a good MOV if your D is all that
Posted by easy money
Member since Feb 2005
15041 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:19 pm to
you can't really look at a score to judge how a team plays. there are factors that could certainly skew that number.....weather, injuries...it seems logical to compare teams in that manner, but realistically, different teams match up different. totally different personel, formations, styles. lsu is not going to play auburn and florida the same way.
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

you should still put up a good MOV if your D is all that
Wow.
Posted by mikedatyger
Orlandeaux, FL
Member since Jun 2005
4346 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

What if


What if this. What if that. All day long.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466894 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

you can't really look at a score to judge how a team plays. there are factors that could certainly skew that number.....weather, injuries

but you're not looking at 1 game. i think SOS should be based on your 4-6 toughest opponents, and MOV in these games only applies

the formula should also include average team statistical rankings in key cats
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:21 pm to
quote:

What if this. What if that. All day long.
What's your point? His argument is paper thin; I was just doing some hole-poking.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466894 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

Wow.

it worked out in 2003

i'm sorry that i'm not impressed that AU couldn't put away mediocre teams like Utenn or VT
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
466894 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

His argument is paper thin

i hope you don't mean mine...
Posted by Gmorgan4982
Member since May 2005
101750 posts
Posted on 7/15/09 at 5:23 pm to
quote:

the formula should also include average team statistical rankings in key cats
Wow again.
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