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tigernnola
LSU Fan
NOLA
Member since Sep 2016
1520 posts

So Vegas has it LSU -13
While I certainly hope they are right, that’s a big spread with these two teams.
This post was edited on 10/9 at 7:50 am


OTIS2
LSU Fan
NoLA
Member since Jul 2008
42725 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
Joe will be picking these frickers bones by the 3rd quarter.


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310
cade73
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2015
575 posts
 Online 

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
The good news is that Vegas gets it right over 90% of the time.


Chadwick
LSU Fan
Member since Aug 2011
4225 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
Everyone keeps talking about Florida's defense. LSU's defense has quietly figured a few things out and they are flying under the radar. This could easily be a rout by LSU.
This post was edited on 10/9 at 9:09 am


geauxdroddz
Member since Nov 2016
762 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
Lsu is 4-0-1 vs spread this year

Most haven't even been close

Lsu and Florida defense are pretty close statistically and Lsu is at home w the explosive offense. Sounds about right to me


wilceaux
LSU Fan
Austin, TX
Member since Apr 2004
11013 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

This could easily be a route by LSU.


I definitely see a path to victory.


Dude88
Member since Sep 2019
317 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
The betting was something like 52% UF/ 48% LSU the last time I checked Covers. Vegas is trying to spread out the bets on this game. They aren’t basically gambling that LSU will cover the spread, as some LSU fans on the SECRant are trying to claim.


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45
TheBradySheaux
Member since Oct 2019
42 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
5-0 ATS


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PurpleandGeauld
LSU Fan
Florence, TX
Member since Oct 2013
3428 posts
 Online 

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

I definitely see a path to victory.
You sir are the nicest grammar cop around!


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70
Penrod
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2011
11562 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

The good news is that Vegas gets it right over 90% of the time.

1. No they don't
2. Vegas doesn't get anything right or wrong. It's the collective wisdom of bettors that sets the lines.
3. What would it mean to "get it right" anyway?


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tmjones2
Alabama Fan
TX
Member since Feb 2013
640 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
Personally I think you'd have to be a little crazy to take LSU -13 but you'd have to be absolutely insane to take Florida money line as I don't see how they're possibly winning this game.


Team Vote
LSU Fan
DFW
Member since Aug 2014
5814 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
I think their offense is in big trouble this weekend which is the reason for the spread. Their defense is very good and will give LSU problems, but LSU D vs Florida O is a huge mismatch imo


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misey94
LSU Fan
Hernando, MS
Member since Jan 2007
8667 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

This could easily be a route by LSU. I definitely see a path to victory.


No slack here. I love it.


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cade73
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2015
575 posts
 Online 

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

1. No they don't 2. Vegas doesn't get anything right or wrong. It's the collective wisdom of bettors that sets the lines. 3. What would it mean to "get it right" anyway?


Good lord, you don't have to be a detective to figure out the point. Let me put it in a way your little penrod mind can understand: If vegas sets a spread at a certain number, the outcome of that game is usually close to that number. If there's anything else you need explained just ask.


Danielsu21
LSU Fan
Dallas
Member since Aug 2012
295 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
This looks like one of those vegas trap games where Vegas is counting on people to load up on +13 florida being such a big number between the two.


BigSlick
Member since Jan 2013
971 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

Good lord, you don't have to be a detective to figure out the point. Let me put it in a way your little penrod mind can understand: If vegas sets a spread at a certain number, the outcome of that game is usually close to that number. If there's anything else you need explained just ask.


Sorry pal, I have to disagree. I don't think "your little penrod mind" has any clue how this works. Re-read the guy's comment: it's the bettors that set the spreads. Vegas just uses the figures that get equal money on each side.

And there's a helluva lot of difference between "gets it right more than 90% of the time" and "usually close." Getting it right 90% of the time would mean that the final score hit exactly on the spread 90% of the time.


WilliamTaylor21
LSU Fan
4416 Haha Street
Member since Dec 2013
14831 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

This looks like one of those vegas trap games where Vegas is counting on people to load up on +13 florida being such a big number between the two.

Bingo.

Most bettors aren't digging deep, they're looking at a few basic factors: (1.) Ranks of teams (2.) Records of teams (3.) Streaks

When a line seems too good to be true (getting 2 TD's in a #5 vs #7 game) - it's probably bait.


PurpleandGeauld
LSU Fan
Florence, TX
Member since Oct 2013
3428 posts
 Online 

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

When a line seems too good to be true (getting 2 TD's in a #5 vs #7 game) - it's probably bait.
So what you are saying is that Vegas likely thinks LSU blows Florida out and needs some high level incentive to get people to bet Florida?


Fat Bastard
Boston College Fan
Member since Mar 2009
43010 posts
 Online 

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

it's the bettors that set the spreads. Vegas just uses the figures that get equal money on each side.



correct. linesmakers want it tough on both sides. sharps will move the lines.

the ML is not bad for this game at all. I would bet that all day over the spread right now.

ML is only -490.

i have been wagering on -700, -2000, -2500 moneylines all year and am perfect on them. just need a big bankroll tho.


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Danielsu21
LSU Fan
Dallas
Member since Aug 2012
295 posts

re: So Vegas has it LSU -13
quote:

So what you are saying is that Vegas likely thinks LSU blows Florida out and needs some high level incentive to get people to bet Florida?



happens alot. I'm willing to bet public money is all over florida +13. I think line is around 9.5-10 but then gotta account for night game at home so theres 3. He's right on the public betting that most them only see rankings, w-l, etc which makes +13 so appealing... in the last 10 years between the two that number has only been covered once in 2011 when we blew them out. Vegas knows better


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