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re: Say we win both of the next two series

Posted on 5/8/21 at 8:09 pm to
Posted by jkylejohnson
Alexandria
Member since Dec 2016
14274 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 8:09 pm to
I dont think four conf wins is gonna do it. I think if we drop 2 more thats a wrap. 14 is the magic # I think. Not like it matters though. No shot at Omaha this year. Super regional is the absolute ceiling imo.
Posted by FightingTigers138
In your thoughts
Member since Dec 2016
5795 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 8:10 pm to
quote:

Did you even read my thread on 2011? That team had a 13-17 record and 21 RPI and didn’t get in. This team won’t sniff a 21 RPI.
2011
36–20 (13–17 SEC) and a 21 RPI


We missed the sec tourney that year. We won’t miss it this year. Gives us a chance to improve our conference record.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
80177 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 8:14 pm to
Yep, beauty of finishing 13-17 would be we get a chance to help ourselves in hoover by winning a couple
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
28074 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 8:15 pm to
quote:

I dont remember it being an rpi of 21, thought it was higher 20s
Also what was the SOS for lsu that year?
it was 21 and I’m absolutely positive because I was so pissed off. LSU didn’t make the SEC Tournament and that was the reason why they were not in according to the committee.
This teams schedule will not end up 1. That team was in the 30 SOS or so BUT they were 11–17 vs Quad 1’s better than this shitty 7-14. Their records will end up nearly identical with how the 2011 team finished if they finish 2/3 at Bama and 2/3 at TAMU to go 13-17 with a loss to Tech.

This post was edited on 5/8/21 at 8:19 pm
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
28074 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 8:17 pm to
quote:

We missed the sec tourney that year. We won’t miss it this year. Gives us a chance to improve our conference record.

the point of my thread was exactly focused on making the SEC tournament being the deciding factor on making the NCAA with the same record as 2011.
Posted by lsuson
Metairie
Member since Oct 2013
13819 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 8:38 pm to
Who cares. We have CPM. The end
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
22285 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 8:44 pm to
Crazy how big the difference between 14-16 and 13-17 is when you look at it. Odds drop from 61% to make a regional to 36%. Need a sweep against Bama or A&M to get to 14 wins and feel comfortable but that’s pretty unlikely.

I think the magic number is 7, including the SECt

•go 6-0 in SEC and beat La Tech then doesn’t matter what we do in SECt.

•finish 5-1 (14-16) in SEC, win the midweek games and prob don’t need to do anything in Hoover

•go 4-2 in the SEC, win both midweek games, then win a SECt game and we’ll barely sneak in at 13-17 because of RPI.


Posted by Jake009
Hill Country
Member since Jun 2019
2112 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 8:58 pm to
I agree.
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 9:06 pm to
If LSU finishes 13-17 in conference, they won't be in yet. They'll have to win at least a game in the SEC Tournament. That means we'll have to beat someone better than us in the single-elimination first round.
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
28074 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

go 4-2 in the SEC, win both midweek games, then win a SECt game and we’ll barely sneak in at 13-17 because of RPI.

They lose to Tech and finish 13-17 and they are done if you use 2011 as a barometer at all. The RPI in 2011 will end up better and their winning percentage of 65 skunks this shitty team’s of 50% (7/14) against quad 1’s. The RPI doesn’t save this bunch with a 13-17 record. Better run to the SEC Tournament final or be out.
This post was edited on 5/8/21 at 10:25 pm
Posted by jkylejohnson
Alexandria
Member since Dec 2016
14274 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 10:08 pm to
It's so sad this is even a fricking discussion.
Posted by PinevilleTiger
Pineville, LA
Member since Sep 2005
6310 posts
Posted on 5/8/21 at 10:27 pm to
Do we really want to go to the Ruston regional and get stomped by Tech? That might not help recruiting, but I guess not making the tourney kinda kills recruiting too. Damn, no good options when you suck!!!
Posted by Mats86
Member since Mar 2021
4677 posts
Posted on 5/9/21 at 3:00 am to
I mean, we beat them pretty handily earlier this season. Every game is different of course, but idk why you assume that.
Posted by Mats86
Member since Mar 2021
4677 posts
Posted on 5/9/21 at 3:01 am to
I’m very confused about why you are here.
Posted by Rosenblatt
Member since Apr 2019
6294 posts
Posted on 5/9/21 at 6:59 am to
Why do you always say “enjoy!”?

Nobody is enjoying this season. The last couple of years there has only been a handful of mainieri apologists and all but one of those will now tell you they agree it’s time for a change. And the one who is still a Mainieri apologist has gone into hiding as far as I can tell.

No need to antagonize the board man. We all agree paul needs to go.
Posted by ulmtiger
Member since Jan 2008
2165 posts
Posted on 5/9/21 at 8:11 am to
bullshite this team can win a regional. But it will have to earn the right to be there which I believe will be more difficult. Hilliard, as our typical weekday game starter would have beaten Tech but not sure who CPM will pitch. We have 3 pitchers that would shut down tech. We have others that can win but they will have to have a good day. Tech has a better chance of beating us this week than if we make their regional.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
213422 posts
Posted on 5/9/21 at 8:25 am to
Gotta go 5-1 in the last two series plus win the other two midweek games. And then win at least two SEC tourney games.
Posted by Load Toad
Haughton, LA
Member since Aug 2008
2319 posts
Posted on 5/9/21 at 8:46 am to
LSU needs go far in SEC tournament.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
80177 posts
Posted on 5/9/21 at 9:00 am to
Eh, not sure bout that
Posted by Mats86
Member since Mar 2021
4677 posts
Posted on 5/9/21 at 12:18 pm to
Depends on who we draw honestly. Possible against lower national seed regionals. Draw a Arkansas, vandy, Texas, miss st. Sort of region I don’t see it. Realistically, I don’t see us winning 2 games in a regional.
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