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re: Possibility of a 10-2 LSU missing the playoffs?
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:28 am to lowhound
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:28 am to lowhound
quote:
That's 8 teams potentially with 10+ wins.
That’s just not mathematically possible. You can’t just have a bunch of teams winning all of these games without some of the other teams losing them.
1
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:29 am to JimTiger72
Almost 0 would be my guess
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:31 am to LSBoosie
quote:
A 10-2 SEC team will never be left out no matter what their schedule is.
Just an example but if Ole Miss ends up at 10-2 they could be left out considering their schedule
There’s very likely going to be a log jam of 10-2 teams at the end of the season with only a few spots available for two loss teams. Saying an SEC team with two losses could “never” be left out of the playoff no matter their schedule is ridiculous
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:37 am to LSBoosie
It does, maybe only for specific scenarios. Look at their schedules
Texas 11-1 (loss to UGA)
UGA 11-1 (loss to Tenn?)
Ole Miss 10-2 (loss to UGA/LSU)
LSU 10-2 (loss to USC/Bama)
Bama 10-2 (loss to UGA/Tenn)
Tenn 10-2 (loss to OU/UGA) maybe 11-1?
Mizzou 10-2 (loss to Bama/OU)
Texas 11-1 (loss to UGA)
UGA 11-1 (loss to Tenn?)
Ole Miss 10-2 (loss to UGA/LSU)
LSU 10-2 (loss to USC/Bama)
Bama 10-2 (loss to UGA/Tenn)
Tenn 10-2 (loss to OU/UGA) maybe 11-1?
Mizzou 10-2 (loss to Bama/OU)
This post was edited on 9/19/24 at 9:40 am
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:38 am to Ed Osteen
That's what I'm saying. The BIG will have several arguing for a spot at 10-2 as well. There's only 7 at-large spots with potentially 6 SEC teams vying for them.
This post was edited on 9/19/24 at 9:40 am
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:39 am to LSBoosie
quote:
That’s just not mathematically possible.
You sound like you’re just saying this stuff & not looking at schedules.
Tenn doesn’t play mizzou
Mizzou doesn’t play UGA/Tenn
This post was edited on 9/19/24 at 9:41 am
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:41 am to JimTiger72
We're heading into week 4. Rankings don't mean shite, yet, as we still do not even know who is good or not good, yet.
A lot of those teams ranked above LSU haven't even played anyone with a pulse.
Just worry about LSU winning each week and the rest will play itself out.
A lot of those teams ranked above LSU haven't even played anyone with a pulse.
Just worry about LSU winning each week and the rest will play itself out.
This post was edited on 9/19/24 at 10:06 am
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:42 am to John Casey
Sure, I’m not expecting 10-2 until I see us play Ole Miss, but some act like 10-2 is an auto bid to CFP & I’m not so sure it is
I will predict the SEC will have a 10-2 team left out of the playoffs
I will predict the SEC will have a 10-2 team left out of the playoffs
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:44 am to JimTiger72
quote:zero
Possibility of a 10-2 LSU missing the playoffs?
as you state, 10-2 is 7-1 in conference. Odds are good that would be tied for the SEC top.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:45 am to JimTiger72
quote:
Really? I’d predict there will be a few 10-2 teams left out of the playoffs. Probably some teams sitting around #14-15
If we are 10-2 that means we only drop 1 SEC game. We would probably be ranked 7-8.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:47 am to JimTiger72
quote:
I will predict the SEC will have a 10-2 team left out of the playoffs
I’d bet right now that if a bunch of SEC teams finish the regular season with 10 or 11 wins, a 10-3 team that lost the SECCG will 100% be left out.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:47 am to BigBinBR
quote:
We would probably be ranked 7-8.
that’s completely unrealistic. There could be 2 loss SEC teams still ranked higher than us at 10-2Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:48 am to JimTiger72
Not from the SEC. 10-2 got SEC teams into the 2 team playoff.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:49 am to Pikes Peak Tiger
quote:
I’d bet right now that if a bunch of SEC teams finish the regular season with 10 or 11 wins, a 10-3 team that lost the SECCG will 100% be left out.
That’s an unlikely hypothetical, but I don’t think so. Teams shouldn’t get penalized for losing their conference championship.
If it happens, I’d love to make that bet. Unless of course you get absolutely crushed in the CG like 42-10.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:52 am to JimTiger72
I think we can still get through the SEC regular season with 1 loss. Could see it being Arky or A&M funny enough. Those back to back road games after Ole Miss are the trickiest part of the schedule. Playoffs are very much in play, just depends on how many SEC teams are there at the end. There aren’t a lot of dominant college teams this season. Outside of the top 10 it’s hard to find quality teams.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:52 am to Ipissexcellence
That's False. Even when LSU won with two losses, we had and extra win in the SEC championship, so we were never 10-2 in the playoffs.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:54 am to JimTiger72
quote:
but I don’t think so. Teams shouldn’t get penalized for losing their conference championship.
I don’t disagree but that doesn’t mean it won’t happen.
As mentioned before the top non P5 team gets in and that could mean a top 12 team doesn’t.
Then if there is an upset in one the other CCGs putting a team ranked 13-15 in the playoff, a 3 loss loser of the SECCG is in big trouble.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 9:56 am to JimTiger72
I don't think we are losing to A&M and in 2-3 weeks we will really know about the chances of losing to OU. OU could go 1-4 in their next five games, it is a brutal stretch. I think A&M could get pasted by Mizzou, then beat up on the road at MsSt and not be ready for us when we go in about 5 weeks.
In my opinion, if we keep the upward trajectory, Ole Miss and Alabama are the most likely losses. Playing them both at home is a real boon. OU at home takes the edge off of that one big time.
All the more reason why losing the USC game was a big deal, we have a very favorable schedule compared to a lot of SEC teams this year.
In my opinion, if we keep the upward trajectory, Ole Miss and Alabama are the most likely losses. Playing them both at home is a real boon. OU at home takes the edge off of that one big time.
All the more reason why losing the USC game was a big deal, we have a very favorable schedule compared to a lot of SEC teams this year.
Posted on 9/19/24 at 10:09 am to The Pirate King
quote:
It's a little early to claim 10-2 as a sure thing coming off a squeaker against South Carolina.
What if South Carolina is actually a good team?
They blew out a Kentucky team in Lexington that gave UGA a scare.
We will learn more about South Carolina next week when Ole Miss travels to Columbia.
Everyone is sounding alarms about both the USCw and USCe games, but both could end up being good teams.
We find out about USCw this weekend when they travel to Michigan and we find out about USCe next weekend when they host Ole Miss.
This post was edited on 9/19/24 at 10:13 am
Posted on 9/19/24 at 10:12 am to JimTiger72
quote:
It does, maybe only for specific scenarios. Look at their schedules
Texas 11-1 (loss to UGA)
UGA 11-1 (loss to Tenn?)
Ole Miss 10-2 (loss to UGA/LSU)
LSU 10-2 (loss to USC/Bama)
Bama 10-2 (loss to UGA/Tenn)
Tenn 10-2 (loss to OU/UGA) maybe 11-1?
Mizzou 10-2 (loss to Bama/OU)
If that happens, I see LSU in the playoffs. They're 7-1 and tied for 1st in the SEC, with Texas and UGA.
Those would be the 3 "most worthy" in my opinion, since they did the best IN CONFERENCE... and the bye teams are specified to be conference champs.
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