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re: Official Adam4848 Baseball Preview Feb 10th (Prospects & SEC prediction)

Posted on 2/8/15 at 11:34 am to
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88006 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 11:34 am to
I don't agree with either of those statements. These are ratings that scouts use for draft purposes. And some are easily quantifiable like speed. 6.4-6.5 60 yd is an 80. Stevie's there. Laird might have the best OF glove in college. How is he not an 80 there?

I'm not criticizing Adam. I'm disagreeing and giving legit reasons and examples.

You disagree but all you can site is your opinion that these scales are meant for MLB starters. If that's the case, no one is above a 50 in hitting except for maybe Bregman and everyone's arm is at 45 or below.
Posted by Steamy Ray
Member since Jan 2013
1050 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 11:47 am to
Do stolen bases factor into the speed rating? To me they have to and only stealing 10 bags, it's hard for me to justify an 80
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88006 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 11:48 am to


Are you joking?

How many times was he allowed to steal? How did he do this summer at Cape Cod? Stealing a base is much more than speed just like catching a fly ball is much more than speed.
Posted by Steamy Ray
Member since Jan 2013
1050 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 12:00 pm to
I don't know cape cod numbers but I did hear they ran more and were successful. I also acknowledge stealing bases is a skill that takes more than straight line speed.

I'm not tearing anyone down or saying they won't improve SB numbers with a different approach on the bases from the coaching staff, but to say a guy has 80 speed, world class speed, without having put up good SB numbers, that's hard for me to justify
Posted by LSUTygerFan
Homerun Village
Member since Jun 2008
33232 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 12:03 pm to
i disagree with all of the disagreeing going on in this thread.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88006 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 12:06 pm to
Then would you give an 80 to someone who only runs a 6.8 but has 40+ stolen bases?

To me, and most people who do these ratings, speed isn't directly associated with base running or stolen bases which rely on many other factors as well.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88006 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 12:07 pm to
I agree
Posted by Steamy Ray
Member since Jan 2013
1050 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 12:15 pm to
No I wouldnt. I'm saying it all has to factor in. 60 time, speed on the bases, etc. For me, an 80 speed is somebody who is elite at every aspect of baseball where speed comes into play.

That's just the way I look at it and to begin with, I asked if SB were used to come to that number, which you just answered. If it's solely on 60 time and Stevenson does in fact run 6.4-6.5, then that is world class speed
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88006 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 12:18 pm to
60 and home-to-first are the two values they usually use.

ETA:
quote:

60 Yard Dash:
8: 6.4 seconds
7: 6.5-6.6 seconds
6: 6.7-6.8 seconds
5: 6.9-7.0 seconds
4: 7.1-7.2 seconds
3: 7.3-7.4 seconds
2: 7.5 seconds +

Home To First (Right Side):
8: 4.0 seconds
7: 4.1 seconds
6: 4.2 seconds
5: 4.3 seconds
4: 4.4 seconds
3: 4.5 seconds
2: 4.6 seconds

Home To First (Left Side):
8: 3.9 seconds
7: 4.0 seconds
6: 4.1 seconds
5: 4.2 seconds
4: 4.3 seconds
3: 4.4 seconds
2: 4.5 seconds
This post was edited on 2/8/15 at 12:19 pm
Posted by tigerbait3488
River Ridge
Member since Dec 2007
11536 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 1:42 pm to
Pitching is def the area of concern this year obviously. Need our bats to come out hot so we can let the pitching work itself out.
Posted by West Central Tiger
Tiger Country
Member since Feb 2006
1154 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

i disagree with all of the disagreeing going on in this thread.

I like it when knowledgeable people have discussions especially when different viewpoints are presented. My sincere thanks goes to "Adam4848" and "ell_13" plus the several others that have contributed to this thread. Keep up the good work.

Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
65453 posts
Posted on 2/8/15 at 11:40 pm to
It's all good. Just baseball fans discussing the team. All opinions have been respected.


Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38449 posts
Posted on 2/9/15 at 12:33 am to
What has happened to Bugg and Reynolds? Bugg was damn good last year as a freshman, Reynolds was damn good the year before that, and both seem to have been buried with all of the talk regarding the new arms. Bugg's spring stats aren't bad at all, either.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
22613 posts
Posted on 2/9/15 at 8:05 am to
quote:

What has happened to Bugg and Reynolds? Bugg was damn good last year as a freshman, Reynolds was damn good the year before that, and both seem to have been buried with all of the talk regarding the new arms. Bugg's spring stats aren't bad at all, either.


They will both be used out of the pen.
Posted by LSU 318 LSU
El Cerrito Place
Member since Jan 2011
4278 posts
Posted on 2/9/15 at 9:12 am to
quote:

What has happened to Bugg
IMO, with his frame, he should be sitting in the mid 90's. I was really hoping he could gain a few MPH in the off season. Nice to see a CENLA guy (Stallings) getting some quality PT.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
88006 posts
Posted on 2/9/15 at 9:35 am to
Good write-up on relief. It looks like to start, Bouman and Norman are switching roles with Normal starting midweek and Bouman being asked to do long relief.

I like this tactic of having Bouman available if a young arm struggles mid-game, especially if it's due to control issues.
Posted by 81Tiger
LSU Alumnus
Member since Sep 2009
6848 posts
Posted on 2/9/15 at 9:36 am to
Stallings will be the sleeper in this group of newcomers.


Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
22613 posts
Posted on 2/9/15 at 9:48 am to
quote:

I like this tactic of having Bouman available if a young arm struggles mid-game,


Yep. Cause we know his max is 6 innings.
Posted by Adam4848
LA
Member since Apr 2006
19785 posts
Posted on 2/9/15 at 10:18 am to
It looks like Bouman and Norman could be interchangeable.

I would love if one of Reynolds or Newman could lock down a midweek gig leaving both available.
Posted by Asllan
Prairieville, LA
Member since May 2008
734 posts
Posted on 2/9/15 at 11:46 am to
I respect your opinion, and if that is how Adam4848 is rating his players, that explains some of his high grades. The rating scale from 20 to 80 is not a college scale. If you think about it, Mainieri uses a 10 point scale to rate a player. He rated Ibarra as a 10 at 3rd base. The 20-80 point scale is for MLB players and those that the MLB is scouting. What good would it be for a MLB scout to come to a game and say that a kid is an 80 talent in speed, when he may not even be able to compete at the MLB level. When the scale is used for college players, it compares the player to players in the MLB. And, it has nothing to do with their potential. If you have a player that a scout says has a tool rated a 60, he is saying that he is above the average MLB player in that tool...right now. If you have a 50, the college player already exhibits talent that is better than half of the MLB players playing today. I would like to know if Adam4848 would respond to this discussion?
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