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re: Must win - who do we have confidence out of the pen?

Posted on 5/22/18 at 10:53 am to
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126962 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Baseball America's projection came out this morning. We're a 3 seed in Minneapolis.
That's encouraging.

ETA: Minnesota's ball park has a seating capacity of 1,420. LINK
This post was edited on 5/22/18 at 10:57 am
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20204 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 10:59 am to
I think this week, they'll update several times, if not daily later in the week.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:01 am to
I'm honestly not trying to be "negative". Even before this weekend, I felt that we needed 2 wins either at Auburn or at 1 win there and 2 at the SECT because our RPI and road/neutral record is so bad.

State is in over us. Period. That sweep sealed it. They won when they had to. A one and done in the SECT wouldn't affect that. UK/Tamu is more interesting. You have to ask yourself if 2 SEC wins (vs an easier schedule) is worth 20+ RPI spots. And if either team wins a couple in the SECT, that makes it even easier to choose them over LSU.

Here's what is so frustrating: 1 more SEC win and it would have been a lock. OR winning those 4 midweek games away vs ULL (2), SELU, and Tulane. 8 wins away from home looks so much better than just 4 and that gets ignored completely and our RPI is mid/lower 30s instead of mid 40s.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:04 am to
quote:

ETA: Minnesota's ball park has a seating capacity of 1,420. LINK
And it still doesn't have lights or a visitors locker room.
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20204 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:15 am to
Just think if we had held onto those late leads against Ole Miss and S. Carolina. I bet our RPI would be 10 spots higher right now.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:20 am to
We let a lot of games get away late this year. It was really frustrating to watch.

This is a whole different topic, but I wonder why we didn't give Cabrera a shot again.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56463 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:23 am to
quote:

who do we have confidence out of the pen?



With a 2 run lean, Peterson.

Beyond that, nobody.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56463 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:24 am to
quote:

I don't think LSU makes the tournament even with a win tbh.



I agree.
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
5013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:26 am to
quote:

UK/Tamu is more interesting.


Past history shows that 13-17 SEC teams no matter rpi have a hard time getting in. Look at us in 2011

Clemson had a similar resume then us 2 of the last 5 years and got in both times.

Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56463 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:28 am to
quote:

facts are in all projections
Posted by TigerCub
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
20204 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:30 am to
quote:

This is a whole different topic, but I wonder why we didn't give Cabrera a shot again.


I dunno. Maybe they thought doing both was too much for him to handle. He obviously started finding it at the plate the second half of the year.
Posted by Solo Cam
Member since Sep 2015
32630 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:30 am to
You absolutely throw Hess if the game is in doubt. There’s a very good chance this is his last game at LSU if you lose. He’s on 5 days rest and only through 70 or so pitches against Auburn. If it were me I’d go:

Bush till you can- Beck or Fontenot if you have a lead or straight to Hess if it’s tied or your down.
Posted by oOoLsUtIgErSoOo
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2006
26411 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:32 am to
quote:

He’s on 5 days rest


4 days. They could use today as a bullpen in a close situation though.
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:35 am to
quote:

Look at us in 2011
shite example. That had everything to do with Moo St. AD being on the committee.
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56250 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:50 am to
quote:

Well your opinion would be wrong then
In all projections we are in right now and a win would definitely put us in unless lots of upsets happen in other conference tournaments
so we are in. Unless we win......this is complicated
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
5013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 12:16 pm to
Last year South Carolina had an rpi of 30 and a 13-17 record and didn’t get in
Auburn had a rpi 7 spots lower with a 16-14 record and got in
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 12:22 pm to
How are either of those relevant? TaMu’s RPI is 20. UK’s is 25. And no team we are talking about is 16-14.
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
5013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 12:31 pm to
Similar enough
Why don’t you give me an example of a team with a rpi around 40 and a 15-15 sec record that didn’t get in?
Posted by Midtiger farm
Member since Nov 2014
5013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 12:38 pm to
Unc in 15 and 16 had an rpi of 19 and 24 and a 13-16 and 13-17conference record and didn’t get in
Is that a good enough example?
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
85013 posts
Posted on 5/22/18 at 12:39 pm to
Missouri 2015
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