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Started By
Message
LSU wins out and chalk for everything else probably produces unhappy result.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:46 am
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:46 am
This post was edited on 11/12/26 at 10:47 am
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:50 am to Salviati
List is shite, 3 big 12 teams aren’t getting in and probably not 2 ACC teams
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:50 am to Salviati
quote:
and chalk for everything else
Yeah cause that’s how the season has been going…
Current odds to make the CFP:
Wake Forest +120
LSU +175
BYU +200
Kentucky +270
Houston +450
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:10 am to JimTiger72
quote:
Yeah cause that’s how the season has been going…
Current odds to make the CFP:
Wake Forest +120
LSU +175
BYU +200
Kentucky +270
Houston +450
CFB Playoff Predictor Says Not Probable
DraftKings Sportsbook lines
01 Georgia: -9000
02 Notre Dame: -4000
03 Alabama: -7000
04 Miami (FL): -2500
05 Utah: -700
06 Indiana: -600
07 UCLA: -450
08 Texas: -380
09 Boise State: -190
10 Wake Forest: -105
11 Tennessee: +120
12 Ole Miss: +175
13 New Mexico +180
14 LSU +200
+200 betting odds is roughly a 24% to 32% implied probability
This post was edited on 11/12/26 at 11:14 am
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:19 am to Salviati
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:20 am to Salviati
Let’s worry about winning out first 
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:24 am to Salviati
After this past Saturday I just hope we beat Texas.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:26 am to lsusteve1
quote:Why?
Let’s worry about winning out first
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:28 am to Salviati
quote:
+200 betting odds is roughly a 24% to 32% implied probability
But that probability is not based on "what happens if LSU wins out." Baked into that probability is the remaining games LSU has to win to get there. Should LSU beat Texas and Tennessee, then that implied probability of making the playoffs with go way up.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:31 am to Salviati
In this hypothetical no way do I see 10-2 Houston finishing ranked ahead of 9-3 LSU. 10-2 BYU I understand, Houston no way.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:48 am to Hold That Tiger 10
quote:Well, yeah, because, as it's clearly identified, the list is DraftKings Sportsbook lines for making the playoffs. So, you know it considers all possibilities for all games.
But that probability is not based on "what happens if LSU wins out." Baked into that probability is the remaining games LSU has to win to get there. Should LSU beat Texas and Tennessee, then that implied probability of making the playoffs with go way up.
Rummy said that a poster can make alternative arguments in the same thread.
And that's not just Rummy, it's in the rules.
Don't argue with me; argue with the rules.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:49 am to Salviati
Why even try to figure this out right now?
Let it play out a little bit first.
Let it play out a little bit first.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:51 am to Salviati
SMU ending Wake’s run.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:53 am to Salviati
quote:
Why?
Because if they lose Saturday, it’s all moot
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:56 am to lsusteve1
quote:
Let’s worry about winning out first
This.
Obviously I’d love the playoffs and thought we’d be there. With that said the program just needs some sense of progress and winning these next two games would do that.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 11:59 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
quote:I hear what you are saying, but Houston’s only two losses came away from home, falling by two points at #12 Texas Tech (28–26) and by eight points at #2 Utah (21–13). Neither game was out of reach in the fourth quarter.
In this hypothetical no way do I see 10-2 Houston finishing ranked ahead of 9-3 LSU. 10-2 BYU I understand, Houston no way.
Even if LSU wins out, the Tigers still have an 18-point home loss.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 12:00 pm to Salviati
That’s what worries me too. We can’t control what happens around the country, but winning out gives us the strongest argument possible. Take care of our business first and see how everything falls into place.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 12:03 pm to Salviati
Right, we need one or two minor upsets to occur.
Posted on 11/12/26 at 12:23 pm to lsusteve1
quote:I cross my heart and swear on my honor that if they lose Saturday, I won't worry about it any more.
Because if they lose Saturday, it’s all moot
Deal?
Posted on 11/12/26 at 12:32 pm to beauchristopher
quote:You need to apologize to lsumatt.
Why even try to figure this out right now?
Let it play out a little bit first.
You need to apologize RIGHT NOW!
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