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TigersBy90
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2019
108 posts

LSU -3 this weekend

Vegas has us at -3 over UCLA ?????? free beer money for me it looks like!!


jbraua
LSU Fan
Oklahoma City, OK
Member since Oct 2007
6015 posts

Until we see this team with new coordinators on the field in a live-game situation, I wouldn't put anything down just yet. Do I think we win? Yes; however, too much uncertainty to spend hard earned money on it.


BayouCowboy
LSU Fan
Member since Dec 2012
11804 posts
 Online 

From CBS:

quote:

Top Week 1 college football predictions
One of the top college football picks the model is recommending for Week 1: LSU (-3.5) goes to Pasadena and easily covers against UCLA at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday. The Tigers are coming off a disappointing 5-5 campaign in 2020, but they have a lot of experience returning on the offensive line and at running back. They're also hoping Max Johnson is the answer at quarterback, while receiver Kayshon Boutte has a lot of upside

UCLA raced past Hawaii in Week 0, but this is a huge step up in competition for the Bruins. Johnson throws for almost 400 yards in the simulations as the Tigers cover more than 60 percent of the time.


bayou39
Member since Nov 2012
582 posts

Well there is def no such thing as free beer money when betting sports ... Money lately has been on UCLA but I think that's because people watch them play Hawaii

The over under is 66 so the odds makers are roughly thinking a 34 to 31 win by LSU ... it's not giving our defense much respect which is understandable ... If our defense is legit this year And is like that from game 1 than you will probably feel good with your bet real early in the game ... if not than Vegas score predictions will be close

Having said that it's free beer money lol 34 17 tigers baby


BPTiger
LSU Fan
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
3896 posts

quote:

Well there is def no such thing as free beer money when betting sports ...


2019 LSU would like a word…

Especially the SECCC and playoffs. I was taking LSU and the alternate lines (the LSU line minus another 7) and raking in the cash. Literally made over 5K just in those last few games.


Frogman93
Member since Jul 2021
1113 posts

If Johnson throws for 400 I’ll eat my fricking hat. But I still think LSU wins big. And definitely covers the spread.


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91
soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
57039 posts

Preface-

I Hope LSU pushes the Bruins’ stool in for them.

But last year’s Moo State game lingers in my memory.

Let’s hope that 2021 is more like 2019 and less like 2020.



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bayou39
Member since Nov 2012
582 posts

quote:

2019 LSU would like a word…

Especially the SECCC and playoffs. I was taking LSU and the alternate lines (the LSU line minus another 7) and raking in the cash. Literally made over 5K just in those last few games.


That was a good year and I'm happy for your winnings .... But pointing to the times one wins as an example of free beer money is incorrect .. It's fun and one can have thier good streaks but just be prudent ... Regardless I'm not the one who should be talking about this since I have a sizable bet on lsu
This post was edited on 8/31 at 7:45 am


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transcend
LSU Fan
Austin, TX
Member since Aug 2013
4166 posts

I just threw a hundy down for fun


LSUAllie
LSU Fan
Birmingham, AL
Member since Aug 2016
644 posts

That’s the spirit!


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30
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Member since 2001
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Honkus
USA Fan
Member since Aug 2005
46431 posts

I don't see Vegas crossing a key # like 3... unless some serious cash comes in on UCLA or we get really bad injury news. If anything sharps hammer LSU now and we see if go back to 3.5 or 4
This post was edited on 8/31 at 8:11 am


L S Usetheforce
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2004
22308 posts
 Online 

I just locked it in for 2 gs


bigmo111
UCLA Fan
Member since Aug 2021
80 posts

found on UCLA board:


Login to RespondDespite having arguably the best CB tandem in CFB, LSU was *horrific* in pass defense. 124th in the nation in yards per pass attempt allowed (out of 130, mind), 127th in passing yards allowed, 108th in passing first downs allowed.

They were also one of the worst run defenses in the country. 94th in the country in yards per rush attempt allowed.

They were terrible at allowing explosive plays, 107th in the country in points per play allowed. And in keeping opponents out of the endzone (95th in touchdowns allowed).

They, surprisingly, were good at stopping teams on 3rd down, 37th in the nation, but that's largely because they allowed teams so many yards on 1st and 2nd downs. They were 76th in the country in 1st downs allowed.

They were 13th in the country in turnover margin. We will need to hang onto the ball to win.

Max Johnson has some decent stats, but a significant chunk came against Auburn and Alabama in garbage time, and against an Ole Miss pass defense that was one of the worst in the country. He played a very nice game against a good-ish Florida team who was also a very poor passing defense. He doesn't have a lot of starting experience, only three games, so if we can get in his head it will go a long way.

LSU had a shockingly bad run game last year, 108th in the country in yards per rush attempt.

Despite everyone touting their receivers, they were just ok in passing offense last year, 62nd in yards per pass attempt, and 55th in average passer rating.

They weren't very explosive, 75th in the country in yards per play, and 61st in points per play.

Their line had a decent sack allowed percentage, 46th in the country


White Tiger
LSU Fan
Dallas
Member since Jul 2007
9973 posts

As I have said, if LSU does not pummel UCLA, it will be a long and disappointing season.



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52
777Tiger
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2011
58996 posts

quote:

found on UCLA board:



all valid points, luckily for us we're playing UCLA, good tune up opp


SwampKitty
LSU Fan
Brusly, LA
Member since Sep 2015
1140 posts

What app are you using to place bets?


Purple Tiger King
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2021
2016 posts

Easy money.


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Frogman93
Member since Jul 2021
1113 posts

quote:

all valid points, luckily for us we're playing UCLA, good tune up opp


All valid points but the changes made on defense, I feel, will basically flip the script. With last year, our Defense was historically bad, I feel this year with our new coaching staff, could be historically great! Just my 2 cents.


transcend
LSU Fan
Austin, TX
Member since Aug 2013
4166 posts

quote:

What app are you using to place bets?


My bookie . ag


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Sterling Archer
LSU Fan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2012
5361 posts

Finally found it again online and hopped all on this. I honestly don't see a way we don't cover after watching UCLA last weekend


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