Started By
Message

re: Kenpom predicts 3 conference wins for mens hoops

Posted on 12/28/22 at 11:32 am to
Posted by NOSTRODAMUS
Prairieville/Dutchtown
Member since Dec 2003
16775 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 11:32 am to
Tamu is terrible. That’s 2 wins right there.
Posted by Big EZ Tiger
Member since Jul 2010
26275 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 11:33 am to
quote:


and we've got very little production from our freshmen this year so far - I think a bit more was expected.

I don't disagree. I was just saying that his recruiting was looked at as being really good with the class he had. Development may be another issue.
Posted by 23hella
STL
Member since Feb 2014
1279 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 11:34 am to
quote:

and we've got very little production from our freshmen this year so far - I think a bit more was expected.


What’s been up with Ward? Thought he would come in and play right away
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
17709 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 11:41 am to
quote:

I don't disagree. I was just saying that his recruiting was looked at as being really good with the class he had. Development may be another issue.



Well when I said a bit more was expected I'm including the coaching staff in that.
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
17709 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 11:42 am to
quote:

What’s been up with Ward? Thought he would come in and play right away



The last game was the first one I saw him get action in where he did not look completely lost. But he's probably only played in half or less of the games.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
37038 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 11:55 am to
quote:

Agreed 100%.

A "total rebuild" year was Johnny Jones's and Wades first seasons.
Wade inherited a full roster with at least a capable player at every position. He had enough he could afford to process a few players. Yet you call that a rebuild and not what McMahon started off with???
Posted by ATLSUfan
Atlanta
Member since Aug 2015
1326 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 11:56 am to
12 straight losses ? Lmaoo cmon now
Posted by Lalo Salamanca
Member since Sep 2022
929 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 12:11 pm to
I predict 9 conference wins and 9 conference losses. 21-10

Posted by ELLSSUU
Member since Jan 2005
7957 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 12:22 pm to
I said 4-6 SEC wins a few weeks ago and got downvoted. I’m hoping for more than that but not sure what some of you posters saying 7-9 are seeing to be that confident.
Posted by Lalo Salamanca
Member since Sep 2022
929 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 12:28 pm to
Back half of the schedule is much more favorable, and the team will be playing better together by then. Those 9 Ws come mostly then.

NIT should be a realistic goal.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
34110 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Wade inherited a full roster with at least a capable player at every position. He had enough he could afford to process a few players. Yet you call that a rebuild and not what McMahon started off with???


The season didn't start in May. Yes, McMahon had to "rebuild" the roster in April and May. But he started this season with a more capable roster than what Wade started with in 2017. One with a ton of experience (albeit not all at LSU). KJ and Hannibal are Seniors. Wilkinson, Fountain, Hill, Hayes, Coleman, Miller are all 3rd year players with significant D-1 experience. The 17-18 team had Waters (true Freshman), Mays (sophomore), Epps (Senior), Edwards (JUCO transfer) and Reath (2nd year JUCO transfer).

This roster is better and deeper, overall, than the 17-18 roster. So while I don't think the expectations should be for LSU to be a legitimate contender for the SEC title in a conference will multiple really good teams, I don't subscribe to the fact that fans should expect a poor season under the guise that this is a "rebuilding year". This isn't a bad roster.
Posted by T
Member since Jan 2004
9889 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 1:11 pm to
2017-18 also had junior Brandon Sampson, who is still playing in the G-league. You mention that Reath was a 2nd year JUCO transfer, but he was also a returning player who avg. double figures scoring the previous year for LSU. Epps and Mayes were also contributors in Jones’ last year. You didn't even mention that Randy Onwuasor was a grad transfer who led the Big Sky conference in scoring the previous year.

Let’s not act like this is any less of a rebuild than Will Wade’s first year. Both teams are/were major rebuilds and the players experience levels aren’t that far off.
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
34110 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Let’s not act like this is any less of a rebuild than Will Wade’s first year. Both teams are/were major rebuilds and the players experience levels aren’t that far off.


That team was picked to finish DEAD LAST in the SEC. This team was picked to finish 8th. Was the initial creation of the roster much, much tougher for McMahon? Absolutely. But the transfer rules made it much easier to quickly complete that "rebuild". Rebuilding is not a years long process in college basketball anymore. A terrible team can be rebuilt in the span of a single offseason (just ask the team that ended LSU's season last year).

This isn't May. LSU entered the season with a full roster. One that should be capable of competing in the 6-10 order of finish range in the SEC...and I think they will. But if LSU bottoms out in the league and only wins 3-4 games, then the "rebuild" excuse won't fly. That means that not only would LSU have lost all or almost all of their games to the top 5 or so teams in the league, they also would have lost to several mid-tier teams...many of whom likewise have new coaches considering nearly half (6) the programs in the SEC have first year HCs.
Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
11726 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 1:43 pm to
Warren Nolan predicted 12 wins?

Split the difference, so 7-8 wins?

KenPom has us losing 9 games by 6 or less, which means it can go either way.
Posted by T
Member since Jan 2004
9889 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

if LSU bottoms out in the league and only wins 3-4 games, then the "rebuild" excuse won't fly.


Not arguing that. This team should be expected to compete for the NIT. If we go 7-11 (19-12) and 11th place I think that is very good start to the Matt McMahon era.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
37038 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

The season didn't start in May.
The rebuild sure did.
quote:

But he started this season with a more capable roster than what Wade started with in 2017. One with a ton of experience (albeit not all at LSU). KJ and Hannibal are Seniors. Wilkinson, Fountain, Hill, Hayes, Coleman, Miller are all 3rd year players with significant D-1 experience. The 17-18 team had Waters (true Freshman), Mays (sophomore), Epps (Senior), Edwards (JUCO transfer) and Reath (2nd year JUCO transfer).
The point is that most of those players were already on the roster, Wade didn't have to recruit them. Plus Wade ran off Patterson and a 7 foot center. He didn't have to put together a team from scratch.

Now if you want to say that Matt's team is better on paper than Will's, so be it. But that team had returning players and it is arguable which one is the better team. The difference sure isn't stark.
Posted by TheFunk
Fort Worth
Member since Oct 2016
594 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 4:00 pm to
quote:

starting out winless for that many games will have this place so toxic


So much more toxic than it already is.
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
29643 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 9:44 pm to
quote:

That said, if you are disappointed this team isn't competing at the top of the SEC with Tennessee, Arkansas, Kentucky, Alabama and Auburn, that's on YOU. This team was never expected to be in that strata. But if you compare LSU's results thus far with teams in that next 6-12 range it is more or less the same. Some good results. Some games against mid-majors that were far closer than expected. Some tough losses.

Couldn’t agree more with this.
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
29643 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 9:47 pm to
quote:

Wade inherited a full roster with at least a capable player at every position. He had enough he could afford to process a few players. Yet you call that a rebuild and not what McMahon started off with???

McMahon BROUGHT 3 players from an NCAA tournament team arguably one of the top mid-majors in the country. You cannot look at things the same way as before the portal. Damn people get a freaking grip
Posted by Eighteen
Member since Dec 2006
36902 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 10:24 pm to
Bump
first pageprev pagePage 3 of 4Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on X, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookXInstagram