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re: Juniors leaving early befuddles me

Posted on 11/3/13 at 10:46 pm to
Posted by corndeaux
Member since Sep 2009
9634 posts
Posted on 11/3/13 at 10:46 pm to
New NFL CBA limiting rookie money has changed the equation.

It makes much more since to go now if you will be drafted at all, rather than just 1st or 2nd round
Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 11/3/13 at 11:24 pm to
quote:

1st linebacker taken in the draft and obviously in the 1st round.


Alec Ogletree, who is a better pro prospect due to his size and speed, signed a 4 year, $7 million contract. He was the first ILB taken at 30.

So Minter could have potentially gained around $2.5 million if he had an incredible season, although it is still doubtful he would have been drafted in the first round due to his attributes.

However, he risks injury and loses a year of compensation. He already received his degree from LSU. He would have been foolish to stay, especially with the ridiculous linebackers coming out this season
Posted by CalTiger53
California
Member since Oct 2011
9764 posts
Posted on 11/3/13 at 11:30 pm to
Most top schools tell their players if they are 1st rounders they should take it, otherwise, they will benefit by coming back.
Posted by IgotKINGfisherSpeed
Arlington, TX
Member since Aug 2011
4516 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 1:54 am to
quote:

New NFL CBA limiting rookie money has changed the equation. It makes much more since to go now if you will be drafted at all, rather than just 1st or 2nd round


Before the rookie wage scale it benefited players who were borderline 1st round, or guys who could possibly push into the top ten to stay. The money was insane and big guaranteed signing bonuses were more than some guys would make over an entire career. Players have no incentive to stay nowadays, especially if you are a redshirt junior. They are trying to get to that second contract as fast as possible.
Posted by weinrib
Toronto
Member since Sep 2013
2804 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 2:01 am to
In addition, many of these guys do not belong in college any way. The more classes they take the tougher the classes get revealing their ineptitude. That cannot feel good. Many of them are looking for a way out after 3 years no matter the risk.
Posted by skinny domino
sebr
Member since Feb 2007
14501 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 2:02 am to
quote:

Someone needs to tell a 18 or 20 year old kid that one million is Chicken Feed. Especially after they pay Taxes. Something happens you try living on that and see how far it goes.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
29024 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:26 am to
quote:

Having said that, I use Minter as an example. He would have increased hid draft stock had he stayed and all he is doing now is playing special teams BUT i think his contract got him a million bucks this year.


No he would not have. His setback was speed and he had to cover up a lot of mistakes for the terrible LB crew we have now and had last year. Anthony Barr, Kyle Van Noy, and CJ Mosley would have gone before him this year.

He was taken at 45 as the #4LB with 4 yr 4.39 million dollar contract with a 1.57 signing bonus.

LB in round, pick, contract, signing bonus

Jarvis Jones - R1 P17, 8.7 mill, 4.71 mill
Alec Ogletree - R1 P30, 7.03 mill, 3.49 mill
Manti Te'o - R2 P38, 5.17 mill, 2.14 mill
Kevin Minter - R2 P45, 4.39 mill, 1.57
Kiko Alonso - R2 P46, 4.3 mill, 1.51 mill
Arthur Brown R2 P56 - 3.55 mill, 888k

All contracts across the whole league go like this for any player regardless of position. Minter would not have went first round having to take up slack for this horrible defense debacle.

When Mingo, Montgomery, Reid, and Logan left, he would have been a fool not to.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
29024 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:41 am to
quote:

Minter might have been best suited coming back


Minter was smart as hell to leave
Posted by RealityTiger
Geismar, LA
Member since Jan 2010
20543 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 4:46 am to
It all comes down to money and fear of injury. A million dollars isn't like winning the lottery to any of us, because we know how fast that can go after bills, taxes, a few cars, a house, etc.

A college student who was born in poverty doesn't have that perspective. And we all know how hard it is to give advice to a kid in college. They "already know" about life out there in the real world.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
29024 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:22 am to
quote:

It all comes down to money and fear of injury. A million dollars isn't like winning the lottery to any of us, because we know how fast that can go after bills, taxes, a few cars, a house, etc.

A college student who was born in poverty doesn't have that perspective. And we all know how hard it is to give advice to a kid in college. They "already know" about life out there in the real world.


Let's say a guy gets our of college and after 5-10 years is finally making 100k. That money is going towards mortgage, car notes, student loans, etc. After 40 years you'd be lucky to retire with 2-4 mill with all the financial planning you did.

Minter won't have to deal with that at all during his first four years at least. He left with 2.17 guaranteed and 1.57 signing bonus. that's that's 3.74. He'd should still go home with 3.5 mill through 4 years and that's not counting bonuses for playoffs, sponsors, etc. He could splurge and buy a 500k home and drop 250k on cars and still have his signing bonus to play with. Hire a professional and take some of it to help him make it work towards his future.

It's not hard for these dudes to be financially secure and still throw money their first four years.

Freak should go 2nd round with his combine but will go no later than 3rd period unless he leaves after an injury. People still don't understand how they evaluate players.



Now juniors projected later rounds are a whole different story. Those guys on the fringe of having at least some money or working for -20k a year take this high risk gamble for a variety of reasons.

245k after taxes is more than they would come home with in 10+ years of reg job working.
Posted by doya2
Charenton
Member since Jan 2005
8465 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 5:25 am to
quote:

Outside of Minter and perhaps Faulk, most of them made the right decision.


Tharold Simon
This post was edited on 11/4/13 at 5:26 am
Posted by RealityTiger
Geismar, LA
Member since Jan 2010
20543 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 6:06 am to
You would be shocked at how quickly these guys blow through their money, even with a financial advisor. I know somebody who did just that (helped to manage the accounts) for a few of them. I'm not going to say who on either side as a sign of respect and the fact that the advisor could lose his/her job if it got leaked out. I was told firsthand the stories of how these players basically hook up everybody in the family with a house (parents, aunts, uncles, cousins), make ridiculous financial decisions, and can't keep up to stay in the black. They spend it quicker than they can get it. Add to that as soon as the player hits the jackpot, the family comes 'a runnin. Anyway, that's a whole different topic and I don't want to get off topic.

I don't blame them for leaving early, is where I stand on it. Money is money. But it's more to somebody who was raised in a family of poverty.

I've been saying for a few years now that not only do Chavis/Stud/Cameron and Miles need to change the way we recruit, but also the strategy behind their choice as well. They need to just expect the players to leave early rather than be halfway surprised by it. I say hit up the "free agency" of NCAA (aka Junior Colleges) and get guys who have experience and aren't completely green with college level football, so they can start now and have a learning curve above that of your typical incoming freshman. Which, is pretty much what they do now for the most part.
Posted by Dubaitiger
Abu Dhabi, UAE
Member since Nov 2005
5199 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 6:21 am to
quote:

Spot on!

The BCS fiasco topped by last years Miles poor coaching and poor decisions--- just time to leave. It gets old to play your heart out and deserve to win, but poor coaching decisions and all out stubbornness removes your chance to win games. Third and Chavis and prevent defense also to blame---See Clemson, Alabama 2012, Georgia 2013. Gets old!


NO...You are more "Spot on" !!!
Posted by Mudflap007
The big D
Member since Sep 2013
216 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 6:39 am to
quote:

Logan is about where he is at, but not horrible choice. Ford and Ware weren't going to go higher than they did and were going to continue getting reduced roles this season. Minter might have been best suited coming back and so would've Faulk, but each had their reasons.


Every kid's situation is different, but the borderline are the ones that you would like to see stay and contribute and get their degree. Lately, it seems that every single player that has a slight chance to play in the NFL is going early. Is Les "processing" or they all just looking to get the big check?

(and don't get me wrong. I am a fan of CLM. I thing he runs a good program. This may even be a nationwide trend, but the question needs to be asked.)

I am old school, but I still think the degree should be a goal for guys that may only play a year or two.
Posted by SOL
Garland, TX
Member since Jan 2004
2950 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 6:43 am to
Ego and Freak most likely won't even make a roster if they come out this year.
Posted by jwill37
The Chuck
Member since Jan 2007
1383 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 6:57 am to
The answer is condoms. Too many kids having kids
Posted by biglego
San Francisco
Member since Nov 2007
83175 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:01 am to
quote:

He was taken at 45 as the #4LB with 4 yr 4.39 million dollar contract with a 1.57 signing bonus.

Yeah he def made the right decision
Posted by BlueMoon
Chapel Hill, NC
Member since Aug 2007
1429 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 7:37 am to
Minter already graduated before declaring. I think that's a factor as well.
Posted by doya2
Charenton
Member since Jan 2005
8465 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 8:47 am to
Great thread...and a "big" reason for LSU being a Peach Bowl type program right now.
Posted by stephendomalley
alexandria
Member since Dec 2005
6481 posts
Posted on 11/4/13 at 9:08 am to
the worst part of it is sometimes these kids never even make a big contribution for their college career. at most it seems like we get 1 good year out of them. look at guys like Freak and Ego - we won't even get one great year before they are gone.

I don't understand how the NFL scouts can pick guys because of athleticism if they don't have either the football smarts, the will, or both to be real players.

It seems to me, though, that once the floodgates are open, there aren't any seniors around to draft, so the NFL takes what they can get out of the junior class.

It's really ruining the college game for me. Like it did for college basketball.

PS I don't blame any kid for believing the lie and taking the money. we know they all end up broke, except for those few who are very lucky to get themselves on solid ground, or those lucky enough with an upbringing to be solid emotionally already.

I hate professional sports. I just can't get excited about my mercenaries vs your mercenaries.
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