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re: Jordan Jefferson passing yards over/under

Posted on 8/1/11 at 2:46 pm to
Posted by Santa Clause
123 Fake Street
Member since Apr 2004
11451 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 2:46 pm to
There's no excuse why Reuban Randle shouldn't have 1000 yards this season. No reason Deangelo Peterson shouldn't have at least 500-700 (although I will say he needs to be tougher--JJ isn't responsible for DP's mediocre numbers last season). Although we've got other quality WR's, like Shep, those two guys are nearly uncoverable for an entire game. Inability to get them the ball is almost always going to be the QBs fault, not theirs.
Posted by Pilot Tiger
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2005
74021 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 2:48 pm to
yall have some pretty low expectations for this kid if you're thinking 150-170/game.

He's a senior who(according to all reports) has had a tremendous offseason and is going to have a great running game.

We're gonna be in trouble if he cant sling it around a little bit
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 3:38 pm to
quote:

yall have some pretty low expectations for this kid if you're thinking 150-170/game.

He's a senior who(according to all reports) has had a tremendous offseason and is going to have a great running game.

We're gonna be in trouble if he cant sling it around a little bit


LSU basically won without a sustained passing game last year. If JJ doesn't improve a lot, there will not be a national championship but still, LSU could be a very good group with a solid defense.
Posted by JJ27
Member since Sep 2004
62262 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

yall have some pretty low expectations for this kid if you're thinking 150-170/game.



Name the two greatest games Jordan Jefferson has ever had at LSU. 9 out of 10 posters would say Georgia Tech and A&M. He threw for 142 yards against GT and 151 against A&M.

If it's 12 games I'd set the Over/Under at 2100. That's 175 a game. That gives room for 2-3 bad games along with 2-3 good games to average out.
Posted by loopydj
Dallas, TX
Member since Jul 2011
292 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 5:03 pm to
over 2500 passing

JJ for Heisman!

or at least Heisman candidate lol
Posted by GEAUXTIGER23
Member since Apr 2008
4893 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 5:09 pm to
I'd set the o/u at 2100

Passing tds- 12

Rushing tds- 6
Posted by TIGRLEE
Northeast Louisiana
Member since Nov 2009
31493 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 5:24 pm to
I think a better and more intresting bet would be whats the odds that he even finishes the season as the starter?

Injury or suck play.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
29319 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 7:00 pm to
I'd set the o/u at 2100 also and I see 2600 with Krags taking more emphasis on the passing. I've seen Les Miles bring in the right people to set the offensive line, defense, and running backs straight 2 years in a row. I think this year it will be passing's time to get the "Miles" treatment.

He averaged 180.5 passing in games played in 09 and 14.25 rushing despite being sacked I believe it was between 32 and 34 times.

The truth is if he attempts the throw more, rather than take off running, he should reach the extra 40 a game over his sophmore season pretty easily.

O/u 15td passes, 5 TD runs. My hope is 26, 6 but I'd settle for 20, 5
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
63075 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 7:22 pm to
quote:

He needs to throw for 200/game



That probably makes us a legitimate favorite in every game with Bama being a legitimate toss up.
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
62715 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

yall have some pretty low expectations for this kid if you're thinking 150-170/game.



Not really. Hopefully, we'll rush for 200 yards a game and JJ will be out by the start of the 4th quarter on the reg. I think he'll be improved, but I just don't think we'll need him to consistently throw for 200+ yards. Though I think he probably will a few times.
Posted by TIsuGGER
Member since Apr 2009
2321 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 9:01 pm to
Whatever the number is, take the under. JJ has been on track to lose 4 games the past two years. Miles will pull him more this year when the same starts to occur.

LSU had six 375+ yard games in 2010, 3 were when Lee made significant contributions. One where they had a month to prepare, and the others were Vandy and Ole Miss; against the 93rd and 81st ranked defenses.
Posted by Lonnie4LSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
9525 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 9:21 pm to
quote:

I think a better and more intresting bet would be whats the odds that he even finishes the season as the starter?

Injury or suck play.


Boy, aren't you a ray of sunshine.

Posted by TIGRLEE
Northeast Louisiana
Member since Nov 2009
31493 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 9:25 pm to
quit breaking my balls lonnie.
Posted by GABlueDog
Marietta, GA
Member since Dec 2008
8045 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 9:26 pm to
1900 passing yards
55% comp rate
12 TDs
9 INTs
Posted by Roaad
White Privilege Broker
Member since Aug 2006
84011 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 10:32 pm to
I think the Over/Under should be set at 2500

I'll take the over.
Posted by loopydj
Dallas, TX
Member since Jul 2011
292 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 10:43 pm to
plus 1000 yards rushing?
Posted by Roaad
White Privilege Broker
Member since Aug 2006
84011 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 10:56 pm to
I think he will run less under Krags.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 11:27 pm to
quote:

I think the Over/Under should be set at 2500



Would blow everyone away. I think the odds of JJ throwing for over 2500 are small, but it would definitely be a sweet surprise.
Posted by Roaad
White Privilege Broker
Member since Aug 2006
84011 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 11:29 pm to
quote:

Would blow everyone away.
He's a senior. That is a solid baseline for a SR QB.

No excuses this year. We hold him to the same standard as anyone else.

quote:

I think the odds of JJ throwing for over 2500 are small, but it would definitely be a sweet surprise.
2500 yards would mean that our RB's are running free. They could then alleviate pressure from each other.
This post was edited on 8/1/11 at 11:30 pm
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
299716 posts
Posted on 8/1/11 at 11:48 pm to
quote:

He's a senior. That is a solid baseline for a SR QB.

No excuses this year. We hold him to the same standard as anyone else.


I don't think excuses should have been made for last year and not sure why anyone thinks he should have been held to a different standard. I think 2100 is realistic. Unless JJ is totally different in practice, he really hasn't shown he is the type of guy to throw for over 200 per game consistently. Maybe Krags is a magic man, who knows.
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