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re: "It's hard to beat a team twice."

Posted on 12/30/11 at 10:28 pm to
Posted by Fearthehat0307
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2007
65256 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 10:28 pm to
quote:

That was done on purpose in response to his "except" when it should have been accept
didnt see that
Posted by Fenster
Member since Mar 2008
866 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 10:36 pm to
quote:

Correct, which is less than 50%, so it is called unlikely, therefore hard.


???

4 outcomes: team A wins 2, team A wins 1st and loses 2nd, team A loses 1st and wins 2nd, team B wins 2.

Chances of A or B winning streak is 25% + 25% = 50%
Chances of A or B winning only 1 game each is 25% + 25% = 50%

This isn't an exercise in YOUR team winning both, it's a demonstration of ANY team winning both, which is exactly as likely to occur as split victories (each team winning only once).
Posted by CottonWasKing
4,8,15,16,23,42
Member since Jun 2011
29283 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 10:37 pm to
The only way that saying is actually justified is if the team that won the first is significantly worse than the team they beat.


That is not the case in this situation.
Posted by dreaux
baton rouge
Member since Oct 2006
40881 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 10:41 pm to
All I know is, everytime I flip a quarter it has just as much of a chance for heads or tails no matter how or what I have done previously. Technically I could get 10 heads in a row.

Although that is less likely to happen
Posted by Regreaux
Cen Fl
Member since Dec 2011
31 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 10:44 pm to
A few of the Alabama players and a dozen ESPN talking heads have said Alabama was better, LSU was lucky, I ran out of gas. I... I had a flat tire. I didn't have enough money for cab fare. My tux didn't come back from the cleaners. An old friend came in from out of town. Someone stole my car. There was an earthquake. A terrible flood. Locusts! IT WASN'T MY FAULT, I SWEAR TO GOD!

At the end of the day they know we beat them and we know it too. All of the spewed, pointless mind-garbage on the planet does not change the outcome from November 5th. And all of the sport psychologists on the planet can not keep Foster from puckering up a little when he walks in and sees those LSU jerseys across the field.

Their offense knows that, while Foster took the blame, they were unable to get him close enough for a reasonable chance at success.

Their defense knows they were gassed before the end of regulation.

And Les seems to own Saban.

Advantage- LSU
Posted by graychef
Member since Jun 2008
29542 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 10:48 pm to
It depends on how the first game goes. If you catch every break and are obviously inferior, yet win the first matchup, then yes, it would be very difficult to win again.

If you are evenly matched, played a very competitive game, and won in the end, then it would be about the same level of difficulty.

If you absolutely blew the team out of the water and dominated, it would not be hard to repeat.

LSU played an away game very competetively and won. That should play slightly in their favor.
This post was edited on 12/30/11 at 10:50 pm
Posted by NocturnalTiger
Member since Nov 2011
1147 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 10:57 pm to
quote:

Take flipping a quarter twice. If you flip heads the first time,

That only makes sense if while the quarter is in the air a linebacker is bearing down on you to take your head off...

Translated for you: In skill sports there are a hell of a lot more factors at stake than one quarter. maybe a fist full of them, thrown in the air, and the percentage of heads to tails each throw, would make more sense...
Posted by tigerbait2010
PNW
Member since May 2006
31851 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 11:02 pm to
Oh, I believe you. You misspelled "grammar".
Posted by Palomitz
Miami
Member since Oct 2009
2476 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 11:33 pm to
quote:

"It's hard to beat a team twice."


In Tuscaloosa? Yes.
In the Superdome? Maybe not.

These "analysts" are so full of crap- really.
Posted by LSUFAN2
Tennessee
Member since Jan 2011
2563 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 11:39 pm to
Damn- it must be even more difficult to beat a team 7 out of 9 games too!
Posted by Purple and Geaux
Fort Worth, TX
Member since Oct 2007
145 posts
Posted on 12/30/11 at 11:51 pm to
Isn't that what Virginia Tech was thinking after they found out that they had to face Clemson in the ACC Championship game this year?

Virginia Tech's only regular season loss was at home to Clemson. What happened in the ACC Championship game? A Clemson Tiger blowout of the Hokies.
Posted by randyb
Los Angeles
Member since Nov 2003
1466 posts
Posted on 12/31/11 at 12:02 am to
Just ask the falcons
Posted by ShermanTxTiger
Broussard, La
Member since Oct 2007
11124 posts
Posted on 12/31/11 at 12:07 am to
quote:

i dont usually like to be the grammer police but seriously


It is spelled "Grammar"- Those who live in glass houses......
Posted by LSUKAT
Birmingham, AL.
Member since Dec 2007
1431 posts
Posted on 12/31/11 at 12:17 am to
Once you lose, it becomes EASIER to except DEFEAT!

I like this much better than it's hard to beat a team twice....
Posted by glock22josh
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2011
517 posts
Posted on 12/31/11 at 12:57 am to
must be a loaded coin we are using? 7out of 9...not quite 50%
Posted by topgun1676
Clinton, Maryland
Member since May 2007
1850 posts
Posted on 12/31/11 at 2:52 am to
quote:

The pressure is on LSU not AL. We have everything to lose while AL has it all to gain.


Sorry, but DEFINITELY have to disagree with this statement. IMHO, I truly believe that ALL the pressure will be on Bama in this game.

Not only are they playing in one of the most intimidating atmospheres not named Death Valley, which is pretty much a SECOND Home to our Beloved Tigers. But, also everyone on ESPN has talked them up so much and has put BAMA so high on a pedestal...that the pressure is purely on Saban & Company.

Face it...Bama seems to be the new ESPN Darlings that was previously USC, at least until next year or so. The pressure is solely placed on them and Trent Richardson's shoulders. I'm just curious whether or not that young QB will crack under pressure, once Nick Saban puts the game in his hands after we contain Richardson. LSU wins this one Boys!
Posted by LSUFAN2
Tennessee
Member since Jan 2011
2563 posts
Posted on 12/31/11 at 4:41 am to
GoldRing- you are spot on. Alabama was tiring. Sorta like we were in 2003 before Saban called the delayed blitz. Alabama lineman were sucking air.

The fact they already lost to LSU, is pressure on them. The coach is tight and the team will play tight. Similar results for the gumps as the last time they played in the dome.
Posted by Mulat
Avalon Bch, FL
Member since Sep 2010
17517 posts
Posted on 12/31/11 at 4:56 am to
quote:

GoldRing- you are spot on. Alabama was tiring. Sorta like we were in 2003 before Saban called the delayed blitz. Alabama lineman were sucking air.



Makes you wonder if Miles will do a hurry up or no huddle offense from the start.
Posted by thelsutigerfan
Death Valley
Member since Sep 2011
401 posts
Posted on 12/31/11 at 5:01 am to
Posted by Born in BR
Ormond Beach, FL
Member since Dec 2007
447 posts
Posted on 12/31/11 at 5:49 am to
quote:

re: "It's hard to beat a team twice." (Posted on 12/30/11 at 9:51 p.m. to SteveLSU35) Not so sure about that one. AL may be in the driver's seat in this game. The pressure is on LSU not AL. We have everything to lose while AL has it all to gain.


I do not agree for 2 reasons.

1. LSU has played 2 good opponents since Alabama and has beaten them by a large margin. AU has not.

2. LSU has continued to significantly improve late in the season. This is rather unusual for an NCAA team as they usually peak around midseason.


3. AU has had all of the hype and has been picked by a majority of the media to win this time. The pressure is on them and they know they do not have the weapons, including coaching expertise, to beat us.
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