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Here are the percentages that make it to major leagues based on draft round

Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:33 pm
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
43087 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:33 pm
Was interested to find out so passing it along. FWIW



LINK
This post was edited on 7/11/23 at 8:37 pm
Posted by Bmath
LA
Member since Aug 2010
18758 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:36 pm to
That’s pretty sobering.
Posted by Le Tenia
Member since Feb 2015
4875 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:39 pm to
Shocker
Posted by 777Tiger
Member since Mar 2011
82923 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:41 pm to
not only that but the guys that are drafted higher but aren’t performing as good as lower picks will get every chance to keep going while others are cut just so the GM can save face
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
43087 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:43 pm to
Yep
Posted by Pikes Peak Tiger
Colorado Springs
Member since Jun 2023
6694 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:44 pm to
quote:

That’s pretty sobering


But not at all surprising
Posted by Notclamdip
Member since Mar 2023
940 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:45 pm to
quote:

others are cut just so the GM can save face



Yeah, I thought the same thing.

There's no way the correlation is that tight naturally.
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
50474 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:46 pm to
Plus the Dominicans, Cubans, Japanese players aren’t even in the draft

Watch this all star game
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
4026 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:46 pm to
quote:

not only that but the guys that are drafted higher but aren’t performing as good as lower picks will get every chance to keep going while others are cut just so the GM can save face


Beat me to it. 100% correct. Many are only given a shot due to the large signing bonus invested in them. And that shot doesn’t last all that long.
Posted by South Endzone Warrio
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
586 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:01 pm to
That’s wild.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
13011 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:11 pm to
And most MLB all-star caliber players play for 12+ years and HOF caliber players usually 18-20+ years.

A lot of turnover at the bottom of the rosters but not much year to year at the top. Only about ~200-250 roster spots turnover each year and are being pursued by most of the minor league players from the last 6 to 8 years of drafts and the international free-agents.
Posted by BatonrougeCajun
Somewhere in Texas
Member since Feb 2008
6809 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:19 pm to
As it turns out, it’s really hard to be a big leaguer.

And a lot of those guys who “made it” have career stats like .118 BA 4 H 1 RBi
Posted by Relham10
Ridge
Member since Jan 2013
18384 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:21 pm to
Wonder how many of those 1st rounders deserve to be called up or just sent there for a showing to just save face that we drafted a bust. I see some of these prospects' stats in the minors and wonder how they made it all the way up to the show
Posted by BatonrougeCajun
Somewhere in Texas
Member since Feb 2008
6809 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:22 pm to
Go look at all the first rounders in a given year and see how many names you have never heard of. It’s pretty impressive
Posted by Spawn
Berlin
Member since Oct 2006
7815 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:28 pm to
Kramer Robertson is a prime example. He was an All American in 2017 and 4th round pick.
He’s been bouncing around the minor leagues for 5 years and has not been able to crack a major league line up except for brief call ups.

Posted by Portcityblues
Member since Jan 2017
822 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:30 pm to
Plus that counts that some of the high picks have in their contracts that they have to be called up to the big leagues by a certain year
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36270 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:44 pm to
I’m not trying to act like a know it all, but didn’t people know this already? Look at how many players get drafted annually vs how many spots are available on big league rosters
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
43087 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:45 pm to
You could spit out the percentages per round?
Posted by Thib-a-doe Tiger
Member since Nov 2012
36270 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:47 pm to
No, but people are saying it’s sobering. LSU has had SEC POY’s that didn’t even sniff the bigs.

As crazy as it sounds, there’s a not-insignificant chance that Dylan Crews never makes it
Posted by tigerterrace
Mobile, Alabama
Member since Sep 2016
3473 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 10:06 pm to
I will also add that 1st rounders are typically looked at as having a multiple skill set. So people really understand why they were taken and are willing to see if they can find their way.

So a 1st rounder like a pitcher may not develop as a starter might after 2-3 years they may be viable as middle relief...A first round hitter might still be a good piece of the bench to PH or play against righties or lefties.
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