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re: Head coach winning percentages

Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:28 pm to
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60871 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:28 pm to
quote:

Was the program in better shape in 05 than 00?


it was in much better shape. Of course there was talent on the team when Saban got here, there is always SOME talent at LSU. Hell Curly Hallman signed some talent.
quote:

51 wins, 2 west titles, an SEC title, 2 bcs bowl wins, 3 top 5 ranking and a top 17 ranking in 4 seasons, and NC did come bout by accident or without a lot of hard work being done from 05 to 09.


I completely agree, but that question is was 08-09 the aberration or where the program will remain?
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161246 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:31 pm to
quote:

We got VERY lucky with Saban. Noone outside of the Big 10 ever heard of him and he a mediocre to shitty tenure at Michigan State.
This is false, LSU had played Michigan State in Indy Bowl so LSU fans knew who he was. Also he was talked about as a coach who could possibly coach at next level before he came to LSU. Especially with his pedigree and the coaching tree he came from.
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

so, you think that Miles' tenure at OSU was also mediocre and crappy? I agree.


Yes. LSU got lucky when they hired Miles too. LSU has never been known for their big name hires.
Posted by Mayhawman
Somewhere in the middle of SEC West
Member since Dec 2009
10459 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:33 pm to
quote:

I mean you do understand LSU played 11 regular season games in 00, 01, 04? They only had 3 OOC games each year. Now say LSU schedules it regular La Tech, ULL, ULM, that would be 3 extra wins for the previous coach giving him 51.

I wouldn't use ULM for your Saban argument.
.675-.700, is still cutting hairs. Especially with multimillion buyout involved, then likely paying another coaches buyout.
As much as you dislike Miles, firing just isn't warranted, or a smart money move. It's ridiculous to keep on about it, cuz Joe ain't listening.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60871 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

Noone outside of the Big 10 ever heard of him


Not so, both the Colts and Giants had shown interest in him while he was at MSU.
quote:

and he a mediocre to shitty tenure at Michigan State.


once again we see the problem of just looking at records and not putting things into context like the fact he took over a team that had to forfeit its 5 wins the year before he was hired because of NCAA violations.
This post was edited on 8/22/10 at 7:36 pm
Posted by Carlos
Member since Nov 2006
2130 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

Noone outside of the Big 10 ever heard of him


Except a few NFL teams who had made him a finalist for head coaching vacancies.
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161246 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:37 pm to
quote:

Mayhawman


Ah I see you like to make generalized assumptions...

quote:

As much as you dislike Miles,
Can I get a link to this? I would love to read a quote of me saying fire Miles.
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

I look at more than just winning percentage because the state of the program when coaches took over is also important and also is they sustained that level of winning.


Exactly. Mack Brown's first three years at North Carolina resulted in a combined record of 8-24-1. This is not because Mack Brown was an 8-24-1 caliber coach. In the first couple of years or so, a coach's record is significantly impacted by the condition of the program when he took it over, except in the very rare exceptional cases when it's in bad shape and he does such a good job he turns it around faster than that.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60871 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:39 pm to
quote:

The pace is skewed by the first 3 years.





why are you laughing? 34 wins in 3 years is a pace of 11.333 wins/year. the 08-09 pace is 8.5/yr.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94835 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:40 pm to
quote:

I completely agree, but that question is was 08-09 the aberration or where the program will remain?



08 was really the aberration. 09, though ugly in spots, was a successful season - we weren't blown out of any games, and lost 4 games (Florida, Bama, Ole Miss and Penn State) by a total of 23 points. 9-4 is an acceptable, though unspectacular season. If the defense improves incrementally, and the QB/OL/Running Game takes a signficant, but not huge step, we could still wind up at 9 wins in 2010 (though I doubt it). I assume Crowton would go at that point, however.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
60871 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

I would love to read a quote of me saying fire Miles.


yeah. I'm not saying we should fire him at this time, I'm just concerned we will turn into Tennessee
Posted by tduecen
Member since Nov 2006
161246 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:44 pm to
Hell I haven't even gone that far
Posted by Nuts4LSU
Washington, DC
Member since Oct 2003
25468 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

We got VERY lucky with Saban. Noone outside of the Big 10 ever heard of him and he a mediocre to shitty tenure at Michigan State.


You obviously weren't keeping up with college football much at that time. Not that you are now, either, apparently, but you obviously weren't then. He was considered a very good coach and was on multiple NFL teams' short lists to fill their head coaching vacancies before he ever came to LSU. Why do you think LSU threw what was then an obscene amount of money at him to get him to come here?
Posted by blackjackjackson
fourth dimension
Member since May 2008
7684 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:48 pm to
jaketiger: I don't give anyone making 4 Million dollars a year a "PASS" when my daughter goes to a school where the professors are being fired!

why? why do you continue w/ this lie. miles does not make $4m/ yr b/c of this year, or 09, or 08...IT WAS IN HIS CONTRACT IN 07.

and, if you can't affort to send your girl to lsu, send her somewhere else. it is not mile's fault that you don't make enough money to take care of your family. or, did you give back your last pay raise? didn't think so.
Posted by blackjackjackson
fourth dimension
Member since May 2008
7684 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:53 pm to
wow, jaketiger, do you have to kiss nut4's balls every time he speaks?
take note: you are both negatigers and know it and love it.

the guilbeau column today was rational, not the usual spewing of nega-ranterds like nuts and lacour. so it is possible to be rational for some ranterds, but obviously not for you.
Posted by blackjackjackson
fourth dimension
Member since May 2008
7684 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:56 pm to
hey nuts:
It couldn't have been all that obvious, or a guy getting paid $4 million a year to know these things would have known it before he wasted a scholarship and a year on him.

the $4m/yr was in his 07 contract if he delivered.
he delivered. it was not for what he might be able to do in 08, 09, 10....etc.
please explain how you gave any money back in your professional career.

sorry to point it out for the 10,000th time.
Posted by Choctaw
Pumpin' Sunshine
Member since Jul 2007
77774 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:57 pm to
quote:

why are you laughing? 34 wins in 3 years is a pace of 11.333 wins/year. the 08-09 pace is 8.5/yr.


Because it sounds like your saying "The 10 wins a season doesn't really count because we were really good his first 3 years". Thats why im laughing
Posted by Mayhawman
Somewhere in the middle of SEC West
Member since Dec 2009
10459 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

LSU is coming off a standard les miles 9-3 season
From last years predict thread.

quote:

Do I think another coach could come in and average 10+ wins for 5 seasons, yeah I really do believe that.

Sounded like you thought easy as pie to replace him with better coach. 50/50 would mean 50% of FBS coaches could do better.

Possible I misjudged you, but it walks like a duck.
Posted by SouthernMan
Charlotte
Member since Nov 2008
1380 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

Stovall wasn't his replacement. Bo Rein was.


And that's the point, you never know what you are going to get!

Bo may have been great or he could have been not ready for the big time, we'll never know.

But if you think the 80's was a great decade then I don't see how you have a problem with Les.

By the way, the argument for or against any particular coach because of the last guy's recruiting is old and fairly simple minded.

Stovall was who he was 22-21-2 (.511) and in over his head! (Great player though!)
Arnsparger was who he was 26-8-2 (.750) and job searching when he got there!
Archer was who he was 27-18-1 (.598) and a train wreck
Hallman (.364) was too painful to even post his record but when he was hired he was expected to lead the Tigers back to the promised land!
Dinardo (.578) was better than the two that came before him but not on the same level as the two that followed.

Saban was who he was (.750) – the one who finally got us back to where we were in the Paul Dietzel (.651) days. (1st NT in FORTY FIVE YEARS)

And just like Dietzel’s successor—Cholly Mac (.692); Miles has been better than his predecessor but NEVER was as popular.

Mac survived for a long time despite that but never came close to being as good as Miles, but neither was Dietzel for that matter.

The fact is Saban is the ONLY coach that we have ever had that you could objectively compare Miles to and he aint coming back.

quote:

which one would you bet on? Anyone answering that question honestly would say they would bet on 42-23 being closer because, bottom line, his last two years are closer to what his next five will be like than his first three years are.


I'm being completely honest when I say I think over the next five years he comes real close to averaging 10+ games a year just like the last five with at least another BCS Title.

Is 55 regular season wins out of the question, no, but With the level of talent he brings in year after year and the fact that he continually (Co DCs not withstanding) hires top level assistants I see great things.

My fear is that all of this completely over the top hatred of the man will encourage him to bolt WHEN Michigan offers this time.

Hope I’m wrong about that, GEAUX Tigers!!
This post was edited on 8/22/10 at 8:07 pm
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94835 posts
Posted on 8/22/10 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

He was considered a very good coach and was on multiple NFL teams' short lists to fill their head coaching vacancies before he ever came to LSU.


I remember the collective reaction from the LSU fanbase at large to be,"Huh? The guy Dinardo beat his first year in the Indy Bowl? The little, mean, loud, bossy coach from Michigan State?" I knew he was talked about as maybe a future NFL DC, with potential to be an NFL head coach. I was also impressed with his final season at Michigan State. However, to say it was regarded as a slam dunk, brilliant hire at the time is an exaggeration at best, and historical revisionism at worst. You are an honorable man, so I will assume the former.

This post was edited on 8/22/10 at 8:02 pm
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