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re: Glenn Guilbeau on College Football Live today...
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:36 pm to Choctaw
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:36 pm to Choctaw
quote:
wow....that's a shitload of spin right there.
I can only assume you are being willfully ignorant.
Let's posit an example that simplifies the point. Let's imagine a football team that plays eight games in a season. Lets assume arguendo that they lose every other game 66-0 and win every other game 66-0. At the end of the season, what is their record? 4-4, right? So overall the team has a mediocre season. They are simply meediocre with a high standard deviation, but mediocre nonetheless.
The same logic applies with equal force to your (rather improbable) 0-8, 8-0 hypothetical.
And in reality, because LSU has finished 3-5 and 5-3 over the last two seasons, they are a mediocre team with a low standard deviation. They've performed at or near mediocrity each of the last two seasons.
This really isn't hard to grasp unless you are dead set on defending Miles.
This post was edited on 8/5/10 at 3:39 pm
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:37 pm to Ford Frenzy
quote:
Anyone know what Guilbeau's screen name is on TigerDroppings?
Ford Frenzy?
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:37 pm to Lonnie4LSU
quote:
Lonnie4LSU
Happy with a return to the 1980s.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:38 pm to Ford Frenzy
quote:
Glenn Guilbeau on College Football Live today...
8-8 in the SEC over the past 2 seasons is also mediocre
How would Bama or Florida have done with Jefferson at QB? Would Florida have won MNC w/o Tebow? Bama w/o McElroy?
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:39 pm to Colonel Flagg
quote:explain why you're so insecure about our perception...you know mediocre teams have been great the following season
Explain how finishing 3rd in the best conference in the country is mediocre.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:40 pm to Bernie Moore
quote:they would have all been closer to mediocrity
How would Bama or Florida have done with Jefferson at QB? Would Florida have won MNC w/o Tebow? Bama w/o McElroy?
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:41 pm to Ford Frenzy
quote:
explain why you're so insecure about our perception
Now this is funny.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:42 pm to Bernie Moore
quote:
Bama w/o McElroy?
Bama would have won the NC with Jefferson, Tebow, Todd, Mallett, and Garcia last year. McElroy was not some game changer and was completely replaceable.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:45 pm to Boh
quote:
It's not outside the realm of possibility that Miles would be on his way out with a 7-5 regular season.
You are right. Martians could invade the earth too.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:46 pm to Ford Frenzy
quote:
explain why you're so insecure about our perception...you know mediocre teams have been great the following season
I am tired of our supposed "fans" create a false negative perception about our team. We were simply not mediocre(meaning poor or inferior) last year. We finished 3rd in our 12 member conference which is all clearly the best conference in the country. We were also a top 20 team and more than likely would have been top 10 if we wouldn't have been forced to play on the worst playing surface imaginable in the bowl game.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:48 pm to Colonel Flagg
quote:
simply not mediocre(meaning poor or inferior) last year.
To be clear, I am using "mediocre" in its primary sense, meaning "of only ordinary or moderate quality."
We're an ordinary team over the last two years. Not great. Not elite. Not championship contenders.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:49 pm to The312
quote:
Let's posit an example that simplifies the point. Let's imagine a football team that plays eight games in a season. Lets assume arguendo that they lose every other game 66-0 and win every other game 66-0. At the end of the season, what is their record? 4-4, right? So overall the team has a mediocre season. They are simply meediocre with a high standard deviation, but mediocre nonetheless.
The same logic applies with equal force to your (rather improbable) 0-8, 8-0 hypothetical.
And in reality, because LSU has finished 3-5 and 5-3 over the last two seasons, they are a mediocre team with a low standard deviation. They've performed at or near mediocrity each of the last two seasons.
You can spin it however you want....the only reason anyone would use '08 as a reference is to push some type of agenda. It was two years ago and has no bearing on what is going on now. Why just use '08? Why not use Miles' SEC record the last 3, 4, or 5 years? This is a rhetorical question ofcourse, because i already know the answer.
I like how you respond to my post but only quote part of it. real slick.
This post was edited on 8/5/10 at 3:52 pm
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:54 pm to Colonel Flagg
quote:
Explain how finishing 3rd in the best conference in the country is mediocre.
It may not be mediocre to other teams around the country, but these lofty expectations have become the norm. When the team doesn't look anything close to coherent on offense, mediocre is a term that deserves to be thrown around.
Being mediocre is about perception. We finished 112th in offense last year. If you don't think that contributes to a mediocre team, then I can't help you and you are completely content with however the team looks on the field to its fans.
The thing is... we didn't go 0-8 or 8-0 so that comparison means nothing. We went 3-5 and 5-3 in the last 2 years and looked mediocre in doing it.
I'm not calling for Miles to be replaced, but it's completely understandable with the way things have gone. If we don't go at least 6-2 in SEC play this year, then I'll be on board with getting a new coach.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 3:58 pm to The312
quote:
Assuming you have the capacity to utilize rudimentary logic, of course you could "lump" them together. A rational person would say: "In year one, when it went 0-8, LSU was absolutely atrocious. In year two, when it went 8-0, LSU was exceptional. Taken together, one can reach the conclusion that LSU was a mediocre program ON AVERAGE over the last two season
See this is where you sound like a complete moron. If LSU was to go 0-8 FIRST YEAR, then we probably are 3-9, 4-8. THE VERY NEXT YEAR we go 8-0 in SEC play it is highly likely we finish 11-, 12-0 SECG, and Sugar Bowl or SECG and BCSNCG.
And then you would lump those two seasons together and call it mediocre
Priceless
This post was edited on 8/5/10 at 4:02 pm
Posted on 8/5/10 at 4:00 pm to Colonel Flagg
quote:excuses are f'n annoying
We were also a top 20 team and more than likely would have been top 10 if we wouldn't have been forced to play on the worst playing surface imaginable in the bowl game.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 4:00 pm to Oily Tigah
quote:it was pretty original when he said that Ryan Mallet is a taller, more accurate Tib Tebow. it was a bullshite statement that no one else in the world agrees with,, but still original
or original, for that matter.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 4:04 pm to Datbayoubengal
quote:
See this is where you sound like a complete moron. If LSU was to go 0-8 FIRST YEAR, then we probably are 3-9, 4-9. THE VERY NEXT YEAR we go 8-0 in SEC play it is highly likely we finish 11-, 12-0 SECG, and Sugar Bowl or SECG and BCSNCG.
And then you would lump those two seasons together and call it mediocre
Priceless
Sometimes I really do wonder about the mental capacity of some posters on this board.
If you didn't "lump" things together there would be no way to assess how a team performed on average during any given period of time. You would be limited exclusively to stating how the team performed in its most recent outing. If the team won 66-0, all you could say is "this team is awesome." If they lost 66-0 the following week, they would have to be reclassified as "terrible", notwithstanding that they had won the previous week. And so on ad infinitum. You'd never be able to take a long term view of a program and determine how it performed over a five year span or a decade or century.
This post was edited on 8/5/10 at 4:10 pm
Posted on 8/5/10 at 4:07 pm to Choctaw
quote:
You can spin it however you want....the only reason anyone would use '08 as a reference is to push some type of agenda. It was two years ago and has no bearing on what is going on now. Why just use '08? Why not use Miles' SEC record the last 3, 4, or 5 years? This is a rhetorical question ofcourse, because i already know the answer
Since you and the rest of the Miles apologists prefer "results only" analysis, here goes.
The deeper we get into the Miles regime, the more he becomes SOLELY responsible for the results. Years 1 and 2 were more about the previous coach's recruits. Yes, Les gets credit for the results, but not SOLE credit. Year 3, Les gets most of the credit. Years 4 and 5, Les gets all of the credit (some would say blame).
The reality is that beginning in Year 4 it is all on Les. Year 4 was complicated by the RP situation, making it more difficult to make an accurate determination of the state of the program.
Since most of us get to actually watch the games, many like me prefer to take a more substantive approach to analyzing LSU football. With this approach we can take into account what we see on the field, rather that what we read in a box score. I, for one, don't like what I see; however, if we only go by the results in the box score, certainly Years 4 and 5 should be a more accurate read of the type of coach you have than Years 1 or 2.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 4:11 pm to The312
quote:
Sometimes I really do wonder about the mental capacity of some posters on this board.
You must be speaking to yourself because to post something that stupid is ridiculous. There are other variations of the record you could have used, but you stated 0-8 YEAR ONE, and then 8-0 YEAR TWO.
Now most "rational", and people with a larger "mental capacity" than you would have probably said they changed dramatically on over the offseason, and corrected any mistakes that occured in the 3-9, 4-8 campaign the year prior.
Posted on 8/5/10 at 4:13 pm to Papa Purple and Gold
Despite Guilbeau being an arse, do you really thing this would happen with if LSU wins 7 or 8? THis is a different question than if Les SHOULD keep his job.
I think if LSU has a winning record he stays given the econonomic climate and Les' buyout and the cost of hiring a top-tier coach.
I think if LSU has a winning record he stays given the econonomic climate and Les' buyout and the cost of hiring a top-tier coach.
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