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re: Excellent draw I think for a better shot at getting to the CWS

Posted on 5/27/24 at 2:39 pm to
Posted by hirematthouse
Born on the crest of a wave
Member since Nov 2023
472 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

It’s that we will likely be facing their ace and best bullpen arms in what is as close to a “must win” as you can get. That’s completely different than what we were facing in the SEC tournament.


We beat the top 2 offensive teams in the SEC in the first two games. They scored 1 run between the two of them
Posted by drp0911
Newton County, Arkansas
Member since Jun 2021
90 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 2:54 pm to
You never know, always expect the unexpected!!! Geaux Tigahs
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
17045 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

Now if you are just talking about pitching that we faced, maybe.

I mean yeah, that’s exactly what I’m talking about.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
17045 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

We beat the top 2 offensive teams in the SEC in the first two games. They scored 1 run between the two of them

That’s great but also has almost nothing to do with the point that I was making.
Posted by USAFLSUVet
Member since Jun 2021
63 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 4:05 pm to
My thoughts exactly before the show started. I wanted to be in any regional NOT opposite the top 4 SEC teams. Not scared of them but most of those Supers would be 50/50 and away. I think NC and AZ odds are better all things considered.
Posted by purplepylon
NOLA & Laffy
Member since Nov 2005
8251 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 4:08 pm to
quote:

if Arizona chokes (one of the weakest top 16), we get to host the Super.


If it's DBU that comes out of that regional then they may well have a case to host over LSU. They are arguably a better 2 seed than LSU and will probably have put a bid to host just as we have. So its not a foregone conclusion that we host anyone outside of Arizona.
Posted by TarHeel408
NC
Member since Mar 2017
1494 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 4:14 pm to
Probabilities to make a Super based on 1000 simulations.

UNC~51%, LSU~24%

LINK
Posted by 6R12
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2005
11523 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 4:41 pm to
He's just throwing JUJU beads at them that all.
Posted by rattlebucket
SELA
Member since Feb 2009
12569 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Probabilities to make a Super based on 1000 simulations. UNC~51%, LSU~24%


There are lies, damned lies, and then statistics.
-Albert Einstein
Posted by im4LSU
Hattiesburg, MS
Member since Aug 2004
34424 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

That’s great but also has almost nothing to do with the point that I was making


And the point you were making only took half of the equation into account. We faced better offenses this week and OUR pitching easily held their own.
Posted by SmoothBox
Member since May 2023
2416 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 5:20 pm to
Difference is we aren’t going to be fortunate enough to play teams mid week arms at a neutral site.

This is going to be a dog fight, LSU can win, but it’s probably going to be a tougher road that what was just faced in the SECT.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
17045 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

And the point you were making only took half of the equation into account. We faced better offenses this week and OUR pitching easily held their own.

100% agree. But our pitching hasn’t been as much of a problem this year as people make it out to be. Consistently scoring runs has been a major problem for us. Again, think we can win the regional and what we did in Hoover was very impressive. But saying playing North Carolina this weekend “isn’t any tougher” than what we faced this past week just isn’t true.
Posted by dukeg7213
Louisiana
Member since Apr 2023
6089 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 5:30 pm to
It’s really simple. You win game 1 with Jump and you move on to game 2 with most likely UNC. Almost a “must win” with Holman on the mound. LSU doesn’t have the bullpen to get into a losers bracket and have to win 3 more games.
Posted by fr33manator
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2010
133330 posts
Posted on 5/27/24 at 5:41 pm to
quote:

8 if everyone wins



An all SEC Omaha? That would be insane
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