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ESPN Allstate Playoff Predictor

Posted on 11/2/23 at 11:36 am
Posted by jsmoke222000
Lake Charles
Member since Oct 2007
6204 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 11:36 am
LINK

They currently have LSU @ 5% chance of making the CFP. If we win out & win the SEC, LSU has a 49% chance of making the CFP.

They show our chances to win the remaining regular season games as follows:

Alabama 38%
Florida 89%
Georgia State 96%
A&M 72%
Posted by rpg37
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Sep 2008
47392 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 11:37 am to
I am stunned to see us an 89% advantage vs. UF.
Posted by Fonzarelli
Dallas
Member since Jan 2015
3972 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 11:43 am to
quote:

If we win out & win the SEC, LSU has a 49% chance of making the CFP.


Should be 95%
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59088 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 11:48 am to
quote:

If we win out & win the SEC, LSU has a 49% chance of making the CFP. Should be 95%


With 2 losses LSU needs a lot of help
Posted by jsmoke222000
Lake Charles
Member since Oct 2007
6204 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 11:48 am to
Yeah it doesn't let you pick wins & losses for multiple teams at the same time. We need some help, but carnage is coming & teams ahead of us will lose.
Posted by Colonel Angus
Member since Aug 2007
1620 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 12:03 pm to
Ideally we need A&M to beat OM this weekend, then have OM beat UGA. We win out and beat UGA in SECCG giving them 2 losses. If UGA rolls into SECCG undefeated, and we beat them giving them their only loss, you are high if you think they get left out of the CFP. They would be a 3-4 seed but they will get in. Either Michigan or Ohio State will most likely be undefeated meaning the winner of that game is getting in, and there is no way they will leave out a 1 loss defending nat champ (UGA) with the run they've been on the last 3 seasons. Then you have FSU who could still lose 1 game and have the virtue of a win over us on their schedule. Plus the winner of Oregon and Washington getting in. And Texas lurking if someone slips. They will not put a 1 loss UGA and a 2 loss LSU in the CFP. UGA would get in and we would end up around 5 or 6.

We def need help and the scenario I listed above regarding OM is the best route.
This post was edited on 11/2/23 at 12:06 pm
Posted by jsmoke222000
Lake Charles
Member since Oct 2007
6204 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 12:09 pm to
They give Georgia a 34% chance to make the CFP if they win out but lose in the SEC championship game. I think our chances are better if we were to beat an undefeated Georgia in Atlanta.
Posted by Colonel Angus
Member since Aug 2007
1620 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 12:13 pm to
I don't see that. I just don't see them kicking the back to back Nat champs out with 1 loss in the conf champ game
Posted by Septiger
Member since Nov 2020
1606 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 12:14 pm to
Even if LSU wins out they will need some teams to lose some games .
Long shot at best.
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59088 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 12:18 pm to
quote:

I don't see that. I just don't see them kicking the back to back Nat champs out with 1 loss in the conf champ game


Depends on what the other teams do. It is still possible to have 3 undefeated P5 conference champs. UGAs schedule is pretty bad (though it improves the next couple of weeks) if Texas win out an wins the CCG they will have 2 wins better than any UGA win and a Conference title
Posted by atltiger6487
Member since May 2011
18135 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 12:19 pm to
quote:

ESPN Allstate Playoff Predictor
WAAAYY too early for this.

At this point, it's just clickbait.
Posted by iBack8569
Member since Dec 2021
1171 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 12:20 pm to
LSU needs divine intervention to make the playoffs with 2 losses. The SEC would be left out of the CFP for the first time if they leave out a 1-loss Georgia.
Posted by IM_4_LSU
Augusta, GA
Member since Mar 2014
8993 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Alabama 38%


This seems a bit low.
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17406 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

They currently have LSU @ 5% chance of making the CFP. If we win out & win the SEC, LSU has a 49% chance of making the CFP.
wonder what changed in their model. A couple days ago they had us at 64% if we win out and won SECCG

Nvm the CFP rankings came out that’s what it was…
This post was edited on 11/2/23 at 3:39 pm
Posted by 0x15E
Outer Space
Member since Sep 2020
12631 posts
Posted on 11/2/23 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

I am stunned to see us an 89% advantage vs. UF.


Are you?
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