re: Deep dive into baseball postseason (what is best for LSU)

Winning vs MSU gave us a temporary RPI boost but going 0-2 will knock us back to #46. RPI is relative and if #41-50 win 2 games and we lose today, they could all zip past LSU. I think if we win today, we lock into a spot. If we lose, we'll be on the bubble. Depends on what the teams below us and just above us in RPI do in their tournaments and how many bids get stolen from those already locked in. Big 10 and Big 12 are going badly for us and Northeastern is currently losing 6-1.

another thing to look at is ELO LSU is 25 in this

Other bubble teams
Kentucky 34
Miami 30
Baylor 23
Washington 54
DBU 44
Missouri 43
ULL 38
Texas A&M 13

There is a lot to consider but if the committee doesn't put to much emphasis on road record and RPI we are in, if they do we may be out.

I think of we beat UF last night, we'd be in even 0-2 after that.

quote:

---

how the committe feels about having 9,10, or 11 SEC teams in.

---

This is the biggest variable and it's why I hate being on the bubble.

The SEC is head and shoulders above everyone else, and the gap is greater this year than it is in normal years. BUT, there is always a nebulous "grow the game" push by the committee that typically just serves to frick the SEC and reward a northern school.

quote:

---

Home wins count as less than 1 win in the RPI formula.

---

I don't have a problem with that part necessarily. I think the weights are still too heavy though.

quote:

---

This is the biggest variable and it's why I hate being on the bubble.

The SEC is head and shoulders above everyone else, and the gap is greater this year than it is in normal years. BUT, there is always a nebulous "grow the game" push by the committee that typically just serves to frick the SEC and reward a northern school.

---

Yep. And it is why we can never say we are off the bubble.

Should going 15-15 in conference have done the trick? Probably so.

Should beating Miss St have locked us in? Probably so.

You just never know though.

It is why Ell has not been wrong with his argument that LSU needs to win one more, although logic will tell you that LSU should be pretty much locked in already.

If the committe wants only 10 SEC teams in, then they will cherry pick the category to keep somebody out.

If Kentucky is left out they will say, "We put a big emphasis on conference record, and UK only won 13."

If LSU is left out they will say, "We focused mainly on RPI and road record. That is why LSU was left out."

The committee will have questions to answer if either LSU or Kentucky is left out, because there will be multiple teams that get in with a uglier resume. What you going to do though?

I think most of us realize that we aren't a lock. Stolen Bids and not being favored by the committee could make us miss this year. But looking at everything, more points to us going in than not.

A couple tournaments that aren't favoring LSU right now is ACC and Big 12. Pitt has worked themselves into the semi finals. Miami has a shot as well, which would be a big blow. Hopefully Clemson takes care of business.

Texas has been eliminated too I think.

Yes to all your points. We need Duke to win their pod...going into extras right now with the weakest team in their pod. All the ACC games today have implications...I want UVA knocked out too.

two on no outs for Duke 10th inning.

Edit: make it bases loaded