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re: Can Joe Burrow get to 58.8% completions this season?

Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:05 pm to
Posted by TigerFan4040
Member since Sep 2013
4386 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

No team has won the SEC in the last 10 years with a completion % under 60.7%


Well thank the lord games are decided each week by points scored and not fricking completion percentage, amirite?

Quit getting hung up on shite like this. The more he gels with the offense, the better his completion percentage will get.
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33794 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:07 pm to
quote:

Who cares! If we 12-0 or 11-1 and in the top 5 he can be at 48%


Well that'd be a historic season to say the least if a team could be that successful in the modern era with a QB completion percentage that low.

In reality, that completion percentage has got to get better.
This post was edited on 9/20/18 at 4:09 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84784 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:20 pm to
quote:

Well thank the lord games are decided each week by points scored and not fricking completion percentage, amirite? Quit getting hung up on shite like this. The more he gels with the offense, the better his completion percentage will get.


Do you think our record going forward will be better if Burrow completes 48% of his passes or 60% of them?

Posted by BentonTiger7
Benton, LA
Member since Sep 2011
2300 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:22 pm to
Career Stats
He is at 56% if you count just the little bit he played at Ohio State. I'm pretty sure he will be in the high 50s to low 60s by the end of the year.
Posted by TigerFan4040
Member since Sep 2013
4386 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

No team has won the SEC in the last 10 years with a completion % under 60.7%

Oh and for the record Auburn won the SEC in 2013 with Nick Marshall having a completion percentage of 59.4%, baw.

Posted by OKTGR580
Baton Rouge to Houston, TX
Member since Apr 2018
6318 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

Who cares! If we 12-0 or 11-1 and in the top 5 he can be at 48%


This ^^^

Posted by Topwater Trout
Red Stick
Member since Oct 2010
67589 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

If he's at 48% by the end of the season, we're staring at 3 losses at a minimum.


what if he is 70% in the games you're thinking we will lose?
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
17430 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

Next year could be special if the defense restocks well. We return almost our entire offense.


Schedule sets up nicely for next season too
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28504 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:26 pm to
quote:

A win is a win is a win is a win is a win.

Because 48% aint going to do it every game....you disagree with that?
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164112 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

Oh and for the record Auburn won the SEC in 2013 with Nick Marshall having a completion percentage of 59.4%, baw.


He was 60.4% after the SEC Championship Game.
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33794 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Because 48% aint going to do it every game....you disagree with that?


I don't know why people are going out of their way to understand this point.

There's a reason cramming for tests isn't recommended. It may work for you once or twice but over the long run it's going to burn you.

Was watching film study with Jimbo and he preaches the process, because he says when you have success for the wrong reasons or in spite of subpar play, that never lasts.

The passing has to get better and I expect it to. It's going to burn us eventually if it doesn't.
This post was edited on 9/20/18 at 4:33 pm
Posted by TigerFan4040
Member since Sep 2013
4386 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Do you think our record going forward will be better if Burrow completes 48% of his passes or 60% of them?


Depends, how many of the 48% vs 60% of passes either scored or put us in position to kick a field goal?

You do realize percentage points aren't actual points on the scoreboard, right?

Obviously we all want to see higher completion percentages, but to act like he has to hit some arbitrary number in order for us to win ball games is just dumb.
Posted by bluebengal
Lafayette La
Member since Feb 2018
773 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:33 pm to
You do realize that Alabama won national championship with a QB that was completing less than 48%!!
Posted by BlackHelicopterPilot
Top secret lab
Member since Feb 2004
52833 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

Because 48% aint going to do it every game....you disagree with that?



If you'd told me that was the percentage at this point, prior to the first game, I'd have guessed LSU would be 1-2.


Not ideal. I don't expect it to continue at that pace. But, just because I wouldn't BET on a thing doesn't mean a thing CAN'T happen.


The good news is that Joe is calm enough to make the 3rd and 7 pass. So, he can throw on 1st (incomplete), running play gains 4, complete on 3rd and 6 for a 1st down. 50%...but, move the chains.



Again, I expect better and believe it will be needed. Just, not impossible.

Posted by RBTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2011
7684 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:34 pm to
Burrow is well over 60% on 3rd & 8 or longer
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33794 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

You do realize that Alabama won national championship with a QB that was completing less than 48%!!


Who was this?
Posted by LSUStar
Medellin
Member since Sep 2009
10440 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:37 pm to
He really needs to Torch the Tech D.
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68578 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:39 pm to
quote:

Who cares! If we 12-0 or 11-1 and in the top 5 he can be at 48%


Because even during our good stretches, JJ would be like 8/11 and we'd kill teams.

Just didn't throw it that much after 08.
Posted by I20goon
about 7mi down a dirt road
Member since Aug 2013
12892 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:40 pm to
If the WRs get better, sure.

Let me rephrase: If the WRs continue progressing, YES.

If the OL continues to progress, and adjusts as opponents find weaknesses (because they are there, and they will find them)- then it will happen even faster.

The theory I'm basing my statements on: If the OL is full of studs and he can hold the ball for 5-7 sec (which is studly), he's still gonna run it for 4 yds when the WRs give up on routes, sit down 3 yds from a baiting safety or have gotten so close to the boundary to present an ineffective window.

ETA: we all, myself included, tend to forget the drops that plagued us in 2012. Yes- Landry and OBJ. Until that stopped (thank you Moffitt) Mett struggled.
This post was edited on 9/20/18 at 4:44 pm
Posted by SportTiger1
Stonewall, LA
Member since Feb 2007
28504 posts
Posted on 9/20/18 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

Burrow is well over 60% on 3rd & 8 or longer




You would sure think our 3rd down conc % would be more than 32%
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