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re: Brian Polian by the Numbers
Posted on 10/25/22 at 12:29 pm to FIVEON
Posted on 10/25/22 at 12:29 pm to FIVEON
quote:
Our kickoff coverage is ranked 97th in average return yards allowed (most notable breakdown is putting us in the hole to start the Florida game)
- Our kickoff returns are ranked 80th (most notable issue is the muff to start the Tennessee game)
- Our punt return defense is ranked 117th in average return yards allowed
- Our punt returns are ranked 120th (I won't even mention the muffs because those are too painful)
Abysmal seems pretty spot on to me
I just don't understand it either, has to get better if we want to be elite
Posted on 10/25/22 at 12:41 pm to FIVEON
quote:
Kelly hired someone he had previously worked with to run his recruiting operations, which admittedly seems to be going well
He's good enough to keep on staff somewhere.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 12:45 pm to FIVEON
I’m not defending Polian, but he has mentioned he doesn’t have the “dogs” to run a good ST unit. With the mistakes we have seen from individual players, I can at least believe him on that. ST didn’t bury us during the Ole Miss game. Lets just hope the unit continues to get better.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:08 pm to FIVEON
quote:
we must recognize that not once in 5 years on Kelly's staff at Notre Dame did Polian's Special Teams rank in the Top 25 according to Football Outsiders.
If Polian’s only responsibility were ST, that might be a reasonable standard. He is on staff to be the recruiting coordinator. That’s how he primarily should be judged. If ST are just somewhere around average and not costing the team games, that’s good enough. They don’t have to be Top 25. I agree that’s not where they are this season and ST did cost the FSU game, but his track record at ND was more middling. It wasn’t great, but it wasn’t outside the Top 100 either.
This post was edited on 10/25/22 at 1:10 pm
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:09 pm to Old Money
quote:
I’m not defending Polian,
I will, just not as ST coach. Need to find something less comprehensive for him.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:11 pm to FIVEON
quote:yep- on all counts.
The only thing to do mid-season is bring on special teams consultant to maybe provide an extra set of eyes or strategic direction. I am not advocating Polian goes altogether. Someone correctly pointed out that he is our recruiting coordinator, and we cannot afford to lose that.
He is still underperforming as a Special Teams coach, and one game without a huge mistake does not change that.
We can afford a, or several, top notch consultants.
The numbers OP posted equal one thing- Polian's feeling deserve to be hurt.
This post was edited on 10/25/22 at 1:12 pm
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:17 pm to I20goon
quote:
We can afford a, or several, top notch consultants.
Do you and the others in this thread making these comments know who all the analysts are on staff, what their backgrounds are, and what assignments they have? I’m not saying you are wrong, only questioning whether you can be so sure Kelly hasn’t already done this.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:19 pm to Old Money
quote:
ST didn’t bury us during the Ole Miss game. Lets just hope the unit continues to get better.
This. I didn’t believe Denbrock would shift the offense very much to help Daniels. He has.
I didn’t think Daniels would suddenly loosen up and start throwing the ball downfield. He has.
I didn’t think the O Line could be any better than average this season. They are pretty close to accomplishing that.
ST has been bad, but I’m done with saying things can’t improve with this team because I’m tired of being wrong. They just had a better game. Let’s see what things look like after the bye week.
This post was edited on 10/25/22 at 1:20 pm
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:28 pm to misey94
quote:
I agree. You will see the glaringly obvious holes in the roster on ST quicker than you will see it with the starters on O and D. Not saying that he's free from accountability, but he truly was dealt a bad hand lol
The lack of depth is part of the problem, but it's not like we are throwing out walk-ons to cover kicks. Our coverage unit in SEC games has included players like Harold Perkins, Jaray Jenkins, Joe Foucha, Jarrick Bernard-Converse, Demario Tolan, and Micah Baskerville. Coaches with just as little time and scholarships available have performed well with these players. The depth and scholarships does not provide a pass.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:30 pm to shutterspeed
quote:god damn polian missed a field goal
penalty on the opening kickoff and a missed field goal.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:48 pm to FIVEON
At this point let's just hope Polian gets the recruiting class in nicely and manages to poach a few for next year's roster. Only way his salary could be justified for this year.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:51 pm to FIVEON
Football Outsiders Special Teams Rankings for ND under Polian:
2021- #41
2020- #28
2019- #28
2018- #61
2017- #93 (#87 in 2016)
He inherited a bad special teams unit and improved them after the first season. It looks like your Top 25 cutoff was particularly arbitrary given the two seasons at #28. ND was actually pretty good on ST the last 3 seasons.
2021- #41
2020- #28
2019- #28
2018- #61
2017- #93 (#87 in 2016)
He inherited a bad special teams unit and improved them after the first season. It looks like your Top 25 cutoff was particularly arbitrary given the two seasons at #28. ND was actually pretty good on ST the last 3 seasons.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:53 pm to MikeTheTiger71
quote:I know of several, but not ST's. My point would be that whomever they are, and yes there are very likely several on staff, they are not effective.
Do you and the others in this thread making these comments know who all the analysts are on staff, what their backgrounds are, and what assignments they have? I’m not saying you are wrong, only questioning whether you can be so sure Kelly hasn’t already done this.
What I'm suggesting is a ST coach who is not a coach in name. Polian can be the ST Coach "in name only". It does pose an issue at practices (and of course games) but there are some loopholes that can be exploited.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 1:55 pm to FIVEON
If we continue to win, he will get another year to right the ship...If not, things will be different.
Kelly has a $10M gig to protect.
Kelly has a $10M gig to protect.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 2:46 pm to MikeTheTiger71
quote:
Football Outsiders Special Teams Rankings for ND under Polian:
2021- #41
2020- #28
2019- #28
2018- #61
2017- #93 (#87 in 2016)
He inherited a bad special teams unit and improved them after the first season. It looks like your Top 25 cutoff was particularly arbitrary given the two seasons at #28. ND was actually pretty good on ST the last 3 seasons.
It's admittedly a little arbitrary, but I don't think Top-25 is much to ask for. With that being said, most of his two best years still had some outlying poor units. Kick and punt return were ranked 119 and 86 respectively in 2019, and he was helped by switching kickoff specialists and increasing touchback rate by more than 50%. It's hard for me to credit that to coaching. A new kicker came in and kicked the ball farther, not that much different than what we saw against Ole Miss
Posted on 10/25/22 at 3:01 pm to FIVEON
We can always find someone to kick it into the end zone.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 3:17 pm to FIVEON
quote:
It's admittedly a little arbitrary, but I don't think Top-25 is much to ask for. With that being said, most of his two best years still had some outlying poor units. Kick and punt return were ranked 119 and 86 respectively in 2019, and he was helped by switching kickoff specialists and increasing touchback rate by more than 50%. It's hard for me to credit that to coaching. A new kicker came in and kicked the ball farther, not that much different than what we saw against Ole Miss
It just seems like you’re trying really hard to paint Polian in a bad light. You only want to accept the data points if they support your position. You can pick apart any statistic and explain it away if you try hard enough. The question is whether you’ve applied that same level of scrutiny to any other ST coaches. Who would live up to the standard you are setting?
It’s entirely inconsistent to hold poor performance for players against the coach, but discount good performance as having nothing to do with the coach. You can’t have it both ways. Also the low rankings in kick and punt returns were due to coaching philosophy on Kelly’s part. He took a conservative approach to avoid mistakes. They would have been better served to do the same this year.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 3:20 pm to FIVEON
quote:
Our overall special teams performance is ABYSMAL. AND, WE ARE PAYING TOP DOLLAR FOR IT
People get caught up with $$. He's probably gone but you can't fire a ST coach mid season and expect things to get better so we are stuck with the current agreement. We just have to weather the storm.
Posted on 10/25/22 at 3:25 pm to FIVEON
Recruiting >>> Special Teams
Bad coaching is not why players drop punts
Bad coaching is not why players drop punts
Posted on 10/25/22 at 3:41 pm to H-Town Tiger
quote:
Recruiting >>> Special Teams
Bad coaching is not why players drop punts
Not if the special teams is bad enough to lead to losses. The #1 item in recruiting (besides NIL money if your school/boosters can afford it) is winning. When special teams cost us wins (which it has and may do again), it immediately hurts recruiting. And before we anoint Brain Polian as a great recruiter, his current 247 recruiting ranking is 229th. While I would not want to lose him mid-cycle, something tells me losing our ST coordinator in the offseason would not affect much on the trail. Promote Arcement and hire a better ST coach or even another on-field coach and recruiter.
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