Basketball over reaction Thursday

Maybe even 8 plus a couple wins in the SECT

would be nice if Wake Forest has a good season too

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9-9 with our conference schedule will get us in.

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This

And that is what I was wanting for this season

After last night I'm hopeful.

Depends on who we beat. Thankfully the SEC is pretty stacked this year outside of UGA, South Carolina, and Vandy so there’s not a ton of opportunities for bad losses. I’d say 10 would be the lowest we could go but would need a few more Q1 wins sprinkled in. 11/12 wins and I think we’re safely in

This. I can see us as a high NIT seed, tbh.

Lol we win 11 or 12 and we are a 5 or 6 seed. 9-9 would almost certainly do it and 8-10 would be right in the thick of the bubble holding your breath depending on conference tournament results

Not sure why some people think 9-9 gets this team in. Our NET is 75 right now, mostly from playing poorly against one of the worst OOC schedules in the country. We have to get that massively higher to have a chance at the NCAAT. 9-9 wont cut it. I have my doubts 10-8 even would. 11-7 would safely get us in, 10-8 would put us on the bubble. 9-9 we definitely get left out because our SOS is just terrible.

Also while I realize this is an actual over reaction thread, we need to keep in mind Arkansas was missing 2 key players last night in Smith and Brazile. Brazile is out for the season which is a big blow for them as their top bench guy and they dont know when Smith will be back so they were pretty short handed. I'm excited as hell we picked up that win last night but I'm still unsure how this team will respond to the difficult road ahead, it definitely isn't getting any easier coming up the next month plus.

Over the next 11 games the only real "breaks" we get are Texas A&M and Florida as the rest of that schedule (9 games) looks to be NCAA tournament teams. And we still have to play that A&M game on the road.

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Not sure why some people think 9-9 gets this team in. Our NET is 75 right now,

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9-9 would get our Net and KP up a good bit imo, last year Rutgers went 18-14 with the 354th(5th highest) OOC schedule finishing around 75th on KP and got a play in game.


Indiana got a 12 with the 319 OOC scheddy and USC got a 7 with a 290,


Now will 9-9 with a KP of 75 surely get us in? Idk but as of right now I think it would get us in. Especially if we can add an few wins against the rest of the top 7 in the conference(Avoiding a bad loss to the bottom 3 teams)

Bro those bracket selection asshats don't give two shites about NET. We as fans overuse it. .500 in conference play and we are locked, no doubt.

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Rutgers

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12-8 against a very good Big 10

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USC

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14-6 in conference play


Far cry from going 9-9 in the SEC in either case

Indiana did only go 9-11 last year but their NET was like 40, so we have a very long ways to go to get there. Not sure 9-9 does that either. Think some are just underestimating how big a hurdle our OOC is to overcome in conference play.

It's not just playing the schedule we did OOC but how poorly overall we did against it from an advanced stats point of view. It was a lot of teams we should have beat by 20+ and that happened once, and against one of the worst teams in the country (New Orleans with a NET of 355). I mean MSU played a slightly worse OOC than we did this year but they beat the brakes off most the teams they played, and their NET is currently at 39 as a result even losing last night to Bama at home.

9-9 might could sneak us in but the majority of those wins would need to be against the best teams we play in the SEC which I doubt would shake out that way. As it stands right now 8 games on our schedule are "meh" conference games and 10 are against tournament level teams. Say we go 6-2 against the "meh" teams and 3-7 against the tournament level teams...is that good enough? I kind of doubt it.