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re: Not going for 2 was just as egregious as not going for 4th & 1...

Posted on 10/11/26 at 1:15 am to
Posted by la_birdman
Northern GA via Lake Charles
Member since Feb 2005
32409 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 1:15 am to
quote:

There has to be some mathematical share of winning that LSU has


There isn't. That's what you're not understanding. Each team scored the same amount of points. The spread means nothing at that point.

It's been explained.

This post was edited on 10/11/26 at 1:17 am
Posted by NeverLightningInTS
Member since Sep 2026
230 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 1:16 am to
quote:

Log off

Maybe it is true what people say of our academics...
Posted by vidtiger23
Member since Feb 2012
10756 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 1:18 am to
quote:

I don't know what share of winning LSU actually had in this game... no one does... but based on talent most people would say it should have been much better than a coin flip, meaning offering Kentucky a chance to win it at the end with a 45% chance is a massive error. THIS IS ALSO WHY KENTUCKY WENT FOR IT. They knew this increased their chances of winning vs. "playing safe" and tying it with an extra point.

Dude we understand what you are saying, but the analogies you are using do not make sense lol. Since you are so big into math the math tells you the OP is 100% incorrect.
Posted by NeverLightningInTS
Member since Sep 2026
230 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 1:18 am to
quote:

There isn't. That's what you're not understanding.

Yes there is.

Just because we only experience one outcome does not mean that there are not probabilities attached to this outcome.
Posted by NeverLightningInTS
Member since Sep 2026
230 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 1:23 am to
quote:

Each team scored the same amount of points.

Bro, if Georgia and Little Sisters of the Poor happen to be locked in an overtime battle for whatever reason, they are not equally as favored to win.

Georgia would still have a massive talent and coaching advantage that would have to be overcome. It's not 50/50 just because they are tied. Draftkings isn't offering you -110 for Georgia moneyline just because they're tied.
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
38782 posts
Posted on 10/11/26 at 3:13 am to
quote:

It's not getting talked about a lot


Because it is incredibly stupid.
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