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With big $$$ being given out like candy, what happens to players that are complete busts?

Posted on 11/25/24 at 10:20 pm
Posted by SwampyWaters
Member since Apr 2023
1901 posts
Posted on 11/25/24 at 10:20 pm
Are NIL guaranteed deals because it would seem like a school can only take so many busts, before the donors quit writing checks? With the players in total control, it would seem like the attorney drawing up the paperwork is going to make sure the players are protected financially, regardless if they become a star or a bust.
Posted by Gravitiger
Member since Jun 2011
11510 posts
Posted on 11/26/24 at 12:18 am to
All NIL deals are different, but they can't be predicated on performance (i.e., not being a bust). Just like in the pros, sometimes people pay too much for underperforming players, and sometimes players outperform their compensation.

What makes you think it's the players' attorneys drawing up the paperwork? It's a negotiated process, just like any 5-8-figure business deal. The collectives (and the actual businesses doing real NIL endorsement deals) typically have far more expensive, experienced attorneys than the players do.
This post was edited on 11/26/24 at 12:29 am
Posted by JohnnyQuidds
Member since Aug 2024
270 posts
Posted on 11/26/24 at 12:30 am to
It’s not a new concept; they get their money to either squander on family/“friends” or they have a nice nest egg to start their life.

Schmucks and grown men on message boards will want to string them up and burn them, but truth is they won’t be a total bust until year or two down road and at the point, everyone will be smoking some other 18 5* cack.

What happens to coaches that get bought out for $17M and $75M? They live like fricking kings and no one ever talks about them 6 months after
Posted by biggdogg
United States
Member since May 2008
1776 posts
Posted on 11/26/24 at 12:50 am to
Right because coaches go recruit bust players on purpose
Posted by Mickey Goldmill
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2010
25750 posts
Posted on 11/26/24 at 7:53 am to
NIL still being fairly new, big time donors haven't been burned much yet. The more they are, the more cautious they will be I would imagine.
Posted by SwampyWaters
Member since Apr 2023
1901 posts
Posted on 11/26/24 at 12:27 pm to
quote:

What makes you think it's the players' attorneys drawing up the paperwork? It's a negotiated process, just like any 5-8-figure business deal.


I was assuming that because the players have all the power and the players are also just teenagers, so I would assume they would have legal representation to ensure they are taken care of. It is my understanding that some attorneys are now focusing strictly on NIL deals.
Posted by Datbayoubengal
Port City
Member since Sep 2009
28036 posts
Posted on 11/26/24 at 3:16 pm to
It's real early, but i can guarantee that once some of these insanely overpriced kids bust, there will be some drawdowns in the market. It has already gotten overinflated in only 4 years. We went from seeing it crazy that Ewers got signed to a million dollar deal to 3 mill and a luxury house Caleb Williams got, to 8 mill Nico got, to now 12 mill that Underwood got. SEC teams promising 5 mill in a single year to Drake Maye. A rumored Michigan player (many expected All American Will Johnson the CB) being offered a million. Average defensive tackles coming out the 2nd portal window asking for a million dollars. It's getting crazy, way too fast.

The top 2-3 guys at LSU last year were making 500-600k and neither were Jayden Daniels. You can bet your arse that no less than 10 guys will be making no less than half a million a year for LSU starting next year.

Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
19925 posts
Posted on 11/26/24 at 3:50 pm to
Nothing like dissension in the locker room when the starter gets 1/10 of the amount of the back up that was overrated to begin with ...

Posted by JerryTheKingBawler
South of Memphis
Member since Jan 2023
4758 posts
Posted on 11/26/24 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

what happens to players that are complete busts?

The mafia makes em sleep with the fishes.
Posted by JakeFromStateFarm
*wears khakis
Member since Jun 2012
12421 posts
Posted on 11/26/24 at 5:20 pm to
Just like a 1st round pick in the NFL that’s a bust. They make a decent amount of money and never live up to expectations.
Posted by Lige
Member since Nov 2015
1653 posts
Posted on 11/27/24 at 10:09 am to
I also wonder if this will stop all of the opt-out mid season .
Posted by logansrun
Amite
Member since Dec 2015
1953 posts
Posted on 11/27/24 at 1:22 pm to
BK mentioned players above the cut so obviously there's players below the cut. They'll be gone.
Posted by SLAP99
Houston
Member since Jan 2013
270 posts
Posted on 11/27/24 at 3:29 pm to
The only thing you can do is caveat the emptor.
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
14728 posts
Posted on 11/27/24 at 3:40 pm to
They get the money theirs contract calls for. Dollars and duration. If the school is concerned about their being busts, they don’t have to guarantee the money for multiple years.
Posted by Gravitiger
Member since Jun 2011
11510 posts
Posted on 11/28/24 at 8:33 am to
quote:

I was assuming that because the players have all the power and the players are also just teenagers, so I would assume they would have legal representation to ensure they are taken care of. It is my understanding that some attorneys are now focusing strictly on NIL deals.
Of the thousands of players who will sign with an FBS program this year, maybe 500 have legit bargaining power, and that's being generous. The vast majority sign boilerplate deals for a few thousand dollars.

Again, the contracts are all negotiated, but I guarantee you they are drafted primarily by the attorneys for the collectives. The party making the offer almost always drafts the deal. They do dozens of them, while an individual player's rep doesn't have a standard form. The collective sends over a draft to the player's representative, who redlines it and sends it back. After several iterations of this, the agreement is finalized.
This post was edited on 11/28/24 at 9:17 am
Posted by Gravitiger
Member since Jun 2011
11510 posts
Posted on 11/28/24 at 8:43 am to
quote:

NIL still being fairly new, big time donors haven't been burned much yet. The more they are, the more cautious they will be I would imagine.
Those same big time donors have been putting up a lot more money for bust coaches for a long time, and they still aren't cautious.
Posted by moock blackjack
Member since Apr 2008
105786 posts
Posted on 11/28/24 at 10:22 am to
Arch Manning last year had the biggest NIL. O tract in the country and didn’t take a snap or maybe just a few!
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