Combined Recruited Personnel Score 2006-2011

Here's how I got the score for each team, using LSU's 2009 score as an example.

Here are LSU's classes from Rivals from 2005 to 2009 in terms of stars...

_______5-star__4-star__3-star__2-star
2005_____1______7______5______0
2006_____2_____12_____11______0
2007_____2_____19______5______0
2008_____2_____11_____13______0
2009_____4_____11______9______0

Before totalling the following modifications are made. As it takes time for players to develop, I gave a 2-star penalty to players in their first year and a 1-star penalty in the second year. In addition, a fair number of players don't make it to their 5th year (either by not red-shirting or going into the draft early). So I included a factor of 0.7 to account for a 30% attrition rate.

So here are the modified numbers and the totals.

_______5-star__4-star__3-star__2-star
2005____0.7____4.9_____3.5_____0
2006_____2_____12_____11______0
2007_____2_____19______5______0
2008_____0______2_____11_____13
2009_____0______0______4_____11

TOT_____4.7___37.9____34.5____24

Now assuming that teams will be keeping their best on the field most of the time, I'm only counting the full value for the top 22. As backups play a significant amount, but not nearly as much as the starters, I'm counting the next 22 at 60%. The third string only sees mop-up, but they do get called upon when injuries occur, so I'm counting the third 22 at 20%.

So, first string = 4.7 (5*) and 17.3 (4*)
second string = 20.6 (4*) and 1.4 (3*)
third string = 22 (3*)

So, LSU's score for next year would be: 1.0* (4.7*5 + 17.3*4) + 0.6*(20.6*4 + 1.4*3) + 0.2*(22*3) =157.86

I did this for every team to get scores from 2006 thru 2011. If there weren't enough players to fill out all 66 spots, I filled in with 2-star players. Note that there may be some changes to the 2010 and 2011 scores as the next to classes get signed.



And I aslo looked at conference averages while I was at it...



And made a graph of the BCS conferences for good measure...



...Discuss