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re: Let's suppose that the worst case occurs...

Posted on 5/11/11 at 4:09 pm to
Posted by LSUDad
Still on the move
Member since May 2004
60640 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

This would obviously place a lot of stress on at least two generations of residents.


At least..........to say the least.....

Posted by Crawdaddy
Slidell. The jewel of Louisiana
Member since Sep 2006
18829 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 4:10 pm to
Would Lake P be dregged so the banks could be the new ports?
Posted by tetu
Ascension Parish
Member since Jan 2011
12269 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

True, but it would build a new delta first and it would have a lot of shallow water to work with before it got to the edge:


Good point. I don't think anyone really knows what would happen. Even if it did build up, wouldn't alot of marsh be lost from saltwater encroachment in the Southeast?
Posted by SG_Geaux
Beautiful St George, LA
Member since Aug 2004
79571 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 4:12 pm to
quote:

Let's suppose that the worst case occurs...



Let's pray that it does not.
Posted by tetu
Ascension Parish
Member since Jan 2011
12269 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

Would Lake P be dregged so the banks could be the new ports?


I thought about that also. Not sure how they would make it work? Port on lakeside and load onto barges on river side?

But if what I've read is correct, with the lack of sediment they could bring ships up the river, there just wouldn't be as much room (width).

Either way it wouldn't be the same b/c you have a large river coming out at Morgan City which could handle it all.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
107790 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 4:16 pm to
quote:

Even if it did build up, wouldn't alot of marsh be lost from saltwater encroachment in the Southeast?


Yes, just like the Chandeleur and Timbalier Islands are disappearing, the current "Bird's Foot" delta would disappear. Over time, Louisiana would lose the southeast "corner" of the state, and would form a "belly" coming out from the current mouth of the AR.
Posted by bakersman
Shreveport
Member since Apr 2011
5839 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 6:00 pm to
imo, i think they would do everything they could to get it back to it's current path. maybe sinking some barges and boulders in old river until they can rebuild the structure. COE thinks they have a bigger dick than what they do and will do everything they to fight nature. but how many times does man have to lose against nature to realize that man can't win.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
55451 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 6:58 pm to
IMO, worst case would include a hurricane coming in while the water is cresting. If that happened, the entire BR-NO corridor as well as the Spillway would suffer from ultimate frickage.
Posted by RhodeIslandRed
Adrift Off the Spanish Main
Member since Aug 2009
3175 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 7:32 pm to
quote:

Would the COE try to retame the MR


Man may for a while think that he has controlled nature, but eventually nature is going to win. Sooner or later he Mississippi will divert into the Atchafalaya and it might be this year. Who knows? What I do know is that the USACE is not going to tame jack shite. They are on a fool's errand.
Posted by JudgeHolden
Gila River
Member since Jan 2008
18566 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

i agree, i just think it would be impossible



Oh, yeah, it is impossible. It is a fourteen foot drop. Think about reversing a 14 foot waterfall pouring out about 500k cubic feet of water per second. Oh, yeah, and you have to do it in sandy, marshy soil. In a very remote area. No chance.
Posted by paulie
NOLA
Member since Dec 2007
675 posts
Posted on 5/11/11 at 9:08 pm to
I read through this article on the 1st post of the Flood Forum:

LINK

If the mighty Mississippi were to turn to the Atchafalaya River it would have to do it through the Old River Control Structure correct? Low Sill structure?

It seems as though some people think that by opening the Morganza Spillway the river will turn that way but if I'm not mistaken, that area that feeds the Morganza is high and dry when the water levels finally come down in the fall.

It would seem that the ORCS (Old River Control Structure) is handling the max capacity at the current time and opening the Morganza is independent?

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