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Which of these 4 rookie WRs do you expect to have the better year?

Posted on 9/2/20 at 9:25 am
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49199 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 9:25 am
Jefferson (8th)
Jeudy (9th)
Ruggs (13th)
Pittman (15th)

After taking Parker & Woods, I just decided to go with rookies the rest of the way to fill the WR group.

Passed on Reagor (who is currently out 4 weeks) but a shoulder injury for a WR will linger all year.

CeeDee was picked in the 8th and Alyuk in the 18th.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
40367 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 9:41 am to
Thinking Jefferson or Jeudy since both will likely operate from the slot.

Jefferson is a bit limited by a run heavy offense, but someone has to get those targets vacated by Diggs. Another thing potentially working against him is that the Vikings are going to use Kyle Rudolph and Irv Smith a lot, and Cousins is comfortable throwing to them over the middle which is also where Jefferson operates best.

Some of the veterans in Broncos camp have said Jeudy is the best route runner they've seen period, not just as a rookie. I think his game translates really well to the way refs call a game today. Lock seems to be targeting him a lot in the redzone in practice reports too. I think he's got the highest ceiling

Ruggs should have a Mecole Hardman type season. He'll have some monster weeks and some weeks he disappears. Derrick Carr just doesn't have the stones to push the ball down the field though and that's going to limit Ruggs upside.

If I had a gun to my head I'd say Jeudy scores the most fantasy points.


4 rookies is a major gamble though. I'd probably look really hard at some young guys that might be on waivers and poised for a breakout. Paris Campbell would be one to watch
This post was edited on 9/2/20 at 9:44 am
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8809 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 9:44 am to
Ruggs has the easiest path to playing time and the best draft capital. Decent chance he plays for the worst team of the 4 receivers, so there's a chance for negative game script to elevate his targets.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49199 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 9:52 am to
quote:

4 rookies is a major gamble though. I'd probably look really hard at some young guys that might be on waivers and poised for a breakout. Paris Campbell would be one to watch


Rolling the dice that one breaks out, but my week to week WRs will be Woods & Parker,

Non-PPR league.
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
9101 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 9:58 am to
Juedy’s route running is really special. I think he sees good action as a rookie.
Posted by TigerLunatik
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Jan 2005
111469 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Ruggs (13th)

quote:

Tyrell Williams' season is over.

The Las Vegas Raiders put the wide receiver on injured reserve, NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport and NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reported, per sources informed. The team later made the move official.

Wlliams suffered a torn labrum in his shoulder and was going to try to play through it after rehabbing for a few weeks, but will now have surgery later this month, Rapoport added.

Ruggs' stock may have just gone up.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49199 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 11:19 am to
quote:

Ruggs' stock may have just gone up.


I read that right before selecting him in the 13th.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
74539 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 11:41 am to
Data says let other people draft rookie WRs but..

Bryan Edwards is gonna out score Ruggs imo

Target distro past Waller is gonna be tough to call in LV. Renfrow, Agholor the three rookies Edwards, Ruggs, Bowden, Jacobs gets more looks? Richard?

I’m steering clear of those LV WRs this year

Juedy is good but tied to drew lock. Sutton and Fant are likely locked into 200 targets. The rooks Juedy and Hamler, then returning guys Hamilton, Patrick. The RBs catch a lot of balls.

Pittman isn’t on my radar

Jefferson is the answer. Clear path to targets with an accurate QB.
Posted by LSUcam7
FL
Member since Sep 2016
9101 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 12:03 pm to
quote:

Waller


Saved me in a few games last year. Picked him off waivers thanks to this board.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
40367 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 12:09 pm to
quote:

Bryan Edwards is gonna out score Ruggs imo


Curious at the thought process here.

Same with Jefferson too really- how his situation and competition for targets is different than the other guys. Rudolph and Irv Smith were both 15-20 targets shy of Noah Fant last year and Smiths role will only increase.

Every guy mentioned in OP sans Pittman is going to be on the field for 95% of the passing plays if they're healthy so I don't see where the target competition plays a huge factor. They'll all get the opportunity to run a lot of routes
This post was edited on 9/2/20 at 12:16 pm
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
74539 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 1:05 pm to
Nothing to do with ruggs. What is the target distribution look like in LV if Carr has 500 attempts with his shitty air yards per attempt? There will be boom plays but what about week to week consistency? Nothing in LV gives me faith

7.2 vacated targets per game and 1,400+ air yards open in MIN. WRs are a nothing burger after Theilen and Jefferson. The TEs remain from last year and will split their ~80 targets. If Smith’s role increases its at the expense of Rudolph. Jefferson’s catch% and Cousins accuracy should lead to efficient targets. For rookie WR historically, this is the type of situation that leads to production

And Noah Fant carried an 80 target pace with Lock under center last year. There is a rapport there
Posted by wrlakers
Member since Sep 2007
5944 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Pittman isn’t on my radar


I've read a little about him. Rivers will have time to throw and Hilton can't catch every ball. With Paris Campbell seemingly oft injured, Pittman will get a shot.

That said, when the OP listed Jefferson, my mind when to Justin in Minnesota. But today I read this tidbit:

quote:

The Athletic's Jourdan Rodrigue expects second-round rookie Van Jefferson to be the Rams' No. 3 receiver.
Jefferson has been one of the standouts of Rams camp, and he appears to have passed Josh Reynolds on the depth chart behind Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp. Before training camp, it was expected to be Reynolds replacing Brandin Cooks in three-wide sets. The Rams have a ton of targets up for grabs in coach Sean McVay's scheme that relies heavily on 11 personnel. Anyone who plays significant snaps in this offense is automatically on the fantasy radar.


Rotoworld NFL Headlines

Just a little more info. to add to the mix.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
74539 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 1:27 pm to
Phillip Rivers targeted his TEs an NFL high 36.3% of the time the last 5 years. You’re going to have to go through Hilton, TEs, Campbell, maybe even Hines before you get to Pittman imo

And I like van Jefferson a lot
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49199 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 7:03 pm to
Thanks, Gyne.

After the first 35 WRs went off the board, I started looking for guys who could be breakout players and started grabbing the rookies.
Posted by Byron Bojangles III
Member since Nov 2012
52897 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 7:37 pm to
Bryan Edwards over all of them
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39559 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 7:51 pm to
quote:

Bryan Edwards over all of them


Absolutely

I’ve managed to get shares of Edwards in 2/3 dynasty leagues, with the one league I didn’t I had zero 2nd round picks and took Lamb in the first

Dude is an absolute stud and has an elite breakout & dominator rating

I know it’s “hot takey”, but I think he’s the best WR in Vegas
Posted by Mpd31
Member since Nov 2019
3126 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 8:44 pm to
I actually have Ruggs and Edwards. Took Edwards in the last round. There has actually been talk of Ruggs playing some slot where they can get the ball to him quicker. Ruggs is not a Mecole Hardman type player. Ruggs is fast but is also a good route runner. There has also been mention that a lot of the offense may be centered around Ruggs. I like his upside. Edwards and Ruggs have both been talked up in camp and will both start.

I liked Raegor a lot before he got hurt. Thought he was A perfect for the eagles. Can stretch the field and has serious hops when the ball is in the air.

Not a fan of Ceedee this year bc he has too much competiton with Coop and Gallup. It is hard for me to get on the a jeudy train bc the Broncos have been so bad offensively for so long. Not sure I buy Lock yet. However he did play well in the sample size so he is worth a shot. I like Jets upside Too but looks like he will start off the season as the wide receiver 3. Vikings seem to like Bisi.

Van Jefferson is an interesting pick. Just over took Reynolds for the third receiver and has been the talk of camp. Reynolds played in the double tight end sets with Woods so you wonder if he can get that role. He is perfect for the rams offense and very similar skill set to woods. If one of cooks or woods go down then he could be huge.

Aiyuk has a clear road to targets if he can get healthy but Like Jets he is in a run first offense. Pittman is looking like he will need time to develop in the pros. Maybe a late season bloomer or maybe next season. Mims doesn’t have much value due to poor qb play
This post was edited on 9/2/20 at 9:06 pm
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
40367 posts
Posted on 9/2/20 at 11:47 pm to
quote:

Van Jefferson


Football player. It’s what I love about the NFL. Cream rises. They’ll forgive an 18 year old for making a dumb college choice. Van Jefferson can play ball.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
49199 posts
Posted on 9/3/20 at 8:06 am to
quote:

Van Jefferson can play ball.


The thing about Van Jefferson is his team.

Woods, Cupp, Higbee, Reynolds, Van Jefferson

Even if he supplants Reynolds, he's still sharing the field with 3 other known quantities.

Cooks was 42-583-2.

Is that his floor or his ceiling?
This post was edited on 9/3/20 at 8:06 am
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
74539 posts
Posted on 9/3/20 at 8:38 am to
I don’t believe Reynolds is a thing

Kupp had 53 yards or less in 56% of his games. 40% of his yards came in three games. He’s already hurt. There were some grumblings about his inconsistencies last year

Is woods a true 1? Not sure. Had his own injury and inconstancy woes

126 freed up targets with no additions at the position. There still will be ups and downs

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