re: TDFL 2026: Better late than never. Drafts: 9/1 Droppings Pg.5 9/3 Tiger @7:30CST

quote:

---

I generally agree with that...unless they give me an A

---

quote:

---

Blzr — the clear winner, and it's about roster shape, not one big name

$185 of $200 on starters — the highest starter-spend ratio in the league — and it shows: +582 starting DVORP, nearly 90 clear of second place. JSN ($56) and St. Brown ($58) anchor a +296 DVORP WR corps, the best receiving room in the league by a wide margin. Judkins ($19) and Tee Higgins ($20) round it out cleanly. Jayden Daniels at $4 is a QB non-investment that didn't cost them anything (QB DVORP across the whole league is nearly flat — more on that below). This is what "spend where the curve is steep, punt where it's flat" looks like when executed well.

DeeZz and Evolve — different paths to the same result

DeeZz leaned all-in on two RB anchors — McCaffrey ($58) and Javonte Williams ($31) — for a league-best +190 RB DVORP, then paired it with Bowers/Rice/Pickens at $30 each. Thin bench (0 DVORP beyond starters) is the tradeoff — no margin for injury.

Evolve got the single best QB value in the league: Josh Allen at $26, a real edge given Allen is the only QB with genuine separation from the pack (see below), plus Chase Brown ($53) as the clear RB1. +79 QB DVORP, tops in the league.

The QB market got read correctly almost everywhere — with one exception

Real QB spend across the whole field: $4–$26 for every team except Brock Back Mountain, who spent $21 combined on Lamar Jackson ($12) and Drake Maye ($9) — a QB1 and a strong backup, arguably a half-round of value not needed given how flat the position is:

QB2 through QB12 spans about 25 points over a season — under two a week. Show Me The Money's Jalen Hurts at $5 and DeeZz's Dak Prescott at $5 are the best examples of paying almost nothing for 90%+ of Allen's production.

Steals and reaches, league-wide

Best value: Kyle Pitts at $5 (+37 DVORP, 7.4 pts of value per dollar) — Show Me The Money's best pick, easily. TreVeyon Henderson at $6 (+31, Nole Man), Alec Pierce at $7 (+30, Rocket Red), and Harold Fannin at $8 (+32, Couch Taters) round out the top of the value board — three of the four biggest steals in the draft are cheap TEs or WRs, exactly where the market keeps mispricing depth.

Worst reaches for real money: Bhayshul Tuten at $24 for only +41 DVORP (Show Me The Money — still fine in isolation, just their most expensive miss), Rome Odunze at $16 for +36 (Couch Taters), Jaylen Waddle at $25 for +35 (ALL LUCK NO SKILL). None of these are disasters — the whole league mostly drafted cleanly — but they're the closest thing to overpays in a field with very few true blunders.

Nole Man and Rocket Red — the bottom two, for different reasons

Nole Man spent the least of anyone ($186) and it shows in thin starters — CeeDee Lamb ($51) is the only real anchor, and the RB room (Etienne, Kyren Williams) is good-not-great depth rather than a true RB1. Real value picks late (Henderson, LaPorta) weren't enough to close the gap.

Rocket Red's WR corps is actually strong (+214 DVORP, 2nd-best in the league — Collins, McConkey, Egbuka all hit), but the RB room is the worst in the league at -32 DVORP — Saquon Barkley at $54 was the correct anchor pick, but Jadarian Price ($16) and Tank Bigsby ($2) behind him never developed into a real RB2, leaving a genuine hole at a position with only one flex-mate to cover it.

The honest caveat

10th-to-90th percentile win range is 3 to 11 wins for nearly every team — the same story as every league graded this way. Blzr's 71% playoff odds is a real, earned edge from a well-built roster, not a coin flip; but Nole Man's 33% is far from eliminated. In a 12-team, 15-round league with real bench-DVORP variance still on several rosters (Boondock Taints +35, Rocket Red +30), waivers and in-season management will still move these odds meaningfully.

---