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Started By
Message
New update from NV... GOP increases lead!
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:50 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:50 pm
9
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:50 pm to BCreed1
but muh polymarket 
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:50 pm to BCreed1
Feels like a recruiting battle where you start getting crystal balls right before signing day and feel really good but you're still fearful of the other team dropping an NIL bag
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:52 pm to Gifman
Trump on the rise in the POLY. 62%
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:53 pm to BCreed1
quote:
Other 28%
Seems like NV has a very high independent/other segment. How do we know how these folks vote? If they are the independent minded folks like nearby CO and Idaho, then pro-Trump. If some CA folks leaking over the border, who knows.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:53 pm to BCreed1
What was the recent polling data on NV independents? Based on current numbers, it looks like the Dems would need a 57/58-43/42% split in indy votes to catch up.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:53 pm to BCreed1
what is the other breaking for?
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:53 pm to clamdip
At those numbers, as long as no more than 57% break for Kamala, Trump wins assuming the GOP and Dem voters stay true
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:54 pm to BCreed1
Posted on 11/5/24 at 1:57 pm to JiminyCricket
Don’t forget about the frickery from 2022. Republicans were projecting a win in the senate as long as the remaining mail in ballot count was under something like 80/20 for dems. Sure enough the remaining ballots broke just over that mark for the senate race there.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:04 pm to BCreed1
In 2020, Biden 703,486 to Trump 669,890 or 1,373,376 total votes counted.
Today's count shows 1,139,896 votes cast so if the same number vote this time, there are only 233,480 votes still to come.
Better to be Trump than Harris at this point.
Today's count shows 1,139,896 votes cast so if the same number vote this time, there are only 233,480 votes still to come.
Better to be Trump than Harris at this point.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:05 pm to BCreed1
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