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Message
Betting markets breaking heavily towards Trump!
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:46 am
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:46 am
Polymarket (62/38) TRUMP
Predictit (55/51) TRUMP
Kalshi (57/43) TRUMP
These are 4-5 point improvements from around 11 PM last night. Dixville Notch must be playing into this.
Predictit (55/51) TRUMP
Kalshi (57/43) TRUMP
These are 4-5 point improvements from around 11 PM last night. Dixville Notch must be playing into this.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:48 am to TakingStock
They broke heavily toward Trump as late as 10pm election night 2020, this really doesn’t mean anything
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:49 am to TakingStock
Predictit might be the most somber indicator for her even though it's the tightest as they stubbornly held the lead there for a long time.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:49 am to JumpingTheShark
That’s true, and then the steal happened
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:53 am to timdonaghyswhistle
quote:
Predictit might be the most somber indicator for her even though it's the tightest as they stubbornly held the lead there for a long time.
For sure. The board there is a cesspool. Last night, Harris was up one and that kept going back and forth to a tie so this morning’s latest is big.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:54 am to TakingStock
That’s reflective of money coming in on him, not a higher likelihood of victory.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 5:56 am to JumpingTheShark
There is no reason anyone should have been betting on Trump at anywhere near even odds in 2020. He was over 7 points down in the polls
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:14 am to TakingStock
10:15 AM ET Update
Polymarket (63/37) TRUMP
Predictit (58/49) TRUMP
Kalshi (58/42) TRUMP
Polymarket (63/37) TRUMP
Predictit (58/49) TRUMP
Kalshi (58/42) TRUMP
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:15 am to TakingStock
These can change in a heartbeat. But I’d rather Trump be the favorite than vice versa
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:17 am to JumpingTheShark
quote:.
They broke heavily toward Trump as late as 10pm election night 2020, this really doesn’t mean anything
It means 2020 was stolen
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:18 am to TakingStock
I would not at all pay attention to this.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 9:20 am to JumpingTheShark
quote:
They broke heavily toward Trump as late as 10pm election night 2020, this really doesn’t mean anything
They had Biden as the heavy favorite until the polls started closing and Trump started winning.
They only shifted back when the steal started overnight.
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